Paul Sinning
@psi1.bsky.social
CEO HCSS. Geopolitics, Geo-economics, Climate, Security & Emerging Technologies. Usual caveats.
Reposted by Paul Sinning
🚨De resultaten van de HCSS Publieksmonitor Winterpeiling zijn zorgwekkend: vertrouwen daalt, verdeeldheid groeit en extremistische invloeden winnen terrein. Beleidsmakers kunnen deze signalen niet negeren.
HCSS Publieksmonitor Winterpeiling: Maatschappelijke stabiliteit blijft broos, interne spanningen domineren dreigingsbeeld - HCSS
Volgens de Winterpeiling van de HCSS Publieksmonitor krijgt de maatschappelijke stabiliteit in Nederland een krappe voldoende (6.1) . Binnenlandse spanningen, dalend vertrouwen in de overheid en…
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December 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM
🚨De resultaten van de HCSS Publieksmonitor Winterpeiling zijn zorgwekkend: vertrouwen daalt, verdeeldheid groeit en extremistische invloeden winnen terrein. Beleidsmakers kunnen deze signalen niet negeren.
Who wants to join us?
📢 Calling all students interested geopolitics:
HCSS is looking for motivated interns to support our research on defence, security, energy, climate & resilience.
The February internship round is open — don’t miss your chance!
🔗 Apply today.
buff.ly/5x1GLzQ
HCSS is looking for motivated interns to support our research on defence, security, energy, climate & resilience.
The February internship round is open — don’t miss your chance!
🔗 Apply today.
buff.ly/5x1GLzQ
HCSS General Internship is open for applications!
HCSS is looking for new interns to start in February 2026! Are you a student interested in geopolitics and international security? The HCSS internship is a dynamic and varied opportunity in research,…
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December 3, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Who wants to join us?
Reposted by Paul Sinning
❗New Research❗
We are so pleased to see this report on "Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks" published! It was excellent working with @hcss.bsky.social on the report and we think it's an absolute must-read!
Read
hcss.nl/report/asses...
We are so pleased to see this report on "Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks" published! It was excellent working with @hcss.bsky.social on the report and we think it's an absolute must-read!
Read
hcss.nl/report/asses...
December 3, 2025 at 3:12 PM
❗New Research❗
We are so pleased to see this report on "Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks" published! It was excellent working with @hcss.bsky.social on the report and we think it's an absolute must-read!
Read
hcss.nl/report/asses...
We are so pleased to see this report on "Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks" published! It was excellent working with @hcss.bsky.social on the report and we think it's an absolute must-read!
Read
hcss.nl/report/asses...
New report
New HCSS-CSDS Brussels report: Europe’s resilience is still situational, not systemic. Hybrid shocks are rising, but civil–military cooperation and military mobility lag. Strengthening energy, transport and digital systems is now a strategic imperative.
Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks - HCSS
Europe’s resilience is still situational, not systemic, concludes a new joint HCSS and CSDS report. The report finds that Europe’s ability to withstand hybrid shocks remains uneven, with…
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December 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
New report
Reposted by Paul Sinning
How does Xi Jinping aim to reshape the regional order by 2049?
HCSS senior fellow Friso Stevens breaks down China’s military build-up, indirect coercion, and the Party-state worldview behind it.
Read his new article in the Journal of Contemporary China:
HCSS senior fellow Friso Stevens breaks down China’s military build-up, indirect coercion, and the Party-state worldview behind it.
Read his new article in the Journal of Contemporary China:
Journal of Contemporary China | Friso Stevens: A Revanchist Chinese Foreign Policy, with Xi Jinping’s Politics in Command - HCSS
In an article for the Journal of Contemporary China, HCSS senior fellow Friso M. S. Stevens uses Steve Tsang’s concept of Party-state Realism to explain how Xi Jinping’s ideology drives China’s…
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November 30, 2025 at 2:00 PM
How does Xi Jinping aim to reshape the regional order by 2049?
