I agree with you

I might switch to using images from now on

Tronchon (151): Went in the break for bonus seconds on Stage 1, stayed near the front on the climb today, and moved well.

Porter (1001): Was involved in multiple attacks on the climb today.

Harold Lopez (1001): Likely to support Higuita or Bettiol, but he stayed near the front on the climb today.

Pacher (251): FDJ's other leader. I trust Rochas more, but he has a decent sprint.

Konrad (251): Went in the break for bonus seconds, so he's interested in the GC and has a solid sprint.

Zimmermann (201): Similar to Konrad.

Kwiatkowski (151): Attempted attacks yesterday and today.

For GC podium:

Gloag (14u – 19x)
Strong (5u – 19x)
Nerurkar (4,3u – 19x)
Izagirre (2u – 100x)
Rochas (1,4u – 100x)
Pacher (0,7u – 200x)
Zimmermann (1u – 100x)
Hamilton (0,8u – 100x)
Eulalio (0,8u – 150x)

This 30-unit system, combined with betting on diverse outcomes, has consistently delivered profits every year.

Usually, I don’t dedicate 30 units specifically for podium bets, but for the Tour Down Under, where results often come down to just a few seconds, it might make sense to do so.

I also tend to place small bets on riders whose chances of winning are slim—or almost zero—but I’d regret not betting on them if they somehow pulled off a surprise victory. So, I prefer to cover them with tiny stakes.

(2/2) If he’s in similar shape to the end of last year, a strong GC result is very possible.

His sprint is also quite solid, and the odds are incredible: 100x for a podium finish 😮 and 500x for the win. Definitely worth a small bet!

He could do well, and I’ve put a small bet on him, however, for me, he’s a bigger question mark compared to someone like Gloag or Strong, so I can’t confidently recommend him. That said, Cyclingmole has heard good things about him, so he’s definitely worth a small punt.

Yes, several teams have two strong riders, so if more survive the final climbs (stage3, stage4), there could be attacks back and forth. This could make it more difficult for someone like Onley, especially if others have a numerical advantage

In my opinion, the most important factor is form, and his form looks excellent. We saw that clearly at the Australian time trial championships and in the road race. I think he’ll perform well.

(2/2) Nerurkar: He has a very strong uphill sprint (3rd on Stage 1 of last year’s Tour of Poland behind Nys and Kelderman, and also 3rd on Stage 3 of the Dauphiné behind Gee and Gregoire). Under the right circumstances, he could even be a GC contender, but his form is a big question mark.