Just adding— each question was roughly a 90-10 issue within each party. Fairly lopsided, but not totally unusual to find Dems sympathetic to the governors argument on Q2 or MAGA types who just get red flag, no questions asked (think abt how Florida has red flag and it’s just the norm)

Correcting myself -- they do provide the full question wording in the results document, but do not specify what was displayed to respondents on their screen as they completed the survey.

On the ME Sen point -- this type of poll can have some utility in tracking the horse race. So long as the same panel gets asked about the race every few months, it is worth watching the trendline.

I think that was the purpose of this poll, and they included the ballot questions for extra attention.

Some issues:
1- its an online panel of recruited participants not a random sample
2- the turnout model relied on a simple self-report that was then weighted to the ACS and 2024 results (for predicting off-year referenda, this makes no sense)
3- they didn't even use the ballot question wording

I don’t think any of their current staff have any Maine experience. Their finance report shows a bunch of employees from out of state using the campaign PO Box as their address to mask that fact.

It’s unfortunate for the man and those close to him for everything to be aired like this.

But it is absolutely disqualifying for a candidate for US Senate.

We are trying to unseat Susan Collins here, Graham needs to sort this out in private now.

Why does this keep happening here

He is very much avoiding comment/involvement on Q2

I organized for Gideon and watched that operation unfold and have since started working around campaign finance. The mills op is off to a much more problematic start than even Gideon 2020.