HCSS senior fellow Friso Stevens breaks down China’s military build-up, indirect coercion, and the Party-state worldview behind it.
Read his new article in the Journal of Contemporary China:
HCSS senior fellow Friso Stevens breaks down China’s military build-up, indirect coercion, and the Party-state worldview behind it.
Read his new article in the Journal of Contemporary China:
Reposted by Paul Sinning
“Hoe kan Europa zijn soevereiniteit versterken in een veranderende wereldorde?”
Op 13 november organiseerden denktanks Clingendael en HCSS in samenwerking met de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag van Progress.
Lees hier de Key Takeways:
Op 13 november organiseerden denktanks Clingendael en HCSS in samenwerking met de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag van Progress.
Lees hier de Key Takeways:
Dag van Progress 2025 | Key Takeaways HCSS & Clingendael - HCSS
Op 13 november organiseerden The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies en The Clingendael Institute in samenwerking met het Ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken en Ministerie van Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag…
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November 28, 2025 at 7:00 PM
“Hoe kan Europa zijn soevereiniteit versterken in een veranderende wereldorde?”
Op 13 november organiseerden denktanks Clingendael en HCSS in samenwerking met de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag van Progress.
Lees hier de Key Takeways:
Op 13 november organiseerden denktanks Clingendael en HCSS in samenwerking met de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag van Progress.
Lees hier de Key Takeways:
Reposted by Paul Sinning
From innovator to bystander?
In an op-ed for GIS Reports, HCSS founder Rob de Wijk warns that political paralysis, rising populism and structural shortages are pushing the Netherlands into economic and geopolitical decline.
In an op-ed for GIS Reports, HCSS founder Rob de Wijk warns that political paralysis, rising populism and structural shortages are pushing the Netherlands into economic and geopolitical decline.
The Netherlands: A gradual decline – GIS Reports
Once innovative and influential, the Netherlands is now gripped by stagnation amid political deadlock, economic pressures and a weakening international position.
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November 29, 2025 at 9:59 AM
From innovator to bystander?
In an op-ed for GIS Reports, HCSS founder Rob de Wijk warns that political paralysis, rising populism and structural shortages are pushing the Netherlands into economic and geopolitical decline.
In an op-ed for GIS Reports, HCSS founder Rob de Wijk warns that political paralysis, rising populism and structural shortages are pushing the Netherlands into economic and geopolitical decline.
Reposted by Paul Sinning
New HCSS report: Do alternative fuels belong on the battlefield?
Fuel has long enabled military power. But as Europe shifts from fossil fuels, can alternative fuels sustain or even enhance operational readiness?
Find our in new report by Irina Patrahau and Ron Stoop:
buff.ly/ULnYkwF
Fuel has long enabled military power. But as Europe shifts from fossil fuels, can alternative fuels sustain or even enhance operational readiness?
Find our in new report by Irina Patrahau and Ron Stoop:
buff.ly/ULnYkwF
European Military Fuel Readiness: The Role of Alternative Fuels in Military Logistics - HCSS
What does the energy transition in the military look like? The use of alternative fuels in the military brings challenges and opportunities, but while fossil fuels are slowly phased out, advanced and…
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November 26, 2025 at 6:00 PM
New HCSS report: Do alternative fuels belong on the battlefield?
Fuel has long enabled military power. But as Europe shifts from fossil fuels, can alternative fuels sustain or even enhance operational readiness?
Find our in new report by Irina Patrahau and Ron Stoop:
buff.ly/ULnYkwF
Fuel has long enabled military power. But as Europe shifts from fossil fuels, can alternative fuels sustain or even enhance operational readiness?
Find our in new report by Irina Patrahau and Ron Stoop:
buff.ly/ULnYkwF
Reposted by Paul Sinning
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace
Who would benefit from the White House’s 28-point proposal for Ukraine?
www.theatlantic.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:11 AM
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Reposted by Paul Sinning
“We can’t take a knife to a gun fight.”
