Paul Barber
@paulbarber23.bsky.social
Retired former public servant and current affairs tv producer. Interested in polls, politics, economics, history and public policy. Avid Scottish country dancer.
Nobody Knows How Many Immigrant Workers Have Left the US Amidst Trump's Mass Deportations... We may still lack the data for a proper accounting of the economic costs of Trump’s immigration crackdown, but we can already say it’s not delivering the promised benefits. www.apricitas.io/p/america-is...
America is Flying Blind on Immigration
Nobody Knows How Many Immigrant Workers Have Left the US Amidst Trump's Mass Deportations. That's Incredibly Bad.
www.apricitas.io
December 4, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Nobody Knows How Many Immigrant Workers Have Left the US Amidst Trump's Mass Deportations... We may still lack the data for a proper accounting of the economic costs of Trump’s immigration crackdown, but we can already say it’s not delivering the promised benefits. www.apricitas.io/p/america-is...
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/12/is-f... Not as much as it was it seems, but unsaid, clearly because of Trump "policy errors".
Is the Future still Bright?
It was almost thirteen years ago when I wrote "The Future's so Bright …" I noted that I was the most optimistic since the '90s, and that t...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
December 3, 2025 at 12:49 AM
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/12/is-f... Not as much as it was it seems, but unsaid, clearly because of Trump "policy errors".
Trump’s erratic ... trade announcements ...are not motivated by a genuine concern with trade deficits.... (the) latest official data ... confirms that America’s bilateral trade with Canada is uniquely balanced and beneficial. www.progressive-economics.ca/2025/05/late...
Latest Data Confirms U.S.-Canada Trade is Uniquely Balanced – The Progressive Economics Forum
www.progressive-economics.ca
November 30, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Trump’s erratic ... trade announcements ...are not motivated by a genuine concern with trade deficits.... (the) latest official data ... confirms that America’s bilateral trade with Canada is uniquely balanced and beneficial. www.progressive-economics.ca/2025/05/late...
Crypto currency is toxic. www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
The Next Financial Crisis
This is worth repeating ... Back in 2005 I was mostly writing about the housing bubble - and the coming housing bust. But I also mention...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
November 11, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Crypto currency is toxic. www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
This is a great review: www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
The Labour leadership should 'read this book and learn lessons': Jon Cruddas reviews 'Tony Blair'
A significant re-examination of the Labour leader’s legacy, Steve Richards’ insightful book is worth buying just for the chapter looking at Tony Bl...
www.politicshome.com
October 3, 2025 at 5:24 PM
This is a great review: www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
The Tyee has published an important read on the report of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Canada. Today, September 30, is the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation.
thetyee.ca/News/2025/09...
thetyee.ca/News/2025/09...
The Definitive History of Canada’s Residential School Shame | The Tyee
Ten years ago, the Truth and Reconciliation Commission released its landmark report. Everyone should read it.
thetyee.ca
September 30, 2025 at 11:05 PM
The Tyee has published an important read on the report of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Canada. Today, September 30, is the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation.
thetyee.ca/News/2025/09...
thetyee.ca/News/2025/09...
Most of the twelve Federal Reserve Districts reported little or no change in economic activity... the four Districts that differed reported modest growth... flat to declining consumer spending because... wages were failing to keep up with rising prices. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...
September 4, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Most of the twelve Federal Reserve Districts reported little or no change in economic activity... the four Districts that differed reported modest growth... flat to declining consumer spending because... wages were failing to keep up with rising prices. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...
Everyone should read this: www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/the-...
The Next Financial Crisis
Back in 2005 I was mostly writing about the housing bubble - and the coming housing bust. But I also mentioned the possibility of a financ...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
August 12, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Everyone should read this: www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/the-...
Reposted by Paul Barber
What's the point of negotiating a deal with a bloke who won't stick to his side of it, eh?
July 11, 2025 at 12:51 PM
What's the point of negotiating a deal with a bloke who won't stick to his side of it, eh?
