I know people cry game script but the only qbs of top teams who were even in his area code were Jalen Milroe who also had 160 carries and probably wasn’t allowed to pass and guys like [Iowa QB] who probably also wasn’t allowed to pass
October 31, 2025 at 8:21 PM
I know people cry game script but the only qbs of top teams who were even in his area code were Jalen Milroe who also had 160 carries and probably wasn’t allowed to pass and guys like [Iowa QB] who probably also wasn’t allowed to pass
The fact that of the top 200 passers in the FBS by attempts he ranked 129th in attempts per game or a different thing
October 31, 2025 at 8:12 PM
The fact that of the top 200 passers in the FBS by attempts he ranked 129th in attempts per game or a different thing
some might even say the leap was spending the 10th pick in the draft on a QB who wasn't allowed to throw in college
October 31, 2025 at 6:27 PM
some might even say the leap was spending the 10th pick in the draft on a QB who wasn't allowed to throw in college
RBSDM have conversion chances there as ~31% chance and a 50-ish yard FG somewhere around 70% chance which would be around 0.65 EP going for it and ~39% chance just making it from 43 so 1.17 EP. So somewhere in that range probably makes more sense than 0.3 2/2
October 7, 2025 at 6:23 PM
RBSDM have conversion chances there as ~31% chance and a 50-ish yard FG somewhere around 70% chance which would be around 0.65 EP going for it and ~39% chance just making it from 43 so 1.17 EP. So somewhere in that range probably makes more sense than 0.3 2/2
That's a fair point, breaking it out like that 0.3 does seem low, I'd also be interested to see what other models have it as. That said I don't think it can be quite 1.5 EP because it's also a 4th&8 so a lot of the playbook that'd normally be there for those situations is out. 1/2
October 7, 2025 at 6:22 PM
That's a fair point, breaking it out like that 0.3 does seem low, I'd also be interested to see what other models have it as. That said I don't think it can be quite 1.5 EP because it's also a 4th&8 so a lot of the playbook that'd normally be there for those situations is out. 1/2
Yeah it's the exact type of play that EPA is really good at contextualizing. I checked on rbsdm and that pick was something like -0.3 EPA which if we're using the EPA/play in the quoted post actually is a better than average play for Flacco
October 7, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Yeah it's the exact type of play that EPA is really good at contextualizing. I checked on rbsdm and that pick was something like -0.3 EPA which if we're using the EPA/play in the quoted post actually is a better than average play for Flacco
Not disputing the other three but a pick on an end of half play on 4th down probably doesn't do much of anything to affect EPA because the EP is so low as it is. with an EPA/play that low it probably improves his EPA/db if anything
October 7, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Not disputing the other three but a pick on an end of half play on 4th down probably doesn't do much of anything to affect EPA because the EP is so low as it is. with an EPA/play that low it probably improves his EPA/db if anything
I followed comp climbing until 2018 or 2019, glad to see she’s still up to the same stuff all this time later
October 1, 2025 at 1:40 AM
I followed comp climbing until 2018 or 2019, glad to see she’s still up to the same stuff all this time later
They might still be getting up to speed but wins and losses now matter as much for seeding as the ones in december do.
Very possible this game decides home field between these two teams should they meet in the playoffs and would potentially put KC on the road in the WC round if they were to lose
Very possible this game decides home field between these two teams should they meet in the playoffs and would potentially put KC on the road in the WC round if they were to lose
September 24, 2025 at 8:15 PM
They might still be getting up to speed but wins and losses now matter as much for seeding as the ones in december do.
Very possible this game decides home field between these two teams should they meet in the playoffs and would potentially put KC on the road in the WC round if they were to lose
Very possible this game decides home field between these two teams should they meet in the playoffs and would potentially put KC on the road in the WC round if they were to lose
between this and Mare of Easttown i deeply respect Brad Ingelsby's project to get all the world's finest actors to say "wooder ice"
September 9, 2025 at 3:28 PM
between this and Mare of Easttown i deeply respect Brad Ingelsby's project to get all the world's finest actors to say "wooder ice"
It’s been some time since I read so I might have the details fuzzy but I took it as him being unwilling or unable to directly confront the things that he did until he felt forced to, and only then obliquely and a bit insincerely. But like you said I think it being up to interpretation is intended
September 6, 2025 at 4:29 AM
It’s been some time since I read so I might have the details fuzzy but I took it as him being unwilling or unable to directly confront the things that he did until he felt forced to, and only then obliquely and a bit insincerely. But like you said I think it being up to interpretation is intended
It’s so hard to say, I love how Ishiguro can so effectively write a character like this that forces you to extricate the truth from the half truths from the fabrications. 1/2
September 6, 2025 at 4:27 AM
It’s so hard to say, I love how Ishiguro can so effectively write a character like this that forces you to extricate the truth from the half truths from the fabrications. 1/2
Tbh also if my team’s season log looked like this I just don’t know why I’d feel like I needed validation from talking heads. The team is undeniable, who cares if people think they were only 12 wins good instead of 15. Feels like something a team like, idk, the fins or broncos should be doing
September 4, 2025 at 2:01 AM
Tbh also if my team’s season log looked like this I just don’t know why I’d feel like I needed validation from talking heads. The team is undeniable, who cares if people think they were only 12 wins good instead of 15. Feels like something a team like, idk, the fins or broncos should be doing
Every team has something like that they could point to though. By AGL the chiefs had better than average injury luck last year. it feels worse when you’re living and dying by every play, I get it, but outside a team like SF or DET’s defense it’s just the way of things. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2024-agl...