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley spoke at the European Aluminium summit this week, in a panel that explored the balance between sustainability and economic pragmatism in the EU’s long-term transition strategy.
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley spoke at the European Aluminium summit this week, in a panel that explored the balance between sustainability and economic pragmatism in the EU’s long-term transition strategy.
European industry leaders highlight multiple challenges
This week European Aluminium’s first ever summit commenced, bringing together industry leaders, academics and technical experts from across the global…
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November 22, 2025 at 7:02 PM
“We can’t take a knife to a gun fight.”
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley spoke at the European Aluminium summit this week, in a panel that explored the balance between sustainability and economic pragmatism in the EU’s long-term transition strategy.
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley spoke at the European Aluminium summit this week, in a panel that explored the balance between sustainability and economic pragmatism in the EU’s long-term transition strategy.
Reposted by Paul Sinning
China dominates the CRM needed for Europe’s energy transition. The US is moving fast to secure its own supply. Can the EU keep up?
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley analyses Europe’s growing vulnerability — and the race for resilience.
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley analyses Europe’s growing vulnerability — and the race for resilience.
Annales des Mines | The current state of the European Union’s dependency and its policies - HCSS
In an article for Les Annales des Mines, HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley examines how the EU’s efforts to reduce strategic dependencies — from energy to defence — have paradoxically coincided…
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November 13, 2025 at 2:01 PM
China dominates the CRM needed for Europe’s energy transition. The US is moving fast to secure its own supply. Can the EU keep up?
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley analyses Europe’s growing vulnerability — and the race for resilience.
HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley analyses Europe’s growing vulnerability — and the race for resilience.
Reposted by Paul Sinning
How can voluntary mineral stockpiles make Europe’s clean tech sector more resilient and sustainable?
A new HCSS report for InvestNL explores how public-private collaboration can secure access to critical raw materials.
🔗
A new HCSS report for InvestNL explores how public-private collaboration can secure access to critical raw materials.
🔗
Securing Europe’s Clean Tech Future: Supporting Industry Stockpiles of Critical Raw Materials in the Netherlands - HCSS
From batteries to hydrogen: Europe’s clean tech future depends on secure, sustainable material supply. A new HCSS report explores how public-private collaboration on voluntary critical raw material…
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November 13, 2025 at 9:30 AM
How can voluntary mineral stockpiles make Europe’s clean tech sector more resilient and sustainable?
A new HCSS report for InvestNL explores how public-private collaboration can secure access to critical raw materials.
🔗
A new HCSS report for InvestNL explores how public-private collaboration can secure access to critical raw materials.
🔗
Reposted by Paul Sinning
Vandaag organiseren HCSS en Clingendael ism de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse 'Dag van Progress', met dit jaar als thema:
"Europese soevereiniteit en kennis in tijden van trans-Atlantische spanning."
#DagVanProgress
"Europese soevereiniteit en kennis in tijden van trans-Atlantische spanning."
#DagVanProgress
November 13, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Vandaag organiseren HCSS en Clingendael ism de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse 'Dag van Progress', met dit jaar als thema:
"Europese soevereiniteit en kennis in tijden van trans-Atlantische spanning."
#DagVanProgress
"Europese soevereiniteit en kennis in tijden van trans-Atlantische spanning."
#DagVanProgress
Reposted by Paul Sinning
The Red Sea and South China Sea are vital arteries for global trade. How can 🇳🇱 strengthen maritime partnerships with Egypt, Indonesia, Malaysia & others?
Find out at upcoming HCSS webinar on 18 Nov.
🗓️ 10:00–12:00 CET
🔗 Register now!
Find out at upcoming HCSS webinar on 18 Nov.
🗓️ 10:00–12:00 CET
🔗 Register now!
