Ben Noble
@benjaminsnoble.bsky.social
Asst. Prof of Political Science at UC San Deigo. WUSTL PhD. Studying the politics of presidential and congressional rhetoric. Powered by LaTeX and Coffee.
benjaminnoble.org.
benjaminnoble.org.
Pinned
Ben Noble
@benjaminsnoble.bsky.social
· Aug 20
Presidential negative partisanship | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Presidential negative partisanship
cambridge.org
FirstView day for my PSRM article, “Presidential Negative Partisanship.” 🥳
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
Reposted by Ben Noble
🗣️ Do US presidents attack the opposition instead of seeking compromise?
➡️ Using 90 years of speeches, @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social shows presidents target the outparty when gridlock looms, mobilising allies and shaping future power, not immediate policy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using 90 years of speeches, @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social shows presidents target the outparty when gridlock looms, mobilising allies and shaping future power, not immediate policy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
August 28, 2025 at 9:06 AM
🗣️ Do US presidents attack the opposition instead of seeking compromise?
➡️ Using 90 years of speeches, @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social shows presidents target the outparty when gridlock looms, mobilising allies and shaping future power, not immediate policy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using 90 years of speeches, @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social shows presidents target the outparty when gridlock looms, mobilising allies and shaping future power, not immediate policy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
FirstView day for my PSRM article, “Presidential Negative Partisanship.” 🥳
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
Presidential negative partisanship | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Presidential negative partisanship
cambridge.org
August 20, 2025 at 4:11 PM
FirstView day for my PSRM article, “Presidential Negative Partisanship.” 🥳
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side.
cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read on for the 🧵 version...
Academics are skeptical of AI.
"It plagiarizes!"
"It hallucinates!"
"It’s killing critical thinking!"
And sure—it’s not perfect.
But after a year of experimenting, I've found 6 AI applications that have transformed my research and teaching 🧵
benjaminnoble.org/blog/six-ai-...
"It plagiarizes!"
"It hallucinates!"
"It’s killing critical thinking!"
And sure—it’s not perfect.
But after a year of experimenting, I've found 6 AI applications that have transformed my research and teaching 🧵
benjaminnoble.org/blog/six-ai-...
Six AI Applications Every Academic Should Try
From debugging code to synthesizing literature to creating a custom textbook, these applications complement rather than substitute for critical thinking.
benjaminnoble.org
August 1, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Academics are skeptical of AI.
"It plagiarizes!"
"It hallucinates!"
"It’s killing critical thinking!"
And sure—it’s not perfect.
But after a year of experimenting, I've found 6 AI applications that have transformed my research and teaching 🧵
benjaminnoble.org/blog/six-ai-...
"It plagiarizes!"
"It hallucinates!"
"It’s killing critical thinking!"
And sure—it’s not perfect.
But after a year of experimenting, I've found 6 AI applications that have transformed my research and teaching 🧵
benjaminnoble.org/blog/six-ai-...
Reposted by Ben Noble
Though Trump II often claims it is "maximally transparent," it hides a lot of information about relationships with outside groups/individuals
One such type of information is records of White House visitors
I explain why this is problematic for democracy at @thehill.com
thehill.com/opinion/whit...
One such type of information is records of White House visitors
I explain why this is problematic for democracy at @thehill.com
thehill.com/opinion/whit...
thehill.com
June 10, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Though Trump II often claims it is "maximally transparent," it hides a lot of information about relationships with outside groups/individuals
One such type of information is records of White House visitors
I explain why this is problematic for democracy at @thehill.com
thehill.com/opinion/whit...
One such type of information is records of White House visitors
I explain why this is problematic for democracy at @thehill.com
thehill.com/opinion/whit...
Dems in…array on GOP’s CR? This copy-paste messaging strategy aligns with my research with Gechun Lin (WUSTL): minority parties are consistently better at staying on message than the majority.
March 14, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Dems in…array on GOP’s CR? This copy-paste messaging strategy aligns with my research with Gechun Lin (WUSTL): minority parties are consistently better at staying on message than the majority.
Trump 2.0. Making Neustadt (1960) great again.
January 21, 2025 at 5:52 PM
Trump 2.0. Making Neustadt (1960) great again.
Did you, or someone you know, write a great dissertation on executive politics in the last two years? Email me (b2noble@ucsd.edu) to submit it for the George C. Edwards III Dissertation Award, recognizing the best dissertation on executive politics.
January 7, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Did you, or someone you know, write a great dissertation on executive politics in the last two years? Email me (b2noble@ucsd.edu) to submit it for the George C. Edwards III Dissertation Award, recognizing the best dissertation on executive politics.
With class starting Monday, I was running out of time to update the vignettes from my 2023 Intro slides on collective action problems in Congress. Turns out, procrastination pays off!
