Pierre Fermigier
@scriptio.bsky.social
Politics, History, MENA & International Relations | Ex HRVP Cabinet, EEAS, SGDSN, Quai d'Orsay & Assemblée nationale | RT≠endorsement
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The Case Against Generative AI
Soundtrack: Queens of the Stone Age - First It Giveth
Before we go any further: This is, for the third time this year, the longest newsletter I've ever written, weighing in somewhere around 18,500 wo...
www.wheresyoured.at
“One of the most egregious wastes of capital in history, sold by career charlatans with their reputations laundered by a tech and business media afraid to criticize the powerful and analysts that don’t seem to want to tell their investors the truth.”
“Preserving this fragile equilibrium would be a core objective of the reassurance force.
Geography, direct interests, and legal and practical considerations make the three NATO allies on the Black Sea—Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey—natural candidates to assume this role.”
Geography, direct interests, and legal and practical considerations make the three NATO allies on the Black Sea—Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey—natural candidates to assume this role.”
Turkey Stakes its Claim in the Ukraine Peace Process
Turkey is positioning itself as a key player in a postwar reassurance force for Ukraine, especially in the Black Sea. But Ankara’s relationships with Moscow and Washington mean it faces a tough choice...
carnegieendowment.org
November 29, 2025 at 12:58 AM
“Preserving this fragile equilibrium would be a core objective of the reassurance force.
Geography, direct interests, and legal and practical considerations make the three NATO allies on the Black Sea—Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey—natural candidates to assume this role.”
Geography, direct interests, and legal and practical considerations make the three NATO allies on the Black Sea—Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey—natural candidates to assume this role.”
“As a precondition to supporting the EU plan, De Wever demanded that member states provide Euroclear with binding commitments to cover the €185bn held at the depository, should the loan go sour or sanctions against the Russian assets be lifted.” #Ukraine
Belgium says using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine will endanger a peace deal
Premier Bart De Wever sets out conditions that would resolve his objections to a proposed €140bn EU loan to Kyiv
on.ft.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:46 PM
“As a precondition to supporting the EU plan, De Wever demanded that member states provide Euroclear with binding commitments to cover the €185bn held at the depository, should the loan go sour or sanctions against the Russian assets be lifted.” #Ukraine
«Au cours des vingt dernières années, 1,6 million d’Italiens ont quitté le pays, tandis que moins de la moitié sont revenus : le solde négatif est de plus de 800 000 personnes, parties principalement de Lombardie, du Nord-Est et du Mezzogiorno.»
Le vrai problème migratoire de Meloni : l’Italie se vide
Bonjour !
lamatinaleeuropeenne.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 9:54 PM
«Au cours des vingt dernières années, 1,6 million d’Italiens ont quitté le pays, tandis que moins de la moitié sont revenus : le solde négatif est de plus de 800 000 personnes, parties principalement de Lombardie, du Nord-Est et du Mezzogiorno.»
«Selon les industriels de la défense, le principal frein à la hausse de leur production se situe du côté de leurs fournisseurs : un industriel de la défense sur trois rapporte des difficultés d’approvisionnement.»
L’industrie de défense française : un appareil de production sous tensions
L’invasion de l’Ukraine en 2022 a conduit de nombreux pays européens à vouloir augmenter leurs capacités de défense, ce qui a entraîné une...
blog.insee.fr
November 27, 2025 at 6:10 PM
«Selon les industriels de la défense, le principal frein à la hausse de leur production se situe du côté de leurs fournisseurs : un industriel de la défense sur trois rapporte des difficultés d’approvisionnement.»
“The Gerans help scout and open the path, but the damage comes from exquisite weapons. This is an important reminder that #airdefence is about appropriately intersecting layers to maximise the efficiency of intercept at each altitude, speed and trajectory of target.”
Octopus Adds an Additional Layer to Ukraine’s Air Defences
The value of the UK-Ukrainian drone interceptor is not in the characteristics of the munition, but in the process that brought it into being.
www.rusi.org
November 27, 2025 at 5:57 PM
“The Gerans help scout and open the path, but the damage comes from exquisite weapons. This is an important reminder that #airdefence is about appropriately intersecting layers to maximise the efficiency of intercept at each altitude, speed and trajectory of target.”
”And even if right-wing parties gain ascendancy across the region, it is far from clear that an illiberal Europe will be pro-American or that the dream of a more sovereign, less U.S.-dependent Europe is only held by the traditional parties of the center and left.”
The Paradox of Europe’s Trumpian Right
How America’s weaponization of ideology could backfire.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 27, 2025 at 3:59 PM
”And even if right-wing parties gain ascendancy across the region, it is far from clear that an illiberal Europe will be pro-American or that the dream of a more sovereign, less U.S.-dependent Europe is only held by the traditional parties of the center and left.”