Bridging Waters: Middle Powers' Cooperation on Maritime Security
Join the webinar on maritime security partnerships with emerging middle powers and discover opportunities for collaboration and dialogue.
buff.ly
November 3, 2025 at 6:45 AM
The Red Sea and South China Sea are vital arteries for global trade. How can 🇳🇱 strengthen maritime partnerships with Egypt, Indonesia, Malaysia & others?
Find out at upcoming HCSS webinar on 18 Nov.
🗓️ 10:00–12:00 CET
🔗 Register now!
Find out at upcoming HCSS webinar on 18 Nov.
🗓️ 10:00–12:00 CET
🔗 Register now!
Welcome Grace!
We’re delighted to welcome Dr. Grace Wermenbol to HCSS as non-resident Senior Fellow International Security & Geopolitics!
She brings deep expertise on U.S. foreign policy, transatlantic relations, Sino-U.S. competition & Middle East geopolitics.
buff.ly/ztvpyra
She brings deep expertise on U.S. foreign policy, transatlantic relations, Sino-U.S. competition & Middle East geopolitics.
buff.ly/ztvpyra
November 3, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Welcome Grace!
Bad and frustrating news indeed!!
Yes the CO2 rise 2023-2024 was faster than we predicted at Mauna Loa and was a record rise there - now the WMO confirm the global mean rise was also a record
Also the rate of CO2 rise is now above the IPCC scenarios that limit global warming to 1.5C
www.carbonbrief.org/met-office-a...
Also the rate of CO2 rise is now above the IPCC scenarios that limit global warming to 1.5C
www.carbonbrief.org/met-office-a...
October 19, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Bad and frustrating news indeed!!
Reposted by Paul Sinning
Can India turn its participation in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) into a tool for shaping, rather than reacting to, the changing global order?
Read the latest HCSS Snapshot by Anna Hoefnagels and Benedetta Girardi to find out!
🔗
Read the latest HCSS Snapshot by Anna Hoefnagels and Benedetta Girardi to find out!
🔗
Old Players, New Moves: India's Strategy in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation - HCSS
As global power dynamics shift toward multipolarity, India’s challenge lies not in adaptation, but in shaping the new order. A new HCSS Snapshot, Old Players, New Moves: India’s Strategy in the…
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October 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Can India turn its participation in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) into a tool for shaping, rather than reacting to, the changing global order?
Read the latest HCSS Snapshot by Anna Hoefnagels and Benedetta Girardi to find out!
🔗
Read the latest HCSS Snapshot by Anna Hoefnagels and Benedetta Girardi to find out!
🔗
Reposted by Paul Sinning
🌊 A triple planetary crisis now affects every part of the ocean
oceanographicmagazine.com/news/a-tripl...
oceanographicmagazine.com/news/a-tripl...
A triple planetary crisis now affects every part of the ocean - Oceanographic
It's according to the Ninth Copernicus Ocean State Report that every part of the ocean is now affected by the triple planetary crisis.
oceanographicmagazine.com
October 12, 2025 at 4:47 AM
🌊 A triple planetary crisis now affects every part of the ocean
oceanographicmagazine.com/news/a-tripl...
oceanographicmagazine.com/news/a-tripl...
En deel 2 van de publieksmonitor!
📊 De nieuwe Najaarspeiling 2025 van de HCSS Publieksmonitor waarschuwt: Nederland verkeert niet in acute crisis, maar onder de oppervlakte groeit de onvrede en neemt de stabiliteit af.
Lees meer via: buff.ly/uQ7y4qw
Lees meer via: buff.ly/uQ7y4qw
October 6, 2025 at 2:58 PM
En deel 2 van de publieksmonitor!
New and important report: the use of AI in the military domain!
For the past 2 years, HCSS has had the privilege of serving as the Secretariat of GC REAIM
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
Responsible by Design: Strategic Guidance Report
The responsible development and use of AI in the military domain requires informed human decisions and context-specific approaches to designing, testing, and deploying these technologies in ways that…
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October 6, 2025 at 2:56 PM
New and important report: the use of AI in the military domain!
