Avery Tomasco
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averytomascowx.bsky.social
Avery Tomasco
@averytomascowx.bsky.social
I'm here because I lost a bet. Follow me for occasionally unhinged forecast content for Central Texas
Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance.

Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
June 4, 2025 at 3:17 AM
Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin.

Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
June 3, 2025 at 9:19 PM
SWEET SWEET VICTORY

2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
May 27, 2025 at 12:03 PM
No sorry I got logged out for a while but finally got this back up and running.

I've sinned and will atone with new updates here I promise
May 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM
The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant.

Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
May 2, 2025 at 11:39 AM
WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening.

Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
May 1, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable.

Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
April 29, 2025 at 11:34 AM
A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin.

"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
April 25, 2025 at 12:06 PM
A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months.

The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
April 22, 2025 at 9:49 AM
No major changes to our weekend storm plan.

🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
April 18, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday?

Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.

What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
April 17, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas.

Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
April 14, 2025 at 11:11 AM
NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES

HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
April 11, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing.

Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.

That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
April 11, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Happy cold front day I guess.

It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
April 10, 2025 at 10:19 AM
HI I'M BACK

And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
April 9, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Crabapple Fire in Gillespie County giving some terrifying sunset vibes in Bee Cave. @averytomascowx.bsky.social
March 15, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Heads up, central Texas. Extreme fire danger tomorrow.

Not sure if OP @averytomascowx.bsky.social was planning to post this here as well, so I'm passing it along.
March 3, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Won't see much weather content from me on bs for a while 🐥

Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
March 2, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Coldest morning in more than a year has arrived.

Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
February 20, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Pssssst. It's snowing in Austin and much of the I-35 corridor.

Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
February 19, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Brutal, brutal, brutal cold this morning. Put on every layer you've got.

Single-digit wind chill temperatures already as of 5:30 AM, and we'll keep dropping through about 9 AM. Odds are, we won't get above freezing this afternoon
February 19, 2025 at 11:23 AM
First look at the first of two dangerously cold nights in Central Texas.

WEDNESDAY MORNING
🔹Air temps: 15-25°
🔹Wind speed: 15-25 MPH
🔹Wind chill: 0-15°

B r u t a l. Genuine concern for hypothermia if you're outside for too long without the right gear
February 18, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Everything you had to do back in January.

Pipes prone to freezing need to be covered. Drip a few interior faucets. Keep pets inside. Cover up outdoor plants. Protect yourself with lots-o-layers, and check on friends/neighbors/family that may need some help
Hey @averytomascowx.bsky.social

Anything you think we should do in Austin ahead of the weather?
February 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Buckle up, scallywags.

Dangerous cold whips through Texas TUESDAY NIGHT. Single-digit wind chill temperatures expected Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

Pets, pipes, people, plants, and pants. Please wear pants and make good choices
February 17, 2025 at 12:36 PM