@rupertbaines.bsky.social
Reposted
Important work by @johnspringford.bsky.social surveying what is known about economic impacts of Brexit
There's room for reasonable people to debate the magnitudes & mechanisms, but the key lesson is clear ...
Mainstream economists were right that Brexit would reduce UK trade & harm the UK economy
There's room for reasonable people to debate the magnitudes & mechanisms, but the key lesson is clear ...
Mainstream economists were right that Brexit would reduce UK trade & harm the UK economy
Chart-heavy thread incoming. This is an attempt to survey the research to answer the question - were the forecasts predicting a lot of Brexit damage correct? 1/n.
The Constitution Society and Federal Trust asked me to do a survey of the evidence on the economics of Brexit, nine years on from the vote.
Hopefully it's a helpful reference. Short answer: the consensus was right - a large hit to GDP, trade and investment.
consoc.org.uk/publications...
Hopefully it's a helpful reference. Short answer: the consensus was right - a large hit to GDP, trade and investment.
consoc.org.uk/publications...
June 24, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Important work by @johnspringford.bsky.social surveying what is known about economic impacts of Brexit
There's room for reasonable people to debate the magnitudes & mechanisms, but the key lesson is clear ...
Mainstream economists were right that Brexit would reduce UK trade & harm the UK economy
There's room for reasonable people to debate the magnitudes & mechanisms, but the key lesson is clear ...
Mainstream economists were right that Brexit would reduce UK trade & harm the UK economy
Reposted
Yet more scaremongering in the Telegraph, so it's worth quoting one of the few named experts in the piece, Simon Gallagher:
"There is no evidence of a recent spike in [transformer] fires or failure rates"
www.linkedin.com/posts/simonc...
"There is no evidence of a recent spike in [transformer] fires or failure rates"
www.linkedin.com/posts/simonc...
June 24, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Yet more scaremongering in the Telegraph, so it's worth quoting one of the few named experts in the piece, Simon Gallagher:
"There is no evidence of a recent spike in [transformer] fires or failure rates"
www.linkedin.com/posts/simonc...
"There is no evidence of a recent spike in [transformer] fires or failure rates"
www.linkedin.com/posts/simonc...
Reposted
What a chart. The Iran nuclear deal Trump I tore up was working perfectly - Iran was not enriching in that era.
Now, Trump is dancing on the edge of a volcano in the hopes of getting precisely that kind of deal back.
Now, Trump is dancing on the edge of a volcano in the hopes of getting precisely that kind of deal back.
June 19, 2025 at 8:39 AM
What a chart. The Iran nuclear deal Trump I tore up was working perfectly - Iran was not enriching in that era.
Now, Trump is dancing on the edge of a volcano in the hopes of getting precisely that kind of deal back.
Now, Trump is dancing on the edge of a volcano in the hopes of getting precisely that kind of deal back.
Reposted
"What this means is that, by the time a foreigner cleans his social media in preparation for a trip to the U.S., as much of our news media has been urging us to do, it may already be too late."
SO many people will not come to the US if they risk being treated this way, undermining our soft power
SO many people will not come to the US if they risk being treated this way, undermining our soft power
An intense, shocking read, raising all kinds of questions. www.newyorker.com/news/the-led...
How My Reporting on the Columbia Protests Led to My Deportation
As an Australian who wrote about the demonstrations while on campus, I gave my phone a superficial clean before flying to the U.S. I underestimated what I was up against.
www.newyorker.com
June 19, 2025 at 1:57 PM
"What this means is that, by the time a foreigner cleans his social media in preparation for a trip to the U.S., as much of our news media has been urging us to do, it may already be too late."
SO many people will not come to the US if they risk being treated this way, undermining our soft power
SO many people will not come to the US if they risk being treated this way, undermining our soft power
Reposted
This is a a fantastic add hilarious thread. Both funny but also loads of ideas for *Very Scary* things.
My manifesto for a better Doctor Who:
1) More monsters that make ordinary but unexplained things, like the gurgling of pipes, where white goods left in a busy area overnight go, scary
2) Frank Cottrell Boyce to write a story every year
3) The companion should live on a housing estate
4) Shipping!
1) More monsters that make ordinary but unexplained things, like the gurgling of pipes, where white goods left in a busy area overnight go, scary
2) Frank Cottrell Boyce to write a story every year
3) The companion should live on a housing estate
4) Shipping!
I’ve stolen this for someone (maybe even you?) but the contrast between his first go being centered around the Powell Estate & this one being round a giant revolving tower that fires lasers is stark
June 1, 2025 at 3:08 PM
This is a a fantastic add hilarious thread. Both funny but also loads of ideas for *Very Scary* things.
Reposted
"50+ Venezuelans Imprisoned in El Salvador Came to US Legally, Never Violated Immigration Law" www.cato.org/blog/50-vene...
50+ Venezuelans Imprisoned in El Salvador Came to US Legally, Never Violated Immigration Law
The US government not only denied these men due process; it has generally failed to provide their families, their attorneys, or the public any information about what it alleges these men did to deserv...
www.cato.org
May 20, 2025 at 5:21 PM
"50+ Venezuelans Imprisoned in El Salvador Came to US Legally, Never Violated Immigration Law" www.cato.org/blog/50-vene...
