Source: www.2030-panelet.dk/wp-content/u...

4/4 The key question becomes: If the EU cannot reconcile ambitious climate action with prosperity and security, who can?

3/4 If the EU begins to justify climate backsliding on economic and security grounds, it risks undermining global momentum for climate ambition. Given today’s unparalleled level of global conflict — some say the highest since WWII — and the EU’s relatively high global wealth....

2/4 🪖 📈 What’s more concerning is the growing perception that the EU’s competitiveness and security agendas are in conflict with its green ambitions. As a result, the chances of the EU proposing 2035 and 2040 climate targets in line with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal seem slim... 🌡️

1/4 ⏰ Despite being nearly three months past the deadline, the EU has still not submitted an updated climate action plan. This does not seem to be a top priority for the current Polish Council Presidency, most likely leaving it to Denmark to get through after the summer.

🔍 What’s inside?
✅ All press releases from the European Commission's press corner, published by the Directorate for Trade (DG Trade)
✅ Compiled in Nvivo with files in PDF for easier coding
✅ Intuitive naming (Commission mandate, date of publication, and topic!) #TradePolicy #EUTrade #EU #OpenAcess

📉🇪🇺 If you’re exploring discursive trends, tracking policy changes/continuities, or just trying to make sense of how EU trade policy has evolved over the last three decades, this dataset could be a game-changer.

However, the fear remains that the missed deadline reflects a declining willingness to uphold a strong and credible climate framework, raising questions of whether the climate regime may slowly be crumbling... ⏳ 🌱

While the missed deadline is concerning, it’s not the end of the world. Most countries are expected to submit their contributions within the next nine months, leading up to #COP30 in Brazil. 🇧🇷 The fact that 2024 was a major election year globally may partly explain the delays.

The situation is further exacerbated by recent political signals from major players: Trump 🇺🇸 has resumed the process of withdrawing the world’s second-largest emitter from the agreement. Meanwhile, political leaders in Argentina, Russia, and possibly even New Zealand are discussing similar moves 🇦🇷🇷🇺🇳🇿

🖐 The Paris Agreement’s temperature goal of keeping global temperature rise below 2°C and preferably 1.5°C 🌡️ was unanimously adopted a decade ago, but weak #COP climate negotiations in recent years have fueled fears of backsliding.

Great read!

Thank you Ben - I hope everything is going well in Edinburgh!

And my amazing co-authors @herminevc.bsky.social, Ana Carolina Campera and Simon Happersberger 🌱