Andy Bruce (Reuters)
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bruceandy.bsky.social
Andy Bruce (Reuters)
@bruceandy.bsky.social
Bit of this, bit of that at Reuters.

UK economy and north of England correspondent.

☀️ Stockport ☀️
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The BBC's highest-paid actor, no less!
November 14, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Losses pared back a bit - but still pretty chunky - as Bloomberg reports that the income tax decision reflects better economic forecasts
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 AM
Perhaps not in a de facto sense but I think everyone - especially the bond market - would get the message.
November 14, 2025 at 8:50 AM
They sort of already do this (section on sensitivities where they describe what would wipe out headroom)

But I think if there were games to stack the forecasts (and I'm not sure about that, given that would be incredibly dumb), I genuinely think the OBR would spell that in plain English
November 14, 2025 at 8:40 AM
My sense is the OBR's tolerance for those sorts of games is less than it used to be.

If that is the plan, it's very short-sighted as the OBR could easily just call it out: "Our estimate of headroom is extremely sensitive to changes in market conditions. Had our window been a week later..."
November 14, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Gilts (so far) having their worst day since Reeves' tearful appearance in parliament on July 2.
November 14, 2025 at 8:15 AM
I mean, we saw this over the last year... and... they want more?
November 14, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Hammering loads of smaller taxes has weird behavioural effects, risk of unintended consequences. At least income tax is relatively predictable. ( @johnstepek.bsky.social wrote well about this last time round)

Sort of like firms grappling with myriad aspects of Brexit
November 14, 2025 at 7:24 AM
No idea if there'll be a market reaction to this stuff but a lot of investors will hate this.

Not that doing whatever the market wants is the best way to go - but there are good arguments against the 'smorgasbord'
November 14, 2025 at 7:20 AM
One wonders if people on the manufacturing and renewable energy side of the economy will be looking at this with a degree of "WTF" given they've complained of grid issues for years and years
November 13, 2025 at 12:33 PM
But no more than that.
November 12, 2025 at 11:38 AM
"Alas, poor Free Trade! I knew him well... where be your open markets now!?"
November 12, 2025 at 11:36 AM