What a fascinating thread
Tints in silent films could be literal (red for fire) or symbolic (rose for romance). Thanks to some rather overbuttered Kodak marketing materials for pre-tinted films, here are the tints and what they could mean!
Rose was nearly always symbolic, used for romance and romantic settings.
Rose was nearly always symbolic, used for romance and romantic settings.
May 16, 2025 at 2:09 PM
What a fascinating thread
Reposted
Island of Strangers - by @michaelrosenyes.bsky.social m.facebook.com/story.php?st...
May 14, 2025 at 9:06 AM
Island of Strangers - by @michaelrosenyes.bsky.social m.facebook.com/story.php?st...
Reposted
Your 'moment of doom' for May 14, 2025 ~ Sooner than expected.
“We’re witnessing ice dynamics that simply shouldn’t happen on these timescales. The acceleration pattern suggests we’ve potentially crossed a critical threshold that our models didn’t anticipate until the 2040s.”
“We’re witnessing ice dynamics that simply shouldn’t happen on these timescales. The acceleration pattern suggests we’ve potentially crossed a critical threshold that our models didn’t anticipate until the 2040s.”
Antarctica's ice loss doubles since 2020, what this means for coastal cities
www.journee-mondiale.com
May 14, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for May 14, 2025 ~ Sooner than expected.
“We’re witnessing ice dynamics that simply shouldn’t happen on these timescales. The acceleration pattern suggests we’ve potentially crossed a critical threshold that our models didn’t anticipate until the 2040s.”
“We’re witnessing ice dynamics that simply shouldn’t happen on these timescales. The acceleration pattern suggests we’ve potentially crossed a critical threshold that our models didn’t anticipate until the 2040s.”
Reposted
It's a fantastic book - download it - buy it - or just borrow it and read it. The Dust Bowl Triolgy are worth the effort.
May 11, 2025 at 1:20 PM
It's a fantastic book - download it - buy it - or just borrow it and read it. The Dust Bowl Triolgy are worth the effort.
Reposted
This morning @surliertexan.bsky.social was telling me about this exploding duck and it was TERRIBLE and I couldn’t stop laughing (because I’m BAD) and they were like yeah that’s the sort of thing that would happen to you
May 6, 2025 at 3:00 PM
This morning @surliertexan.bsky.social was telling me about this exploding duck and it was TERRIBLE and I couldn’t stop laughing (because I’m BAD) and they were like yeah that’s the sort of thing that would happen to you
Reposted
Among the ever expanding universe of things I didn't know, Keith Richards agreeing to try one would turn on first the Stones, and then the world to the Tequila Sunrise.
www.sfchronicle.com/entertainmen...
www.sfchronicle.com/entertainmen...
Bay Area bartender who created the tequila sunrise for the Rolling Stones has died
Bay Area bartender Bobby Lozoff, who introduced the Tequila Sunrise to the Rolling Stones, has died at 77 in Hawaii.
www.sfchronicle.com
May 5, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Among the ever expanding universe of things I didn't know, Keith Richards agreeing to try one would turn on first the Stones, and then the world to the Tequila Sunrise.
www.sfchronicle.com/entertainmen...
www.sfchronicle.com/entertainmen...
Reposted
Ben Franklin on inoculation, after his son died from smallpox.
“In 1736, I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation”.
“In 1736, I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation”.
May 3, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Ben Franklin on inoculation, after his son died from smallpox.
“In 1736, I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation”.
“In 1736, I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation”.
We did it! Thank you all sooo much for your support. Here are a few pics from yesterday’s lovely walk in Ivan’s memory.
Many many thanks to those who donated in Ivan's name.
If you would like to donate but haven't, please do. This is an important cause.
www.justgiving.com/page/carol-b...
Many many thanks to those who donated in Ivan's name.
If you would like to donate but haven't, please do. This is an important cause.
www.justgiving.com/page/carol-b...
Carol & Rupert's fundraiser walk for Mental Health Research UK, remembering Ivan
Help Carol Baines raise money to support Mental Health Research UK
www.justgiving.com
May 4, 2025 at 2:10 PM
We did it! Thank you all sooo much for your support. Here are a few pics from yesterday’s lovely walk in Ivan’s memory.
Many many thanks to those who donated in Ivan's name.
If you would like to donate but haven't, please do. This is an important cause.
www.justgiving.com/page/carol-b...
Many many thanks to those who donated in Ivan's name.
If you would like to donate but haven't, please do. This is an important cause.
www.justgiving.com/page/carol-b...
I don’t think #BBC Radio Six Music is on here? Listening to Guy Garvey. Really spooky: in was thinking “I bet he like Dory Previn. I haven’t heard in ages”. 20 minutes later guys who he plays?! Spooky.
May 4, 2025 at 1:47 PM
I don’t think #BBC Radio Six Music is on here? Listening to Guy Garvey. Really spooky: in was thinking “I bet he like Dory Previn. I haven’t heard in ages”. 20 minutes later guys who he plays?! Spooky.
