Dean Shamess
banner
deanshamess.ca
Dean Shamess
@deanshamess.ca
deanshamess.ca

Ph.D. Candidate at JSGS USask // Science Policy, Science of Science, Science and Power and Populism // econ, policy, polisci… whatever works
Frozen throne or RoC?? 😏
November 11, 2025 at 12:00 AM
What happens when we find out that our preferences for PFS are in conflict with some other groups' prefs? I launched a survey of Canadians and Americans to try and find out.

Among some interesting findings, one spoiler... Some people really don't like scientists!

WP and more to come soon!
November 3, 2025 at 9:02 PM
No, that is not what I asked.

But, in answer to you, do we not already have endless numbers of ways to forecast this?

We also have clear, methodological answers to what the tradeoffs are bw these models.

The normative answer to your question has almost nothing to do with the forecasting tho.
October 27, 2025 at 10:26 PM
To be very clear, my statement re: monolithic science was in reference to your referring to science as a monolith. That is simply not reflective of reality - there is no singular scientific method, institution of science, process etc etc etc
October 27, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Or, maybe more fruitful, if you had to describe the difference between the value that‘s generated by current forecasts vs. what the value would be if poli sci / anyone else was (marginally) better at it … what would that difference be?
October 27, 2025 at 10:18 PM
lol, ok.

Can you articulate what the social value would be?

And, given your claim about its importance - btw I never said anything implying anything about it becoming the whole field of polisci - what, if any, current polisci topics/questions it would be more important than?
October 27, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Ah, yes, the monolithic science. Setting aside that issue, what is the value, to you or to society, in forecasting elections with greater accuracy than “we” already do?
October 27, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Yes and yes, in my experience
October 27, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Given that I just got absolutely wrecked…

OutKast
October 26, 2025 at 11:35 PM
This feels like a trap…

Ace of Bass
October 26, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Reposted by Dean Shamess
One tactic these data guys use online is to dismiss academic work they don’t like by calling it “overly complex” or “disconnected from reality.” I call this anti-rigor propaganda. It’s a move to sour people on serious scholarship when you don’t have better evidence.

Adam addresses it in the piece.
October 24, 2025 at 3:01 PM
This is why you should start adding them all to zotero. Zotero’s tabs for open articles get so cluttered so fast that you’ll start closing them when you get to 8 or 9… you see, it’s more efficient.
October 23, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Reposted by Dean Shamess
This is why we need a public inquiry (as even Wyant seems to imply).
October 17, 2025 at 5:00 PM