Philipp Broniecki
@philippbroniecki.bsky.social
Pollster with Vantage Data House. Election forecasts, public opinion.
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
📢 New article
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social , Lukas Obholzer & Christine Reh
🔎 Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision-Making.
📖 Open access in Legislative Studies Quarterly
🔗 doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social , Lukas Obholzer & Christine Reh
🔎 Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision-Making.
📖 Open access in Legislative Studies Quarterly
🔗 doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision‐Making
Negotiations in bicameral settings face the risk of gridlock when veto players' preferences diverge on the ideological (left–right) dimension. In the European Union (EU), a high proportion of legisla...
doi.org
August 16, 2025 at 6:46 PM
📢 New article
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social , Lukas Obholzer & Christine Reh
🔎 Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision-Making.
📖 Open access in Legislative Studies Quarterly
🔗 doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social , Lukas Obholzer & Christine Reh
🔎 Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision-Making.
📖 Open access in Legislative Studies Quarterly
🔗 doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
📢 New article
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & @bjornhoyland.bsky.social land
🔎 What Unites the Right in the European Parliament?
📖 Open access In European Union Politics.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1465...
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & @bjornhoyland.bsky.social land
🔎 What Unites the Right in the European Parliament?
📖 Open access In European Union Politics.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1465...
What unites the right in the European Parliament? - Philipp Broniecki, Bjørn Høyland, 2025
This letter analyzes coalition patterns among right-wing groups in the European Parliament, exploring the conditions that lead these groups to unite on policy. ...
doi.org
August 17, 2025 at 7:21 PM
📢 New article
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & @bjornhoyland.bsky.social land
🔎 What Unites the Right in the European Parliament?
📖 Open access In European Union Politics.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1465...
👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & @bjornhoyland.bsky.social land
🔎 What Unites the Right in the European Parliament?
📖 Open access In European Union Politics.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1465...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Our letter @philippbroniecki.bsky.social on what unites the right in the European Parliament is out in @eupthejournal.bsky.social , journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
What unites the right in the European Parliament? - Philipp Broniecki, Bjørn Høyland, 2025
This letter analyzes coalition patterns among right-wing groups in the European Parliament, exploring the conditions that lead these groups to unite on policy. ...
journals.sagepub.com
June 29, 2025 at 11:20 AM
Our letter @philippbroniecki.bsky.social on what unites the right in the European Parliament is out in @eupthejournal.bsky.social , journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
This is another fabulous Substack by @laurenleek.eu, on the challenges of survey sampling. A must-read for survey industry specialists and academic users of surveys. Eg. I’m sure you’ll love this @kevincunning.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...
The Quiet Collapse of Surveys Part II: adding some nuances
Following up on the previous Substack which identified twin threats for surveys: increases in non-response and bots, this follow-up unpacks the nuances, busts myths, and offers practical fixes.
open.substack.com
June 8, 2025 at 1:07 PM
This is another fabulous Substack by @laurenleek.eu, on the challenges of survey sampling. A must-read for survey industry specialists and academic users of surveys. Eg. I’m sure you’ll love this @kevincunning.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Delighted that my paper with @kevincunning.bsky.social on "Still second-order national elections? Evaluating the classic model after the 2024 European elections" has just been published by @wepsocial.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/
doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/
May 19, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Delighted that my paper with @kevincunning.bsky.social on "Still second-order national elections? Evaluating the classic model after the 2024 European elections" has just been published by @wepsocial.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/
doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Hi! I would just like to share that the first paper in my PhD has been accepted for publication in @thejop.bsky.social and you can read the "ahead of print" version here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
This is a very big day for me!! Now I am a real PUBLISHED researcher!
This is a very big day for me!! Now I am a real PUBLISHED researcher!
Beyond the glass ceiling, more 'housework'? Womens' work assignment, performance and influence in political institutions | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
www.journals.uchicago.edu
May 2, 2025 at 8:44 AM
Hi! I would just like to share that the first paper in my PhD has been accepted for publication in @thejop.bsky.social and you can read the "ahead of print" version here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
This is a very big day for me!! Now I am a real PUBLISHED researcher!
This is a very big day for me!! Now I am a real PUBLISHED researcher!
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
What effect do ideologically extreme candidates have?
"We show that in-party voters, out-party voters, and independent voters are more likely to turnout to vote and partisans are more likely to support their party’s candidate in elections with ideologically extreme candidates"
tinyurl.com/ycxz3v8m
"We show that in-party voters, out-party voters, and independent voters are more likely to turnout to vote and partisans are more likely to support their party’s candidate in elections with ideologically extreme candidates"
tinyurl.com/ycxz3v8m
April 4, 2025 at 1:18 PM
What effect do ideologically extreme candidates have?