Reposted
Attendees at the #RDconf last Saturday voted on an emergency motion to show their opposition to the Supreme Court ruling on the definition of a woman.
Read the motion below 👇
BMA-wide policy is set at the Annual Representative Meeting (ARM) in June 2025.
Read the motion below 👇
BMA-wide policy is set at the Annual Representative Meeting (ARM) in June 2025.
April 29, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Attendees at the #RDconf last Saturday voted on an emergency motion to show their opposition to the Supreme Court ruling on the definition of a woman.
Read the motion below 👇
BMA-wide policy is set at the Annual Representative Meeting (ARM) in June 2025.
Read the motion below 👇
BMA-wide policy is set at the Annual Representative Meeting (ARM) in June 2025.
Reposted
TELSEY begins tracking price increases over the past week. Some highlights:
* Abercrombie jeans: up 33%
* Amazon Echo: up 38.5%
* Target / Barbie doll: up 42.9%
* Abercrombie jeans: up 33%
* Amazon Echo: up 38.5%
* Target / Barbie doll: up 42.9%
April 29, 2025 at 11:10 AM
TELSEY begins tracking price increases over the past week. Some highlights:
* Abercrombie jeans: up 33%
* Amazon Echo: up 38.5%
* Target / Barbie doll: up 42.9%
* Abercrombie jeans: up 33%
* Amazon Echo: up 38.5%
* Target / Barbie doll: up 42.9%
Reposted
Not a single international cargo ship at the Port of Seattle. The port is effectively dead. The last ship from China will dock at a West coast port on the 29th, and the last Chinese ship will dock on the East coast around May 10th. After that, there will be no more shipments arriving from China.
April 27, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Not a single international cargo ship at the Port of Seattle. The port is effectively dead. The last ship from China will dock at a West coast port on the 29th, and the last Chinese ship will dock on the East coast around May 10th. After that, there will be no more shipments arriving from China.
Reposted
You absolutely have to read Simon Schama's fantastic essay on Trump’s war on knowledge in the Financial Times Weekend. It is included in the very cheap FT Edit app. He ends with a quote from Hannah Arendt. "Persuasion and violence can destroy truth, but they can never replace it.”
April 27, 2025 at 9:04 AM
You absolutely have to read Simon Schama's fantastic essay on Trump’s war on knowledge in the Financial Times Weekend. It is included in the very cheap FT Edit app. He ends with a quote from Hannah Arendt. "Persuasion and violence can destroy truth, but they can never replace it.”
Reposted
Happy International Twin Cities Day! My favourite pairing will never not be the Scottish village of Dull being paired with Boring, Oregon. And in 2017 the duo of drab became the trinity of tedium when they were joined by Australia's Shire of Bland.
April 27, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Happy International Twin Cities Day! My favourite pairing will never not be the Scottish village of Dull being paired with Boring, Oregon. And in 2017 the duo of drab became the trinity of tedium when they were joined by Australia's Shire of Bland.
Reposted
“After Donald Trump won in November, I sat down to read all 922 pages of Project 2025,” @dgraham.bsky.social writes in The Atlantic Daily. “What I discovered was more radical and more interesting than I’d expected.”
The Project 2025 Presidency
The blueprint for Trump 2.0 predicted much of what we’ve seen so far—and much of what’s to come.
bit.ly
April 27, 2025 at 1:45 AM
“After Donald Trump won in November, I sat down to read all 922 pages of Project 2025,” @dgraham.bsky.social writes in The Atlantic Daily. “What I discovered was more radical and more interesting than I’d expected.”
Reposted
This line is going to stick with me for a very long time.
“One of them is a 4-year-old with Stage 4 cancer who was deported without medication or the ability to contact their doctors…”
“One of them is a 4-year-old with Stage 4 cancer who was deported without medication or the ability to contact their doctors…”
Three U.S. citizens, ages 2, 4 and 7, swiftly deported from Louisiana
The cases have renewed concerns that the Trump administration’s expedited deportations are violating the rights of both citizens and noncitizens.
wapo.st
April 27, 2025 at 12:31 AM
This line is going to stick with me for a very long time.
“One of them is a 4-year-old with Stage 4 cancer who was deported without medication or the ability to contact their doctors…”
“One of them is a 4-year-old with Stage 4 cancer who was deported without medication or the ability to contact their doctors…”
Reposted
Let's discuss the *actual* charges against Judge Hannah Dugan using the Complaint against her.
tl;dr - she sent the man in question into the public hallway where agents there to arrest him watched him walk by and did nothing. 1/
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
tl;dr - she sent the man in question into the public hallway where agents there to arrest him watched him walk by and did nothing. 1/
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
storage.courtlistener.com
April 25, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Let's discuss the *actual* charges against Judge Hannah Dugan using the Complaint against her.
tl;dr - she sent the man in question into the public hallway where agents there to arrest him watched him walk by and did nothing. 1/
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
tl;dr - she sent the man in question into the public hallway where agents there to arrest him watched him walk by and did nothing. 1/
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
