Thomas Warrick
tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Thomas Warrick
@tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Atlantic Council Nonresident Senior Fellow in Middle East Programs and Director, Future of DHS Project.

Former State Department Senior Advisor, former DHS Deputy Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism Policy.

Reposts do not imply endorsement.
May I propose a radical, three-step solution to Iran's very serious water crisis:

1. Stop spending money on proxy armies and nuclear weapons.

2. Make peace with Israel.

3. Invite Israeli experts to help.

time.com/7321571/iran...
Iran's Water Crisis Is Its Greatest Threat
The collapse of water security in Iran has been decades in the making and is rooted in a mania for mega projects.
time.com
November 9, 2025 at 12:21 AM
1/2: For the Trump 20-point plan to work, Gaza must be demilitarized; Hamas disarmed. The ISF mandate in the UNSC resolution is strong. But the resolution should make clear in para 4 that the Board of Peace's “operational entities” will control the money.

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
The important change needed in UNSC’s Gaza resolution: Control over the money
Taking the money away from Hamas is the best nonmilitary way to ensure Hamas is unable to rebuild and rearm.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
November 7, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Hard to imagine a rollicking interview about nuclear blustering between Trump and Putin, but today on Al-Ghad al-Arabi (Egypt) we came close. Kudos to interviewer Mohamed Abdallah for coming up with the reference to Jules Verne’s dark 1904 classic “The Master of the World.”
October 31, 2025 at 12:51 AM
There needs to be a way to get more aid to Gaza without enriching Hamas. Here are some ideas:

jstribune.com/warrick-how-...
How to Flood Gaza with Aid without Enriching Hamas – The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune
Essays – The key to success of President Donald Trump’s 20-point plan is to remove Hamas from power, permanently. A key to achieving that is to take away Hamas’s
jstribune.com
October 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
1 of 4 As I explained on Al-Jazeera, President Trump expects Hamas to turn over almost all the deceased hostages within a couple of days. Also: Hamas needs to stop executing people. Israel will cite this, rightly, as evidence Hamas is not giving up power in Gaza, as Trump’s 20-point plan requires.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Here are my thoughts today on what it's going to take for postwar Gaza to succeed.

www.cbc.ca/player/play/...
CBC's Natasha Fatah speaks with Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, Thomas Warrick
Get the latest on CBCNews.ca, the CBC News App, and CBC News Network for breaking news and analysis.
www.cbc.ca
October 11, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Interesting piece in The National (UAE) on Jared Kushner's (@jaredkushner role in the @realDonaldTrump administration's thinking about postwar Gaza.

www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025...
Jared Kushner back in the spotlight after Hamas and Israel agree to deal | The National
Trump's son-in-law was a near ubiquitous presence during President's first term, but he has largely steered clear of the second administration
www.thenationalnews.com
October 11, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Expect more revelations like this in the weeks to come.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/11/w...
A Memo in a Bunker, Intercepted Communications and Hamas’s Oct. 7 Plans
www.nytimes.com
October 11, 2025 at 2:09 PM
1 / 3 On Ash-Sharq/Bloomberg, Al-Qahera, and Al-Jazeera today talking about the Gaza peace deal. Worth celebrating for all those who want to see a lasting peace. But (1) will Hamas agree to lay down its weapons? (2) Will countries agree to contribute peacekeeping troops?
October 9, 2025 at 4:16 AM
On Al-Jazeera and Al-Jazeera English tonight, explaining that the pressure Monday in the talks in Egypt will be on Hamas: will they agree to the release of hostages within days? If not, Israel will say Hamas rejects President Trump’s plan.
October 4, 2025 at 9:59 PM
1/6 On Al-Jazeera, Al-Arabiya, Al-Qahera, CTV News (Canada), Al-Ghad al-Arabi, and TRT World tonight talking about Hamas’s response to the Trump peace plan for Gaza. One big concern is sequencing.
October 4, 2025 at 2:10 AM
While the Trump 20-point plan for Gaza has no UN role, there is a way a one-time-only, nonrenewable Security Council resolution could help, modeled on UNSCR 1031 (1995) for Bosnia.

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...
How a UN Security Council resolution could help end the war in Gaza
Drawing inspiration from an earlier example, the council should pass a one-time-only resolution authorizing an international transitional governing authority and security force.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
October 1, 2025 at 4:37 PM
1/3 On Al-Jazeera Thursday talking about the West Bank. Now that President Trump has said no West Bank annexation, here's what concerns me: Trump emphasizes no annexation to PM Netanyahu on Monday. But when Netanyahu goes home, some Israeli ministers may try small steps to undercut Trump’s position.
September 25, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Postwar Gaza plans are now on the front burner in Washington and New York. Bob Silverman and I discuss our updated Plan for Postwar Gaza and other, comparable plans in this OpEd in the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune:

jstribune.com/warrick-silv...
Postwar Gaza — What Will It Look Like? – The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune
Essays – Two years after October 7, 2023, governments are finally recognizing the need to adopt a plan for postwar Gaza, even while fighting is ongoing. On August
jstribune.com
September 22, 2025 at 1:58 PM
A group of former senior US officials, of whom I’m one, has released our updated Plan for Postwar Gaza on the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune website:

jstribune.com/wp-content/u...
September 22, 2025 at 1:50 PM
On CTV News in Canada on Saturday talking about the visit of Secretary of State Rubio to Israel. The question is what he will say on behalf of President Trump about the Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank, which could undermine the Abraham Accords.
September 14, 2025 at 6:56 PM
On BBC Arabic Sunday discussing the Rubio visit to Jerusalem. The open question is what message he conveyed about West Bank annexation. Annexation could disrupt the Abraham Accords and undermine one of Trump's most important diplomatic accomplishments.
September 14, 2025 at 6:51 PM
On Al-Jazeera tonight, saying that @realDonaldTrump will ensure Qatari PM Mohammed Abdulrahman Al Thani hears tonight the depth of the US commitment to Qatar's security.

On Gaza, Trump can be expected to say no one will, or should, pay to rebuild Gaza until Hamas is out of power and disarmed.
September 13, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Providing context and analysis on Israel’s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloomberg’s “Insight with Haslinda Amin” on Sept. 9.

www.linkedin.com/posts/tom-wa...
Providing context and analysis on Israel’s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloomberg’s “Insight with Haslinda Amin” on Sept. 9. | Tom Warrick
Providing context and analysis on Israel’s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloomberg’s “Insight with Haslinda Amin” on Sept. 9.
www.linkedin.com
September 11, 2025 at 2:23 AM
As I explained on several news programs on Tuesday, Israel does not ask U.S. permission before conducting strikes it deems essential for its national security. Here is IsraeliPM Netanyahu explaining this in April 2025.
September 10, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Quite a statement by the White House spokesperson criticizing the location of the Israeli strike against Hamas in Doha, Qatar.
September 9, 2025 at 5:46 PM