January 3, 2025 at 9:39 PM
With class starting Monday, I was running out of time to update the vignettes from my 2023 Intro slides on collective action problems in Congress. Turns out, procrastination pays off!
🚨 New year, new working paper 🚨
"In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...
Read on for the 🧵 version…
"In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...
Read on for the 🧵 version…
January 2, 2025 at 4:48 PM
🚨 New year, new working paper 🚨
"In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...
Read on for the 🧵 version…
"In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...
Read on for the 🧵 version…
Reposted by Ben Noble
Data question for the Congress experts (fun distraction for you!):
I have observations at the day-level (1993-present) and want to include "was Congress in session on this day?" as a covariate.
Does this exist as a .csv anywhere? If not, what would be the best/appropriate way to do this?
I have observations at the day-level (1993-present) and want to include "was Congress in session on this day?" as a covariate.
Does this exist as a .csv anywhere? If not, what would be the best/appropriate way to do this?
December 20, 2024 at 6:19 PM
Data question for the Congress experts (fun distraction for you!):
I have observations at the day-level (1993-present) and want to include "was Congress in session on this day?" as a covariate.
Does this exist as a .csv anywhere? If not, what would be the best/appropriate way to do this?
I have observations at the day-level (1993-present) and want to include "was Congress in session on this day?" as a covariate.
Does this exist as a .csv anywhere? If not, what would be the best/appropriate way to do this?
Really excited about this new Substack on executive power—an easy subscribe for anyone interested in the dynamics of presidential authority and decision-making. Looking forward to future posts!
My first effort on Executive Functions Newsletter: What To Expect in Trump 2.0, including recess appts, vacancies, DOGE, FACA, Loper, MQD, impoundment, civ service, IGs, DOJ independence, lawfare, conflicts of interest, troops at home, pardons, much more. open.substack.com/pub/executiv...
What To Expect in Trump 2.0
Executive power in Trump's second term, and in this newsletter
open.substack.com
December 19, 2024 at 4:35 PM
Really excited about this new Substack on executive power—an easy subscribe for anyone interested in the dynamics of presidential authority and decision-making. Looking forward to future posts!
Reposted by Ben Noble
Very happy this is out! I'm very proud of this paper. As always: read it, cite it, love it!
The institutional foundations of the power to persuade by Carlo Prato and Ian R. Turner is now available in Early View. @carloprato.bsky.social ajps.org/2024/12/10/t...
December 18, 2024 at 3:52 PM
Very happy this is out! I'm very proud of this paper. As always: read it, cite it, love it!
Thank you for sharing our paper, Brendan (w/ Taylor Carlson).
"our nationally-representative vignette experiment reveals that QAnon support decreases favorability toward candidates, even among seemingly sympathetic subpopulations. A follow-up conjoint experiment, varying whether candidates support Q, replicates these findings" benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...
January 2, 2024 at 6:46 PM
Thank you for sharing our paper, Brendan (w/ Taylor Carlson).
Highlight the contribution, stop writing the summary paragraph, don't be a jerk (obvs!), and other good advice from the @jawspolisci.bsky.social panel on academic journal reviewing last month. Thanks to the panelists and to JAWS for hosting a great workshop!
benjaminnoble.org/blog/reviewing
benjaminnoble.org/blog/reviewing
How to Be a Better Reviewer (JAWS Event Recap)
benjaminnoble.org
December 15, 2023 at 3:12 PM
Highlight the contribution, stop writing the summary paragraph, don't be a jerk (obvs!), and other good advice from the @jawspolisci.bsky.social panel on academic journal reviewing last month. Thanks to the panelists and to JAWS for hosting a great workshop!
benjaminnoble.org/blog/reviewing
benjaminnoble.org/blog/reviewing
Thanks to UCSD's Graduate and Professional Student Association for inviting me to participate in their career night panel on "making the most of your time in grad school" last week! My advice: make time to build relationships—inside and outside academia. It can't be all research all the time.
November 6, 2023 at 3:19 PM
Thanks to UCSD's Graduate and Professional Student Association for inviting me to participate in their career night panel on "making the most of your time in grad school" last week! My advice: make time to build relationships—inside and outside academia. It can't be all research all the time.
Reposted by Ben Noble
New: Rs question the integrity of House races when their candidates lose at much higher rates than Ds, but candidate race and margin of loss have no measurable effect (w/@johncarey.bsky.social, B. Fogarty, @jasonreifler.bsky.social, and great Dartmouth students)
sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/...
sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/...
November 3, 2023 at 12:49 PM
New: Rs question the integrity of House races when their candidates lose at much higher rates than Ds, but candidate race and margin of loss have no measurable effect (w/@johncarey.bsky.social, B. Fogarty, @jasonreifler.bsky.social, and great Dartmouth students)
sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/...
sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/...
