Winston Smith
@wsmith01984.bsky.social
Parking space / BlueSky account. Comments on NZ politics, crypto (currency) criticism, et cetera. Mastodon: @winstonsmith@mastodon.nz
There's a nest with three little birds on my walk, and I think one is nearly ready to take his first flight 🥹
November 17, 2023 at 6:13 AM
There's a nest with three little birds on my walk, and I think one is nearly ready to take his first flight 🥹
Reposted by Winston Smith
found my new fit for the club
November 17, 2023 at 3:29 AM
found my new fit for the club
The low res GIF argument is too powerful 💪
This is a log curve.
Nothing like the growth in covid case numbers.
You are a chucklehead.
Nothing like the growth in covid case numbers.
You are a chucklehead.
November 17, 2023 at 5:21 AM
The low res GIF argument is too powerful 💪
Wayne says exponential growth is a thing but now it's log growth but not *that* log growth only *my* log growth is the correct log growth
I can understand being confused about log vs expo' but not being such a dick about it
I can understand being confused about log vs expo' but not being such a dick about it
Your argument is circular.
1. Population growth won't always be exponential because of war, disease, starvation.
2. Population growth won't always be exponential so we don't need to worry about it.
3. Therefore we don't need to worry about war, disease or starvation. Because there is no e-growth
1. Population growth won't always be exponential because of war, disease, starvation.
2. Population growth won't always be exponential so we don't need to worry about it.
3. Therefore we don't need to worry about war, disease or starvation. Because there is no e-growth
November 17, 2023 at 5:17 AM
Wayne says exponential growth is a thing but now it's log growth but not *that* log growth only *my* log growth is the correct log growth
I can understand being confused about log vs expo' but not being such a dick about it
I can understand being confused about log vs expo' but not being such a dick about it
Now I'm not saying Wayne is one, but this *exact* graph is often trotted out in support of ecofascist arguments.
You are incorrect.
The flaw in your argument is that you are only looking at the long-term. Exponentials exists in both the short and medium term (eg human population growth) and one needs to rationally deal with that reality. The nature of infectious disease spread is that it is exponential.
The flaw in your argument is that you are only looking at the long-term. Exponentials exists in both the short and medium term (eg human population growth) and one needs to rationally deal with that reality. The nature of infectious disease spread is that it is exponential.
November 17, 2023 at 5:12 AM
Now I'm not saying Wayne is one, but this *exact* graph is often trotted out in support of ecofascist arguments.
Wayne will say anything to not be wrong on the Internet
You are incorrect.
The flaw in your argument is that you are only looking at the long-term. Exponentials exists in both the short and medium term (eg human population growth) and one needs to rationally deal with that reality. The nature of infectious disease spread is that it is exponential.
The flaw in your argument is that you are only looking at the long-term. Exponentials exists in both the short and medium term (eg human population growth) and one needs to rationally deal with that reality. The nature of infectious disease spread is that it is exponential.
November 17, 2023 at 5:10 AM
Wayne will say anything to not be wrong on the Internet
"No parabola"
Because you only think in one, flat Earth dimension
Because you only think in one, flat Earth dimension
The code identifies the exponential factor that best matches the observed decrease/increase in the number of cases and the graphs both the case numbers on a long scale, and the exponential factor which is the effective R value for infectious disease spread.
All very standard.
No parabolas.
All very standard.
No parabolas.
November 17, 2023 at 4:32 AM
"No parabola"
Because you only think in one, flat Earth dimension
Because you only think in one, flat Earth dimension
How does Wayne react to being corrected? 👀
Lol..that's hilarious "log functions raised to algebraic values"
Are you just pretending to be stupid to troll or are you really that stupid and ignorant?
Are you just pretending to be stupid to troll or are you really that stupid and ignorant?
November 17, 2023 at 4:14 AM
How does Wayne react to being corrected? 👀
Wayne can't be correct for a yoctosecond so he's just unleashing hatred, veiled behind the worst kind of toxic positivity.
Lol..that's hilarious "log functions raised to algebraic values"
Are you just pretending to be stupid to troll or are you really that stupid and ignorant?
Are you just pretending to be stupid to troll or are you really that stupid and ignorant?
November 17, 2023 at 4:12 AM
Wayne can't be correct for a yoctosecond so he's just unleashing hatred, veiled behind the worst kind of toxic positivity.
I found the Biggest Genius on BlueSky 🍿
And there's never a case where there is your imaginary "log growth" which isn't a thing.
So you're what, 19???
Try to stop lying and use what little brain you have. And not get excited when you don't understand something.
So you're what, 19???
Try to stop lying and use what little brain you have. And not get excited when you don't understand something.
November 17, 2023 at 4:10 AM
I found the Biggest Genius on BlueSky 🍿
Here is your trophy Wayne 🏆
"Chucklehead"
"Chucklehead"
So you got caught out being wrong, and lying, so now you're just going to repeat your erroneous claim
Chucklehead.
Chucklehead.
November 17, 2023 at 4:08 AM
Here is your trophy Wayne 🏆
"Chucklehead"
"Chucklehead"
It's a Gompertz curve, Wayne, you silly Goose
Wrong again bozo. Yes I took the open source code which I had to modify and then I had to source the data. All attributed.
No question was avoided. You are delusional and embarassed you got caught lying again. Lol. So pathetic.
Why don't you generate the graph yourself if it's that simple. Lol.
No question was avoided. You are delusional and embarassed you got caught lying again. Lol. So pathetic.
Why don't you generate the graph yourself if it's that simple. Lol.