"We show that in-party voters, out-party voters, and independent voters are more likely to turnout to vote and partisans are more likely to support their party’s candidate in elections with ideologically extreme candidates"
tinyurl.com/ycxz3v8m
"We show that in-party voters, out-party voters, and independent voters are more likely to turnout to vote and partisans are more likely to support their party’s candidate in elections with ideologically extreme candidates"
tinyurl.com/ycxz3v8m
The Berlin government wants to deport 4 long time residents, 3 of them EU citizens b/c they protested Israel's conduct in Gaza: p.dw.com/p/4seq1
Seems Vance was right to criticize us for lack of free speech afterall.
Seems Vance was right to criticize us for lack of free speech afterall.
Germany to deport pro-Palestinian protesters – DW – 04/03/2025
German immigration authorities have ordered four foreigners involved in pro-Palestinian protests to be deported. They are accused of indirectly supporting Hamas, which is designated as a terrorist org...
p.dw.com
April 3, 2025 at 8:38 PM
The Berlin government wants to deport 4 long time residents, 3 of them EU citizens b/c they protested Israel's conduct in Gaza: p.dw.com/p/4seq1
Seems Vance was right to criticize us for lack of free speech afterall.
Seems Vance was right to criticize us for lack of free speech afterall.
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Deutsche im Ausland, habt ihr eure Wahlbenachrichtigungen schon? Ich warte noch (Norwegen). Am 13.1. sollten die rausgegangen sein.
Antrag auf Eintragung ins Wahlregister habe ich rechtzeitig gestellt.
Antrag auf Eintragung ins Wahlregister habe ich rechtzeitig gestellt.
January 30, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Deutsche im Ausland, habt ihr eure Wahlbenachrichtigungen schon? Ich warte noch (Norwegen). Am 13.1. sollten die rausgegangen sein.
Antrag auf Eintragung ins Wahlregister habe ich rechtzeitig gestellt.
Antrag auf Eintragung ins Wahlregister habe ich rechtzeitig gestellt.
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
📢 We are hiring: 4-year PhD position at the Department of Government @univie.ac.at 👇
Interested in pursuing a PhD in comparative politics (institutions, behaviour, representation, parties)? We have a four-year position at our department, with great conditions, lots of freedom and a reasonable teaching load. Get in touch if you have questions! jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
University assistant predoctoral
University assistant predoctoral
jobs.univie.ac.at
January 16, 2025 at 10:35 AM
📢 We are hiring: 4-year PhD position at the Department of Government @univie.ac.at 👇
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Are you (or your Masters students) puzzled by why polling misses happen in elections worldwide? Curious to uncover when, why, and how to fix it?
Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇
Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇
January 16, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Are you (or your Masters students) puzzled by why polling misses happen in elections worldwide? Curious to uncover when, why, and how to fix it?
Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇
Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Interested in pursuing a PhD in comparative politics (institutions, behaviour, representation, parties)? We have a four-year position at our department, with great conditions, lots of freedom and a reasonable teaching load. Get in touch if you have questions! jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
University assistant predoctoral
University assistant predoctoral
jobs.univie.ac.at
January 16, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Interested in pursuing a PhD in comparative politics (institutions, behaviour, representation, parties)? We have a four-year position at our department, with great conditions, lots of freedom and a reasonable teaching load. Get in touch if you have questions! jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
🚨 You are looking for a PhD position in political science & your planned research broadly fits into comparative politics or political behavior? Then join us in Vienna! We offer a 4-year position to pursue your own topic👇. Benefits include good salary & supervision.
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
University assistant predoctoral
University assistant predoctoral
jobs.univie.ac.at
January 16, 2025 at 11:05 AM
🚨 You are looking for a PhD position in political science & your planned research broadly fits into comparative politics or political behavior? Then join us in Vienna! We offer a 4-year position to pursue your own topic👇. Benefits include good salary & supervision.
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
🦜New Pub Alert! 🦜
In our new article @psrm.bsky.social, @joeornstein.bsky.social @jaketruscott.bsky.social and I demonstrate how LLMs (like ChaptGPT) can be used to process large text-as-data projects, like sentiment analysis, document scaling, and topic modeling. #polisky doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
In our new article @psrm.bsky.social, @joeornstein.bsky.social @jaketruscott.bsky.social and I demonstrate how LLMs (like ChaptGPT) can be used to process large text-as-data projects, like sentiment analysis, document scaling, and topic modeling. #polisky doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
January 14, 2025 at 5:19 PM
🦜New Pub Alert! 🦜
In our new article @psrm.bsky.social, @joeornstein.bsky.social @jaketruscott.bsky.social and I demonstrate how LLMs (like ChaptGPT) can be used to process large text-as-data projects, like sentiment analysis, document scaling, and topic modeling. #polisky doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
In our new article @psrm.bsky.social, @joeornstein.bsky.social @jaketruscott.bsky.social and I demonstrate how LLMs (like ChaptGPT) can be used to process large text-as-data projects, like sentiment analysis, document scaling, and topic modeling. #polisky doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
After the 2024 #EU elections, parties on the right now hold 52% of the seats ➡🗳 But should we expect that to translate into right-wing policies?
