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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · Sep 13

OK Sunday 8 am is not the best panel time. I get it.

BUT tomorrow I'm presenting idealstan alongside 3 other banger papers on ideal points & measurement modeling.

You want to know the latest & greatest in quantitative measurement, this is it.

West 120 @ 8 am 🫡

#apsa2025

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Sep 14

It was my great pleasure to celebrate @natalie-letsa.bsky.social's "The Autocratic Voter: Partisanship and Political Socialization under Dictatorship" today at @apsa.bsky.social. Buy, read, and cite this incredibly important book!

www.cambridge.org/core/books/a...

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Sep 10

For those in Vancouver, the Democracy and Autocracy Section will be holding our business meeting tomorrow (9/11) from 6:30-7:30pm at the Convention Center (West) Room 115. Our reception will be right after from 7:30-9:30pm at Steamworks Brewpub (375 Water Street). Come join us!

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Sep 8

The Department of Political Science at Penn State is hiring in CP/IR, for a position focused on non-democratic politics. Link to apply: psu.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/PSU_Ac...

Assistant Professor, Political Science

APPLICATION INSTRUCTIONS: CURRENT PENN STATE EMPLOYEE (faculty, staff, technical service, or student), please login to Workday to complete the internal application process. Please do not apply here, a...

psu.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com

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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · Aug 12

Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · Aug 11

NEW -

How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD

"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"

- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of mainstream and radical political rhetoric regarding anti-immigrant policies, highlighting differences in societal responses and enforcement norms based on the source of the rhetoric.

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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

Elizabeth Nugent @ernugent.bsky.social · Aug 25

I really want to believe that American public opinion still matters. It makes me feel better that most Americans don’t support these policies. But other non-democracies demonstrate that once institutions have been politically weaponized, public opinion matters significantly less.

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The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · Aug 22

"Political brokers use social networks to identify & target reciprocal non-copartisans for vote buying. Parties recruit brokers central in networks to sway persuadable voters."

From @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social, Finan, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and Schechter:

www.restud.com/brokering-vo...

#Econsky

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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

Bruce Desmarais @brucedesmarais.bsky.social · Aug 17

I had the fortune to help organize, speak at, and participate in, the second Open Scholarship Bootcamp at Penn State. The sessions emphasize resources that are helpful to maintaining open scientific workflows. Materials are openly available here! penn-state-open-science.github.io/bootcamp-202...

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Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · Aug 14

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Aug 8

Call for applications now open! @apsamena.bsky.social Methods Workshop on Engaged Research in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) web.apsanet.org/mena/

MENA

APSA MENA Workshops

web.apsanet.org

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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

Second, the dynamics we analyze provide an important alternative to existing supply-side explanations of movement party success. Existing work focuses on movement parties themselves. But our framework sheds light on the extent to which voters respond to movement parties.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

Our findings contribute to key debates in the social sciences. First, we show that protest movements can impact electoral outcomes. Failed uprisings can have a substantial and impactful afterlife - even in a context where governing parties are entrenched and rule collusively.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

What drives this finding? Where governing parties were weaker and less present - which we proxy with turnout in the 2009 legislative election - the effect of exposure to protest on support for opposition-aligned lists was substantially higher.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

We find that the uprising resulted in a 1.9 percentage point increase in support for the opposition - a 17% increase. We rule out the possibility that the effects were driven by district-specific dynamics, pre-uprising differences, and other confounders.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

We combine these data with locality-level election results from the 2018 and 2022 legislative elections in Lebanon. We use a difference-in-differences design to analyze the effects of the Revolution on support for movement parties.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

Our data comes from a unique event dataset - collected by CeSSRA - that documents the precise location of all protest events that took place during the uprising. Since 2017, CeSSRA has monitored and documented protest events in each locality throughout the country.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

The October Revolution began on October 17, 2019, soon after the government announced a decision to implement a series of taxes on gasoline, tobacco, and VoIP calls on messaging applications like WhatsApp. The same day, protests erupted throughout the country.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

We focus on the “party-movement nexus” in Lebanon, where an oversized governing coalition consisting of several parties has governed collusively since 2005. We examine the consequences of protest outcomes in the aftermath of the 2019 “October Revolution.”

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

Recently, movement parties have upended support for traditional parties and contributed to forms of electoral instability in many cases. Movement parties combine growing dissatisfaction with traditional parties and anti-systemic protest - in both democracies and autocracies.

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Daniel Tavana @danieltavana.bsky.social · Jul 22

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

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Reposted by Daniel Tavana

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · Jul 15

From May 2025 -

Legislative Cooptation in Authoritarian Regimes: Policy Cooperation in the Kuwait National Assembly - cup.org/4iVKa4R

- @danieltavana.bsky.social & Erin York

#OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing how authoritarian regimes use legislative institutions to cope with economic and policy challenges, using the example of Kuwait's National Assembly and collaborative policy mechanisms.

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Babak Rezaee @babakr.bsky.social · Jun 13

If you’re curious the assassination of the IRGC commanders creates a rally around the flag. I suggest reading my recent coauthored article. #IRGC is not a liked in #Iran due to its participation in repression of oppositions. Some of Iranians actually celebrating it.

academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Who Rallies Round the Flag? The Impact of the US Sanctions on Iranians’ Attitude toward the Government

Abstract. While politicians often argue that economic sanctions can induce policy changes in targeted states by undermining elite and public support for th

academic.oup.com

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · Jun 7

A scary development in world politics is that dictators tend to stick around for longer

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Christiana Parreira @cmparreira.bsky.social · Jun 2

Last month, Lebanon held its first local elections since 2016. Over the past nine years, the country has experienced a series of upheavals and crises - yet the most remarkable feature of these elections was (mostly) how much they resembled previous ones. Some key takeaways /1

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