Avery Tomasco
@averytomascowx.bsky.social
I'm here because I lost a bet. Follow me for occasionally unhinged forecast content for Central Texas
Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance.
Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
June 4, 2025 at 3:17 AM
Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance.
Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
Preliminary timing of events, subject to change once storms have formed and we get a better idea of their progress
June 3, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Preliminary timing of events, subject to change once storms have formed and we get a better idea of their progress
Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin.
Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
June 3, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin.
Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
Great forecast, great result. I won't have to hand out any more of these water bottles this week, thank tha lord
May 27, 2025 at 12:27 PM
Great forecast, great result. I won't have to hand out any more of these water bottles this week, thank tha lord
Most importantly, similar rain totals occurred over the Lake Travis watershed. A combined 5,600 CFS (about 1.2 million gallons per minute) is flowing downstream as we speak.
This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days
This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days
May 27, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Most importantly, similar rain totals occurred over the Lake Travis watershed. A combined 5,600 CFS (about 1.2 million gallons per minute) is flowing downstream as we speak.
This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days
This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days
SWEET SWEET VICTORY
2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
May 27, 2025 at 12:03 PM
SWEET SWEET VICTORY
2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
Plan your afternoon/evening travels around the storms. The last place you want to be in a hailstorm is in your car, stuck in traffic.
May 2, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Plan your afternoon/evening travels around the storms. The last place you want to be in a hailstorm is in your car, stuck in traffic.
The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant.
Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
May 2, 2025 at 11:39 AM
The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant.
Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening.
Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
May 1, 2025 at 10:13 AM
WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening.
Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
Similar story on Thursday afternoon and evening, but the potential is there for an MCS (mesoscale convective system) to roll through.
Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question
Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question
April 29, 2025 at 11:37 AM
Similar story on Thursday afternoon and evening, but the potential is there for an MCS (mesoscale convective system) to roll through.
Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question
Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question
Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable.
Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
April 29, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable.
Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin.
"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
April 25, 2025 at 12:06 PM
A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin.
"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months.
The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
April 22, 2025 at 9:49 AM
A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months.
The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
No major changes to our weekend storm plan.
🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
April 18, 2025 at 12:37 PM
No major changes to our weekend storm plan.
🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday?
Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.
What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.
What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
April 17, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday?
Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.
What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.
What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas.
Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
April 14, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas.
Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES
HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
April 11, 2025 at 10:08 PM
NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES
HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing.
Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.
That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.
That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
April 11, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing.
Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.
That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.
That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
Happy cold front day I guess.
It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
April 10, 2025 at 10:19 AM
Happy cold front day I guess.
It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
Just kidding we love him and he's perfect
April 9, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Just kidding we love him and he's perfect
HI I'M BACK
And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
April 9, 2025 at 10:56 AM
HI I'M BACK
And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
Won't see much weather content from me on bs for a while 🐥
Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
March 2, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Won't see much weather content from me on bs for a while 🐥
Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
Coldest morning in more than a year has arrived.
Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
February 20, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Coldest morning in more than a year has arrived.
Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
Pssssst. It's snowing in Austin and much of the I-35 corridor.
Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
February 19, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Pssssst. It's snowing in Austin and much of the I-35 corridor.
Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.