Brun
@brunfpl.bsky.social
Analytically (ill) informed sports fan. FPL player. Inaugural winner of Elite Analytic 64 League. EV chaser, jam hoarder, variance hugger.
GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.
September 23, 2025 at 10:33 PM
GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.
GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.
September 20, 2025 at 8:52 AM
GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.
GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table
September 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM
GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table
GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all
August 31, 2025 at 8:48 PM
GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all
GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase
August 30, 2025 at 11:12 AM
GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase
GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger
August 25, 2025 at 9:30 PM
GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger
GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.
August 22, 2025 at 5:06 PM
GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.
GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips
August 19, 2025 at 8:48 AM
GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips
Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass
April 25, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass
Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves
February 12, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves
Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting
January 22, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting
GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.
January 6, 2025 at 10:24 PM
GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.
GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play
January 4, 2025 at 10:57 AM
GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play
Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so
January 1, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so
GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace
December 28, 2024 at 11:54 PM
GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace
GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs
December 27, 2024 at 10:31 PM
GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs
GW18: Did Saka to Bruno earlier in the week now time to chill and drink some mulled wine ahead of Boxing Day eve and a full day of football. Merry Christmas to those with the exact same team as me. Bah Humbug to the rest of you. No EV for you sub optimal meeces
December 24, 2024 at 6:02 PM
GW18: Did Saka to Bruno earlier in the week now time to chill and drink some mulled wine ahead of Boxing Day eve and a full day of football. Merry Christmas to those with the exact same team as me. Bah Humbug to the rest of you. No EV for you sub optimal meeces
Yeah that Trent move was a killer. Basically I went the other way to you on that move and have regretted it ever since. Even Raul’s goal came when I FHed him out 🤦♂️ my posvar and somehow hitting these EVmins for those limited actual mins has kept me afloat
December 23, 2024 at 6:24 PM
Yeah that Trent move was a killer. Basically I went the other way to you on that move and have regretted it ever since. Even Raul’s goal came when I FHed him out 🤦♂️ my posvar and somehow hitting these EVmins for those limited actual mins has kept me afloat
Yeah, what the hell is this 🤮
December 23, 2024 at 4:54 PM
Yeah, what the hell is this 🤮
GW17: Bad week to be bad. 30k red arrow. Team bad but only 1FT so will be Saka out and reassess future paths now Jiminez’s mins look even shakier than before.
December 22, 2024 at 9:38 PM
GW17: Bad week to be bad. 30k red arrow. Team bad but only 1FT so will be Saka out and reassess future paths now Jiminez’s mins look even shakier than before.
GW16: A jammy, tiny green thanks to Porro fluking the rare CS off bench & Gvard somehow scoring again. Team feels like it’s clinging on slightly, 2FTs & could do with Andersen being fit to open up option of rolling to 3. Porro out for cheaper def to enable upgrades elsewhere later also an option
December 16, 2024 at 10:16 PM
GW16: A jammy, tiny green thanks to Porro fluking the rare CS off bench & Gvard somehow scoring again. Team feels like it’s clinging on slightly, 2FTs & could do with Andersen being fit to open up option of rolling to 3. Porro out for cheaper def to enable upgrades elsewhere later also an option
GW16: Rolling, team bad
December 14, 2024 at 1:39 PM
GW16: Rolling, team bad
GW15: 58% green on FH but didn’t quite hit expectation vs prime and, thanks to a pretty big outlier GW from my regular team (78 points from 50ish EV), I actually would have been better off not playing the chip. Not sure where the assessment will land on decision to FH but OR is good so I’m happy atm
December 9, 2024 at 10:23 PM
GW15: 58% green on FH but didn’t quite hit expectation vs prime and, thanks to a pretty big outlier GW from my regular team (78 points from 50ish EV), I actually would have been better off not playing the chip. Not sure where the assessment will land on decision to FH but OR is good so I’m happy atm