2024 AGL: 49ers Get Smacked Down by Injuries
The 49ers were the most injured team in the league in 2024, while the Ravens were one of the least injured teams in years.
ftnfantasy.com
September 4, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Every team has something like that they could point to though. By AGL the chiefs had better than average injury luck last year. it feels worse when you’re living and dying by every play, I get it, but outside a team like SF or DET’s defense it’s just the way of things. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2024-agl...
Nope you got me the chiefs were the only team all season to play two playoff teams in back to back weeks or deal with injuries
September 3, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Nope you got me the chiefs were the only team all season to play two playoff teams in back to back weeks or deal with injuries
3 games in 11 days sounds crazy when you put it like that but a third of the league (NYJ SEA NO DAL CIN CHI PIT BAL KC HOU) did it last year and every team that played TNF week 3 or later did 3 games in 12 days as long as there wasn't a bye somewhere in there. that's just the way midweek games work
September 3, 2025 at 8:23 PM
3 games in 11 days sounds crazy when you put it like that but a third of the league (NYJ SEA NO DAL CIN CHI PIT BAL KC HOU) did it last year and every team that played TNF week 3 or later did 3 games in 12 days as long as there wasn't a bye somewhere in there. that's just the way midweek games work
Yeah that’s the thing, Josh was brutal in 2018 but in 2019 he had already progressed to at least being good enough that he could fool a team into giving him a second contract. Hard to imagine Richardson ever getting to that point even ignoring all the durability concerns
August 20, 2025 at 3:01 AM
Yeah that’s the thing, Josh was brutal in 2018 but in 2019 he had already progressed to at least being good enough that he could fool a team into giving him a second contract. Hard to imagine Richardson ever getting to that point even ignoring all the durability concerns
There are many proposed reasons why Mr. Brightside is the millennial anthem but the existence of the Thong Song begs the question: what if we just really like it when you repeat the first verse in a song verbatim again but more dramatic
August 18, 2025 at 11:35 PM
There are many proposed reasons why Mr. Brightside is the millennial anthem but the existence of the Thong Song begs the question: what if we just really like it when you repeat the first verse in a song verbatim again but more dramatic
In some ways it seems like a vicious cycle- e.g. I’ve never had a Spanish novel where I felt the translation was hurting things for me but that’s also probably the most commonly translated language for English readers. So maybe the level of it all is just higher than it is for other languages 2/2
August 18, 2025 at 10:30 PM
In some ways it seems like a vicious cycle- e.g. I’ve never had a Spanish novel where I felt the translation was hurting things for me but that’s also probably the most commonly translated language for English readers. So maybe the level of it all is just higher than it is for other languages 2/2
It’s probably a mix of things and it’s always worth interrogation but end of day you’re essentially reading two peoples’ prose when you read a translation and sometimes you’re not going to click with one of them. 1/2
August 18, 2025 at 10:30 PM
It’s probably a mix of things and it’s always worth interrogation but end of day you’re essentially reading two peoples’ prose when you read a translation and sometimes you’re not going to click with one of them. 1/2
Which I hope doesn't come off as me defending the policy as a whole, it's terrible. This came about two years ago which is what they said they need to do "further analysis" so you'd hope there'd be good news on the horizon but i worry that's the kind of thing you just say to shut people up
August 4, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Which I hope doesn't come off as me defending the policy as a whole, it's terrible. This came about two years ago which is what they said they need to do "further analysis" so you'd hope there'd be good news on the horizon but i worry that's the kind of thing you just say to shut people up
FWIW I think NPR didn't explain this well. There are ungendered titles and then female versions of the same titles with differing criteria (GM/WGM, etc.) Whether you transition FTM or MTF you keep the ungendered titles, you just lose any gendered title, which only applies to trans men by definition
August 4, 2025 at 1:40 PM
FWIW I think NPR didn't explain this well. There are ungendered titles and then female versions of the same titles with differing criteria (GM/WGM, etc.) Whether you transition FTM or MTF you keep the ungendered titles, you just lose any gendered title, which only applies to trans men by definition
This new version of the Madden curse sucks ass
August 3, 2025 at 12:35 AM
This new version of the Madden curse sucks ass
not saying that every governing body is well-equipped to handle this and many making the decisions clearly have the same prejudices but the fact that no one acknowledges that they're parachuting into very well tread ground pretty clearly indicates they're not actually interested in the discussion
August 1, 2025 at 3:06 PM
not saying that every governing body is well-equipped to handle this and many making the decisions clearly have the same prejudices but the fact that no one acknowledges that they're parachuting into very well tread ground pretty clearly indicates they're not actually interested in the discussion
yeah that's the thing- "we should be willing to talk about this" people actually invested in the sport almost certainly already do. a lot. t&f is the only sport where i have a passing familiarity of the specifics but testosterone limits have been debated since the mid aughts. 1/2
August 1, 2025 at 3:05 PM
yeah that's the thing- "we should be willing to talk about this" people actually invested in the sport almost certainly already do. a lot. t&f is the only sport where i have a passing familiarity of the specifics but testosterone limits have been debated since the mid aughts. 1/2