@philippbroniecki.bsky.social and Bjørn Høyland (University of Oslo) look at coalitions and common ground on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social 👇
@philippbroniecki.bsky.social and Bjørn Høyland (University of Oslo) look at coalitions and common ground on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social 👇
What unites the right in the European Parliament?
The 2024 European Parliament elections produced a majority for political groups on the right. But should we expect right-wing policies? Drawing on a new study, Philipp Broniecki and Bjørn Høyland e…
blogs.lse.ac.uk
January 14, 2025 at 2:20 PM
After the 2024 #EU elections, parties on the right now hold 52% of the seats ➡🗳 But should we expect that to translate into right-wing policies?
@philippbroniecki.bsky.social and Bjørn Høyland (University of Oslo) look at coalitions and common ground on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social 👇
@philippbroniecki.bsky.social and Bjørn Høyland (University of Oslo) look at coalitions and common ground on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social 👇
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
AfD ist ekelhaft.
In #Karlsruhe wird Menschen mit Migrationshintergrund so etwas als „Flyer“ in den Briefkasten geworfen. - Wer jetzt nicht begreift, dass die A*D den sozialen #Frieden & unsere Freiheit zerstört, macht sich mitschuldig (Grüße an #CDU #CSU)
January 12, 2025 at 7:02 PM
AfD ist ekelhaft.
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
What unites the right in the European Parliament? Bjørn Høyland and I wrote a blog post about the potential for right EU policies in 2024-2029.
💥 New: What unites the right in the European Parliament?
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
What unites the right in the European Parliament?
The 2024 European Parliament elections produced a majority for political groups on the right. But should we expect right-wing policies? Drawing on a new study, Philipp Broniecki and Bjørn Høyland e…
blogs.lse.ac.uk
January 13, 2025 at 12:46 PM
What unites the right in the European Parliament? Bjørn Høyland and I wrote a blog post about the potential for right EU policies in 2024-2029.
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
💥 New: What unites the right in the European Parliament?
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
What unites the right in the European Parliament?
The 2024 European Parliament elections produced a majority for political groups on the right. But should we expect right-wing policies? Drawing on a new study, Philipp Broniecki and Bjørn Høyland e…
blogs.lse.ac.uk
January 13, 2025 at 12:45 PM
💥 New: What unites the right in the European Parliament?
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
Are football fans holding stronger European identities than non-fans? That was the question we investigated in our latest paper from the FANZinE project which has just been published in Contemporary European Politics (open access). The short answer is Yes:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
The Football Effect: Comparing European Identity Between Fans and Non‐Fans
The formation of European identities is a pivotal issue for the cohesion of the European community in times of multiple crises. Based on theories of identity formation through habitualisation, we pos...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
January 9, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Are football fans holding stronger European identities than non-fans? That was the question we investigated in our latest paper from the FANZinE project which has just been published in Contemporary European Politics (open access). The short answer is Yes:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
New PhD position on my UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship project on political polarization: fully funded + ~20k tax free yearly stipend. Deadline: Feb 14th! Link to apply: www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DLI246/p...
PhD Studentship in Politics and International Relations at University of Reading
Explore the PhD Studentship in Politics and International Relations on jobs.ac.uk, the top job board for higher education. Apply now.
www.jobs.ac.uk
January 8, 2025 at 6:14 PM
New PhD position on my UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship project on political polarization: fully funded + ~20k tax free yearly stipend. Deadline: Feb 14th! Link to apply: www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DLI246/p...
Reposted by Philipp Broniecki
PLEASE SHARE!
Thread on EITM Europe where I will teach this summer with my brilliant friend @dzobrien.bsky.social as well as Thomas Bräuninger and Richard Traunmüller.
There is NO TUITION FEE, but students must find funding for travel and accommodation. June 9-20
www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/eitm/
Thread on EITM Europe where I will teach this summer with my brilliant friend @dzobrien.bsky.social as well as Thomas Bräuninger and Richard Traunmüller.
There is NO TUITION FEE, but students must find funding for travel and accommodation. June 9-20
www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/eitm/
EITM
www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de
January 6, 2025 at 10:08 PM
PLEASE SHARE!
Thread on EITM Europe where I will teach this summer with my brilliant friend @dzobrien.bsky.social as well as Thomas Bräuninger and Richard Traunmüller.
There is NO TUITION FEE, but students must find funding for travel and accommodation. June 9-20
www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/eitm/
Thread on EITM Europe where I will teach this summer with my brilliant friend @dzobrien.bsky.social as well as Thomas Bräuninger and Richard Traunmüller.
There is NO TUITION FEE, but students must find funding for travel and accommodation. June 9-20
www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/eitm/