November 17, 2023 at 3:59 AM
It's a Gompertz curve, Wayne, you silly Goose
Reposted by Winston Smith
IBM said Thursday it will stop advertising on X, formerly Twitter, after a report from a media watchdog organization found that its ads had appeared on the Elon Musk-owned social media site alongside pro-Nazi tweets.
IBM pulls ads from X as Musk amplifies antisemitism
The billionaire’s latest controversial tweets come amid reports of major brands’ ads appearing next to pro-Nazi content.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 17, 2023 at 2:13 AM
IBM said Thursday it will stop advertising on X, formerly Twitter, after a report from a media watchdog organization found that its ads had appeared on the Elon Musk-owned social media site alongside pro-Nazi tweets.
Wayne wants an apology.
Sorry Wayne. Sorry I corrected you about NCEA maths.
Sorry Wayne. Sorry I corrected you about NCEA maths.
Enough of the defamatory lies. I never claimed the model is my own work, but I take full responsibility for the graph that is generated.
Full attribution is included on the graph.
Apologise for lying...again.
Full attribution is included on the graph.
Apologise for lying...again.
November 17, 2023 at 3:47 AM
Wayne wants an apology.
Sorry Wayne. Sorry I corrected you about NCEA maths.
Sorry Wayne. Sorry I corrected you about NCEA maths.
Reposted by Winston Smith
Reported NZ Covid cases Wednesday up 55% on last Wednesday
Thursday up 44% on last Thursday
which at least might be consistent with rate of increase slowing.
Thursday up 44% on last Thursday
which at least might be consistent with rate of increase slowing.
Saturday NZ reported covid case numbers were 25% up on the previous Saturday.
Sunday was 42% up on previous Sunday.
Monday was 52% up on pervious Monday.
Tuesday was 65% up on previous Tuesday.
Sunday was 42% up on previous Sunday.
Monday was 52% up on pervious Monday.
Tuesday was 65% up on previous Tuesday.
November 17, 2023 at 2:17 AM
Reported NZ Covid cases Wednesday up 55% on last Wednesday
Thursday up 44% on last Thursday
which at least might be consistent with rate of increase slowing.
Thursday up 44% on last Thursday
which at least might be consistent with rate of increase slowing.
It is log growth, the SEIR model he took and purports as his own work produces a Gompertz curve.
Do not get advice from alarmist fools
Do not get advice from alarmist fools
We currently have exponential growth of covid cases, as is expected, and not log growth.
That's an observable, measurable fact.
So the only question is whether you are deliberately lying or ignorant?
I think the former. Just a covid minimising troll.
Are you going to apologise for lying?
That's an observable, measurable fact.
So the only question is whether you are deliberately lying or ignorant?
I think the former. Just a covid minimising troll.
Are you going to apologise for lying?
November 17, 2023 at 3:35 AM
It is log growth, the SEIR model he took and purports as his own work produces a Gompertz curve.
Do not get advice from alarmist fools
Do not get advice from alarmist fools
'git clone' doesn't make you an expert, it makes you a plagiarist
I created the graph.
November 17, 2023 at 3:31 AM
'git clone' doesn't make you an expert, it makes you a plagiarist
Here is Wayne's latest award for being wrong in the Internet 👍
🏆
🏆
Nope. I've been an expert for decades. Hence the awards and scholarships.
November 17, 2023 at 3:30 AM
Here is Wayne's latest award for being wrong in the Internet 👍
🏆
🏆
Wayne will not receive an apology, but I call on people to report him for abusive bullshit
I always call it the Gompertz function. Not heard it referred to as a curve before because it isn't.
But I guess that's ok for casual, inexact use.
Are you going to apologise for lying?
But I guess that's ok for casual, inexact use.
Are you going to apologise for lying?
November 17, 2023 at 3:28 AM
Wayne will not receive an apology, but I call on people to report him for abusive bullshit
"Wayne knows everything. He is the only trustable source."
Lol. Don't get advice from cowardly anonymous trolls who don't understand basic statistics and can't even comprehend topics they google once. Lol.
November 17, 2023 at 3:25 AM
"Wayne knows everything. He is the only trustable source."
The difference between alarmist bullshit, and scientific accuracy is calling the growth log' growth. Exponentials just imply a missing dimension from your model.
PS> grow the fuck up, Wayne
PS> grow the fuck up, Wayne
Liar. I never blocked you
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
November 17, 2023 at 3:24 AM
The difference between alarmist bullshit, and scientific accuracy is calling the growth log' growth. Exponentials just imply a missing dimension from your model.
PS> grow the fuck up, Wayne
PS> grow the fuck up, Wayne
Wayne here did in fact block me, I reciprocated because no tolerance for his abusive language, then he unblocked after a change of mind
Liar. I never blocked you
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
November 17, 2023 at 3:22 AM
Wayne here did in fact block me, I reciprocated because no tolerance for his abusive language, then he unblocked after a change of mind
And here comes the hate. Dude could have reached for Google but the Googlebrain has consumed him.
Lol. Don't get advice from cowardly anonymous trolls who don't understand basic statistics and can't even comprehend topics they google once. Lol.
November 17, 2023 at 3:20 AM
And here comes the hate. Dude could have reached for Google but the Googlebrain has consumed him.
First time he heard of a Gompertz curve, suddenly an expert?
Liar. I never blocked you
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
And you are still wrong.
That's not even what a Gompertz curve is. But that's not important since you are wrong about the current growth not being exponential.
November 17, 2023 at 3:19 AM
First time he heard of a Gompertz curve, suddenly an expert?
How do you have a conversation on this website when notifications don't even work 🫠
November 17, 2023 at 3:18 AM
How do you have a conversation on this website when notifications don't even work 🫠