Non-presidential party lawmakers talk about the president more than co-partisans and this affects out-party constituents’ opinions about MOCs. Check out the freshly-posted summary on the AJPS blog!
ajps.org/2023/10/30/p...
ajps.org/2023/10/30/p...
October 31, 2023 at 9:14 PM
Non-presidential party lawmakers talk about the president more than co-partisans and this affects out-party constituents’ opinions about MOCs. Check out the freshly-posted summary on the AJPS blog!
ajps.org/2023/10/30/p...
ajps.org/2023/10/30/p...
I really liked this plot @mirya.bsky.social posted on her latest newsletter showing time from project start to journal acceptance (and of course, her advice is awesome and you should subscribe).
miryaholman.substack.com/p/timing-is-...
miryaholman.substack.com/p/timing-is-...
October 30, 2023 at 2:08 PM
I really liked this plot @mirya.bsky.social posted on her latest newsletter showing time from project start to journal acceptance (and of course, her advice is awesome and you should subscribe).
miryaholman.substack.com/p/timing-is-...
miryaholman.substack.com/p/timing-is-...
Reposted by Ben Noble
Didn't realize this had made it online!!! Such a thrill to see my article at JOP up and on their website!
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
October 18, 2023 at 7:45 PM
Didn't realize this had made it online!!! Such a thrill to see my article at JOP up and on their website!
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Definitely bad for accountability, but probably helpful to Republicans. My research with @stevenwwebster.bsky.social and @ajreeves.bsky.social finds white Americans decrease approval of Dem. presidents more than Rep. presidents when they are worried about crime.
academic.oup.com/poq/article/...
academic.oup.com/poq/article/...
October 18, 2023 at 1:57 PM
Definitely bad for accountability, but probably helpful to Republicans. My research with @stevenwwebster.bsky.social and @ajreeves.bsky.social finds white Americans decrease approval of Dem. presidents more than Rep. presidents when they are worried about crime.
academic.oup.com/poq/article/...
academic.oup.com/poq/article/...
Reposted by Ben Noble
a database of datasets ⬇️
been working for awhile on pulling together economic datasets for econ & policy students b/c there is *so* much publicly available data
sharing it for anyone who finds it useful
pls suggest additions; work in progress
lenorepalladino.notion.site/Economic-and...
been working for awhile on pulling together economic datasets for econ & policy students b/c there is *so* much publicly available data
sharing it for anyone who finds it useful
pls suggest additions; work in progress
lenorepalladino.notion.site/Economic-and...
October 16, 2023 at 7:36 PM
a database of datasets ⬇️
been working for awhile on pulling together economic datasets for econ & policy students b/c there is *so* much publicly available data
sharing it for anyone who finds it useful
pls suggest additions; work in progress
lenorepalladino.notion.site/Economic-and...
been working for awhile on pulling together economic datasets for econ & policy students b/c there is *so* much publicly available data
sharing it for anyone who finds it useful
pls suggest additions; work in progress
lenorepalladino.notion.site/Economic-and...
A nifty little RStats tip: If you want to run a long process (for loops? 💀) and do something else in the meantime, you can end the code chunk with `system('say i am done')` and your computer will literally say "i am done" to alert you that the chunk is finished running.
October 15, 2023 at 5:21 PM
A nifty little RStats tip: If you want to run a long process (for loops? 💀) and do something else in the meantime, you can end the code chunk with `system('say i am done')` and your computer will literally say "i am done" to alert you that the chunk is finished running.
I'd never heard this story before (from Kernell et al., The Logic of American Politics textbook). Apparently, divided government was so unusual in the 1940s that Sen. Fulbright called for Truman's resignation and a bipartisan cabinet to run the country instead! Truman's response is also good.
October 11, 2023 at 10:46 PM
I'd never heard this story before (from Kernell et al., The Logic of American Politics textbook). Apparently, divided government was so unusual in the 1940s that Sen. Fulbright called for Truman's resignation and a bipartisan cabinet to run the country instead! Truman's response is also good.
Looking forward to meeting some SoCal academics and learning about exciting research at this conference in a couple of weeks! Thanks for organizing @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social and @drdrmiller.bsky.social.
I’m very excited to share the program for this fall’s SoCal Political Institutions and Political Economy Conference hosted by @ucrpolisci.bsky.social (co-organized by
@drdrmiller.bsky.social and myself)
If you’re interested in attending, please contact David or me.
@drdrmiller.bsky.social and myself)
If you’re interested in attending, please contact David or me.
October 10, 2023 at 6:47 PM
Looking forward to meeting some SoCal academics and learning about exciting research at this conference in a couple of weeks! Thanks for organizing @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social and @drdrmiller.bsky.social.