Brian Collins
@bcollins241.bsky.social
Back home in Ireland, after many years living in Seattle.
Reposted by Brian Collins
First, here’s what we know about how and why Harris lost ground.
Based on VoteCast data, we can estimate ~19 million people who voted for Biden four years ago stayed home.
(40% of those voting in 2024 had voted for Biden in 2020, and 40% had voted for Trump. From there, it’s simple arithmetic.)
Based on VoteCast data, we can estimate ~19 million people who voted for Biden four years ago stayed home.
(40% of those voting in 2024 had voted for Biden in 2020, and 40% had voted for Trump. From there, it’s simple arithmetic.)
January 4, 2025 at 6:00 PM
First, here’s what we know about how and why Harris lost ground.
Based on VoteCast data, we can estimate ~19 million people who voted for Biden four years ago stayed home.
(40% of those voting in 2024 had voted for Biden in 2020, and 40% had voted for Trump. From there, it’s simple arithmetic.)
Based on VoteCast data, we can estimate ~19 million people who voted for Biden four years ago stayed home.
(40% of those voting in 2024 had voted for Biden in 2020, and 40% had voted for Trump. From there, it’s simple arithmetic.)
Glad you all made it and are enjoying!
December 14, 2024 at 9:31 PM
Glad you all made it and are enjoying!