Charin Modchang
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charinmodchang.bsky.social
Charin Modchang
@charinmodchang.bsky.social
Epidemiology, biophysics, data science & modelling. Working at Mahidol University, Thailand. Views are my own.

More info: https://www.modchang.me
😷 We also documented how COVID-19 disrupted leptospirosis surveillance in Thailand, with model performance declining during the pandemic (2020-2021) but recovering in 2022. This suggests significant underreporting during the pandemic years.
April 23, 2025 at 12:15 PM
🌾 Surprisingly, we found that rice production factors were the strongest predictors of leptospirosis risk. Traditional farming practices appear more conducive to disease transmission compared to mechanized methods, highlighting agriculture's role in outbreak dynamics.
April 23, 2025 at 12:15 PM
🦠 Leptospirosis poses a significant public health challenge in Thailand, with complex transmission patterns influenced by rice farming, climate, and socioeconomic conditions. Our XGBoost model achieved high predictive accuracy (AUC>0.93) in identifying high-risk provinces.
April 23, 2025 at 12:15 PM
🧵 NEW PREPRINT: Our team has developed a machine learning model to predict leptospirosis outbreaks in Thailand by identifying key environmental and socioeconomic risk factors. This could lead to better early warning systems for this neglected tropical disease.
April 23, 2025 at 12:15 PM
My colleagues in France are looking for a postdoc in modeling exposure to air pollutants based on daily human mobility.

Please feel free to contact them if you are interested.

👇
January 29, 2025 at 12:08 PM
It's good to be at JITMM2024 and give two talks here.

It is such a great conference, gathering experts on Tropical Medicine from around the world.

Some of my talk slides here: dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG....

#JITMM2024 #Bangkok
December 13, 2024 at 7:54 AM
Airborne transmission of H5N1 flu. This is not good news. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
December 3, 2024 at 12:44 AM
The COVID-19 vaccination efforts in Thailand have saved > 300,000 lives and prevented > 1.6 million severe infections during the first two years of vaccination: www.mdpi.com/2414-6366/9/...
November 23, 2024 at 2:42 PM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #9,562,022!

That’s my number 🙂
September 21, 2024 at 2:22 PM