Reposted by Paul Sinning
For the past 2 years, HCSS has had the privilege of serving as the Secretariat of GC REAIM
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
Responsible by Design: Strategic Guidance Report
The responsible development and use of AI in the military domain requires informed human decisions and context-specific approaches to designing, testing, and deploying these technologies in ways that…
buff.ly
October 4, 2025 at 10:01 AM
For the past 2 years, HCSS has had the privilege of serving as the Secretariat of GC REAIM
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.
Welcome Nico!
HCSS is proud that Nico Tak has joined us as Strategic Advisor Defence and Security!
A retired three-star general with practical experience of security policy and defence at the strategic, operational and tactical levels, he is an expert in security policy, strategy and leadership.
buff.ly/Uf4zHVt
A retired three-star general with practical experience of security policy and defence at the strategic, operational and tactical levels, he is an expert in security policy, strategy and leadership.
buff.ly/Uf4zHVt
October 6, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Welcome Nico!
Reposted by Paul Sinning
I learned a lot from my engagement with members of the Dutch national security community (some of whom preferred not to feature on the group photo) @hcss.bsky.social The insights shared from those with experience in training Ukrainian personnel were particularly informative.
hcss.nl/news/a-littl...
hcss.nl/news/a-littl...
Iskander Rehman | A Little World War: Lessons from the Spanish Civil War for Contemporary Strategies - HCSS
On 11th September 2025, HCSS welcomed Iskander Rehman, author and Senior Political Scientist at the RAND corporation for a lecture on the Lessons Learnt from the Spanish Civil War (1936-1939) applicab...
hcss.nl
October 1, 2025 at 4:05 PM
I learned a lot from my engagement with members of the Dutch national security community (some of whom preferred not to feature on the group photo) @hcss.bsky.social The insights shared from those with experience in training Ukrainian personnel were particularly informative.
hcss.nl/news/a-littl...
hcss.nl/news/a-littl...
Reposted by Paul Sinning
Why do great powers wage war?
HCSS analyst Markus Iven presents the Grand Strategies in War Dataset (GSWD)—linking grand and military strategy across 38 US & Russian wars since 1945.
Patterns of power, survival & rivalry revealed:
HCSS analyst Markus Iven presents the Grand Strategies in War Dataset (GSWD)—linking grand and military strategy across 38 US & Russian wars since 1945.
Patterns of power, survival & rivalry revealed:
Why the US, Russia and other great powers wage war - Atlantische Commissie
Article by the winner of the Netherlands Atlantic Associations Dwight D. Eisenhower Thesis Prize 2025
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October 1, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Why do great powers wage war?
HCSS analyst Markus Iven presents the Grand Strategies in War Dataset (GSWD)—linking grand and military strategy across 38 US & Russian wars since 1945.
Patterns of power, survival & rivalry revealed:
HCSS analyst Markus Iven presents the Grand Strategies in War Dataset (GSWD)—linking grand and military strategy across 38 US & Russian wars since 1945.
Patterns of power, survival & rivalry revealed:
Reposted by Paul Sinning
📉 Nederlanders geven maatschappelijke stabiliteit een 6,1 – lager dan in de zomer. Groeiende zorgen over interne spanningen, functioneren van de democratie en uitblijven van daadkrachtig bestuur, toont nieuwe #HCSSPublieksmonitor
HCSS Publieksmonitor Maatschappelijke Stabiliteit: Hoofdlijnen Najaarspeiling 2025 - HCSS
De Najaarspeiling van de HCSS Publieksmonitor laat zien dat maatschappelijke stabiliteit in Nederland broos blijft. Nederlanders beoordelen deze met een 6,1, lager dan in de zomer. Interne spanningen…
buff.ly
September 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM
📉 Nederlanders geven maatschappelijke stabiliteit een 6,1 – lager dan in de zomer. Groeiende zorgen over interne spanningen, functioneren van de democratie en uitblijven van daadkrachtig bestuur, toont nieuwe #HCSSPublieksmonitor