“Dekleptocracy found that one Chinese company, Xinxiang Richful, now satisfies a large part of Russia’s demand, supplying up to eight million kilograms a year.” #Ukraine
Dekleptocracy: chemicals used to make mechanical lubricants and military-grade tyres are a vulnerability that US, UK and EU policymakers could exploit.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
West is ‘missing obscure sanctions that could set back Russia’s war machine’
US group Dekleptocracy identifies additives for military vehicles’ lubricants and tyres as potential vulnerabilities
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 1:06 PM
“Dekleptocracy found that one Chinese company, Xinxiang Richful, now satisfies a large part of Russia’s demand, supplying up to eight million kilograms a year.” #Ukraine
“To create a real sense of risk, Washington should prioritize sanctioning Chinese financial institutions that do business, however indirectly, with Rosneft and Lukoil.“ #Ukraine
America’s Toothless Sanctions on Russian Oil
Last month, the Trump administration imposed fresh sanctions on Russia’s two largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, signaling a renewed desire to drive Moscow to the negotiating table in its war a...
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 26, 2025 at 9:57 PM
“To create a real sense of risk, Washington should prioritize sanctioning Chinese financial institutions that do business, however indirectly, with Rosneft and Lukoil.“ #Ukraine
“What we’re seeing now is a weakening of the state’s ability to mediate competition. Capitalists are changing the rules themselves, taking on forms of #sovereignty.”
How Big Tech Became Part of the State
Amazon, Meta, and OpenAI wield tremendous influence over our politics, but does this mean we are entering an era of technofeudalism? In a wide-ranging discussion, Evgeny Morozov and Cedric Durand ask ...
jacobin.com
November 26, 2025 at 6:26 PM
“What we’re seeing now is a weakening of the state’s ability to mediate competition. Capitalists are changing the rules themselves, taking on forms of #sovereignty.”
“It would therefore be impossible for them to fully break with one another overnight, even if they wanted to. […] But the scale of their bilateral ties is shrinking—and fast.”
Russia-Türkiye Ties Falter Amid Stresses of Ukraine War
Mutual suspicion between Moscow and Ankara is growing as Türkiye cozies up to Washington and NATO while reducing its dependence on Russian energy.
carnegieendowment.org
November 26, 2025 at 5:56 PM
“It would therefore be impossible for them to fully break with one another overnight, even if they wanted to. […] But the scale of their bilateral ties is shrinking—and fast.”
«Pour restaurer un pays perdu, le #nationalisme n’a dès lors que deux recours : la prière adressée à Dieu, ou le recours à une puissance étrangère restée fidèle à la tradition et à l’autorité.»
Nationalistes européens : l’atlantisme du pire
L'hommage unanime des extrêmes droites européennes à la figure de Charlie Kirk témoigne d’un phénomène qui n'est paradoxal qu'en apparence : la propension des nationalistes à chercher la protection d’une puissance hostile, hier comme aujourd’hui. Dans une lettre ouverte à Henri de Kérillis, le seul député conservateur à avoir voté contre les accords de Munich en 1938, François Mauriac écrivait :…
esprit.presse.fr
November 24, 2025 at 10:35 PM
«Pour restaurer un pays perdu, le #nationalisme n’a dès lors que deux recours : la prière adressée à Dieu, ou le recours à une puissance étrangère restée fidèle à la tradition et à l’autorité.»
Jules Michelet, sur la guerre de Succession de Pologne (1733-1738).
November 24, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Jules Michelet, sur la guerre de Succession de Pologne (1733-1738).
«Si on veut commander, […] il faut aussi avoir des troupes sur le front. Et ça, avec un parc blindé Leclerc, même rénové à 200 unités avec un taux de dispo à 50% – soyons optimistes –, ce n'est pas très convaincant.» @leoperiapeigne.bsky.social
Blinder l'avenir. Qui a (encore) peur du char de combat?
Entre les limitations en Ukraine et la remontée en puissance manifeste des armées européennes sur le segment blindé, le Collimateur fait le point sur l'actualité et les perspectives pour le char de co...
lerubicon.org
November 22, 2025 at 5:17 PM
«Si on veut commander, […] il faut aussi avoir des troupes sur le front. Et ça, avec un parc blindé Leclerc, même rénové à 200 unités avec un taux de dispo à 50% – soyons optimistes –, ce n'est pas très convaincant.» @leoperiapeigne.bsky.social
«Si nous faisions le bilan de notre contenu mental – opinions, normes, désirs, présomptions –, nous remarquerions que la plus grande partie de ce contenu ne vient pas au Français de sa France ni à l’Espagnol de son Espagne, mais du fonds commun européen.»
L’européisme précurseur d’Ortega y Gasset
À propos de : Béatrice Fonck, José Ortega y Gasset : penseur de l'Europe, Les Belles Lettres
laviedesidees.fr
November 18, 2025 at 6:06 PM
«Si nous faisions le bilan de notre contenu mental – opinions, normes, désirs, présomptions –, nous remarquerions que la plus grande partie de ce contenu ne vient pas au Français de sa France ni à l’Espagnol de son Espagne, mais du fonds commun européen.»
«Soucieux de s’opposer à ce fatalisme technologique, et à mille lieues de ces approches, l’auteur mobilise les ressources de la sociologie pour questionner l’impact de l’IA sur l’organisation du #travail».
