… yes, and the 500k total comp as mentioned is what disproportionately gives them the waterview parcels and allegiance to the tax avoidance class

Also peak schadenfreude that Bruce won’t get to do arguably the only thing that mattered to him personally as mayor, which is to open the World Cup

It unfortunately does - 120% AMI for family of 3 would be ~160k. Harrell’s salary was 230k.

Kate! Now for something more left leaning!

It’s kinda like a microcosm of the whole election at the very end of the count, with its very own mini-swing conservative->progressive.

But that’s just mostly an artifact of physical ballot batching in boxes, the magnitude of which should be predictable.

Having stared at the county-wide receiving/sorting demographics, I see it in this data too and can predict the magnitude to be about ~2%. See the cyan (dropbox) -> red (mail in) -> green (late mail in)

So today’s drop will probably be 53% Wilson, down 2% from yesterday

bsky.app/profile/anal...

That seems normal? Just an order-of-operations epiphenomenon. Like: “ok, we finished the huge batches of Election Day dropboxes, next we’re starting back into the straggler mail-ins” (the earliest of which would approximate mail-in demographics much more than late-dropbox progressive demographics)

As usual, the Torment Nexus meme

I get that service hours and service dollars are scarce, fair point. But surely we'd support King County Metro charging a special, higher fare for a ski bus to Snoqualmie Pass. They could use the revenue to support other service elsewhere. Seems like a pretty smart and sensible thing to do... 3/

lol yes, but the only wildcard is ballot challenges, of which there are 1700

What we can see is that the last stragglers to count (the remaining ballots, guessed from county-wide demographics) are going to be likely >53% Katie votes, based on what landed in receiving in the last 2 days.

Now that only gets you county-wide data, not Seattle-specific data. But I’ve noticed that if you apply the NPI and Stranger polls to that demographic data, and offset by a correction factor (city is more progressive than county), you can somewhat predict the content of the next drop of the next day.

Oh hi that’s me.

Basically every 9am I have been scraping the KC receiving (sorted but not verified) demographics dashboard for the raw ballot counts. Subtract off the previous day, and you get the newly received demographics. That demographic would precede the actual tabulated drops by 1-2 days.

Also worth noting that King County elections works slowly but extremely accurately. Countywide recounts do not change the outcome of a vote.

In 2015 a recount was triggered for a 39 vote lead council race… and a full recount later, verified the lead was 39. The tally was perfect the first time.

The incumbent is a well known petty tyrant who physically yells at staffers and yanks funding of whomever he doesn’t like.

The establishment nonprofit figured that it’s better to suck up to the petty incumbent, since the progressive newcomer probably won’t punitively mess with them even if she won.