Le travail au temps de l’IA
À propos de : Juan Sebastián Carbonell, Un taylorisme augmenté. Critique de l'intelligence artificielle, Éditions Amsterdam
laviedesidees.fr
November 18, 2025 at 5:39 PM
«Soucieux de s’opposer à ce fatalisme technologique, et à mille lieues de ces approches, l’auteur mobilise les ressources de la sociologie pour questionner l’impact de l’IA sur l’organisation du #travail».
“The challenge to Europe is how to make a strategic investment in Ukraine’s future military capabilities, while still funding the country’s day-to-day needs on the battlefield.”
Time for Europe to Break the Bank on Ukraine
With U.S. aid largely discontinued, European leaders have no choice but to unlock Russia’s sovereign assets in order to keep Ukraine afloat. Only a long-term military and financial commitment can help...
carnegieendowment.org
November 18, 2025 at 1:13 PM
“The challenge to Europe is how to make a strategic investment in Ukraine’s future military capabilities, while still funding the country’s day-to-day needs on the battlefield.”
«À défaut de savoir ce que l’avenir réserve, on a la certitude qu’un retour aux vieilles recettes de gouvernance sahéliennes n’est pas une option.» #Sahel
Vers l’État-archipel au Sahel - AOC media
Le Groupe de soutien à l’Islam et aux Musulmans (JNIM) est aujourd’hui aux portes de Bamako, et il gouverne une bonne partie de l’hinterland malien et burkinabè ainsi que l’ouest du Niger. Le JNIM a s...
aoc.media
November 18, 2025 at 12:46 PM
«À défaut de savoir ce que l’avenir réserve, on a la certitude qu’un retour aux vieilles recettes de gouvernance sahéliennes n’est pas une option.» #Sahel
“One of the most egregious wastes of capital in history, sold by career charlatans with their reputations laundered by a tech and business media afraid to criticize the powerful and analysts that don’t seem to want to tell their investors the truth.”
The Case Against Generative AI
Soundtrack: Queens of the Stone Age - First It Giveth
Before we go any further: This is, for the third time this year, the longest newsletter I've ever written, weighing in somewhere around 18,500 wo...
www.wheresyoured.at
November 15, 2025 at 3:24 PM
“One of the most egregious wastes of capital in history, sold by career charlatans with their reputations laundered by a tech and business media afraid to criticize the powerful and analysts that don’t seem to want to tell their investors the truth.”
«Si les #Jacobins n’ont pas eu de doctrine ou d’orthodoxie centralisatrice, on comprend que les Girondins n’en avaient pas davantage qui fût décentralisatrice».
Le mythe de l’État centralisateur
À propos de : Guillaume Roubaud-Quashie, Côme Simien, Haro sur les Jacobins. Essai sur un mythe politique français. XVIIIe-XXIe siècle, Puf
laviedesidees.fr
November 15, 2025 at 1:10 PM
«Si les #Jacobins n’ont pas eu de doctrine ou d’orthodoxie centralisatrice, on comprend que les Girondins n’en avaient pas davantage qui fût décentralisatrice».
“This has to be a party that actually allows for Americans to see themselves in it and not just be a mirror image of just a few people who are engaged in politics”.
Zohran Mamdani’s lessons for Labour
The socialist’s victory shows the power of cost-of-living issues
www.newstatesman.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:57 AM
“This has to be a party that actually allows for Americans to see themselves in it and not just be a mirror image of just a few people who are engaged in politics”.
“Most analysts, inside and outside the country, argue that it is in #Turkey’s strategic interests to act now, while the opportunity is there and #Russia is still distracted in Ukraine.”
Armenia's Election Is a Foreign Affair
As the 2026 Armenian election approaches, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is facing fierce opposition from both Russia and the diaspora. He will need the help of Europe, the United States, and regional...
carnegieendowment.org
November 15, 2025 at 10:50 AM
“The countries that have a Baltic coastline today, excluding #Russia, could agree to a new treaty requiring ships to meet certain standards of insurance and certification to be allowed to navigate the Baltic—for example, on grounds of ecological protection.” #ShadowFleet
Ukraine’s Hardest Winter
With the Donbas in peril, Europe must pressure Russia now.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:45 PM
“The countries that have a Baltic coastline today, excluding #Russia, could agree to a new treaty requiring ships to meet certain standards of insurance and certification to be allowed to navigate the Baltic—for example, on grounds of ecological protection.” #ShadowFleet
“In retreating from aid, donor countries are ignoring an unavoidable truth: food insecurity in one place leads to instability in others.”
A Hidden Hunger Crisis Is Destabilizing the World
Food insecurity provokes violence—and weakens even wealthy states.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:09 PM
“In retreating from aid, donor countries are ignoring an unavoidable truth: food insecurity in one place leads to instability in others.”
“According to Germany’s Foreign Ministry, up to 80 percent of #Russia’s sanctions circumvention now involves Chinese entities. By allowing the Kremlin to finance aggression, #China gains an economic advantage by tying Russia’s economy to its own.”
China is the Weak Link in Europe’s Ukraine Strategy
China plays an increasingly active role in the Kremlin’s hybrid war against Europe. The EU must confront this growing China-Russia cooperation, as it poses grave threats to both European security and ...
carnegieendowment.org
November 11, 2025 at 9:34 PM