Reposted by Paul Barber
My plan to revive American manufacturing is to: raise the price of inputs like steel, aluminum & copper; create shortages of rare earths; generate less electricity; invite retaliatory tariffs; cut R&D; raise borrowing costs by blowing out the budget; and to cover it all in a cloud of uncertainty.
July 10, 2025 at 11:52 AM
My plan to revive American manufacturing is to: raise the price of inputs like steel, aluminum & copper; create shortages of rare earths; generate less electricity; invite retaliatory tariffs; cut R&D; raise borrowing costs by blowing out the budget; and to cover it all in a cloud of uncertainty.
Very interesting post by NYT's Michael Lange on Mamdani: substack.com/home/post/p-...
The Zohran Coalition
Mamdani's Mandate & The Dawn of a New Day
substack.com
June 27, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Very interesting post by NYT's Michael Lange on Mamdani: substack.com/home/post/p-...
Reposted by Paul Barber
Warren on CNBC on Mamdani: "You misunderstand what his campaign was about. His campaign was saying, 'I want to invest in NYC. I want to invest in people being able to have good jobs here, put their kids in school and build housing.' And he built a grassroots campaign. He didn't have a billionaire."
June 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Warren on CNBC on Mamdani: "You misunderstand what his campaign was about. His campaign was saying, 'I want to invest in NYC. I want to invest in people being able to have good jobs here, put their kids in school and build housing.' And he built a grassroots campaign. He didn't have a billionaire."
Reposted by Paul Barber
Hard to blame "Ottawa's attacks on the oil industry" for the hardship many Albertans experience: Alta oil production (& profits!) are the highest ever. Jobs, wages & living standards are shrinking there cuz of home-grown problems. My take for @thestar.com: www.thestar.com/business/opi...
Jim Stanford: Let’s drop the phoney Alberta versus Canada nonsense. The province has met the enemy — and it is them
Alberta’s economy produces more GDP per worker than any other. But the average Albertan’s standard of living is lower than a decade ago.
www.thestar.com
May 25, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Hard to blame "Ottawa's attacks on the oil industry" for the hardship many Albertans experience: Alta oil production (& profits!) are the highest ever. Jobs, wages & living standards are shrinking there cuz of home-grown problems. My take for @thestar.com: www.thestar.com/business/opi...
Reposted by Paul Barber
www.thestar.com/news/gta/how... My brother in law Harry Malcolmson has written a significant new book about Toronto's Art scene in the sixties.
How Toronto’s art scene grew from ‘barren ground’ to cultural powerhouse in the 1960s
Harry Malcolmson, now in his 90s, traces Toronto’s shift from conservatism to artistic hub in his book, “Scene: How the 1960s Transformed Canadian Art.”
www.thestar.com
May 3, 2025 at 9:37 PM
www.thestar.com/news/gta/how... My brother in law Harry Malcolmson has written a significant new book about Toronto's Art scene in the sixties.
www.thestar.com/news/gta/how... My brother in law Harry Malcolmson has written a significant new book about Toronto's Art scene in the sixties.
How Toronto’s art scene grew from ‘barren ground’ to cultural powerhouse in the 1960s
Harry Malcolmson, now in his 90s, traces Toronto’s shift from conservatism to artistic hub in his book, “Scene: How the 1960s Transformed Canadian Art.”
www.thestar.com
May 3, 2025 at 9:37 PM
www.thestar.com/news/gta/how... My brother in law Harry Malcolmson has written a significant new book about Toronto's Art scene in the sixties.
www.bbc.com/news/live/c1...
...a closer look at the list of places targeted by Trump's recent tariff ...the Trump administration will place a 10% tariff on the Heard and McDonald Islands - an Australian territory that is closer to Antarctica than anywhere else, and is completely uninhabited.
...a closer look at the list of places targeted by Trump's recent tariff ...the Trump administration will place a 10% tariff on the Heard and McDonald Islands - an Australian territory that is closer to Antarctica than anywhere else, and is completely uninhabited.
April 3, 2025 at 6:18 AM
www.bbc.com/news/live/c1...
...a closer look at the list of places targeted by Trump's recent tariff ...the Trump administration will place a 10% tariff on the Heard and McDonald Islands - an Australian territory that is closer to Antarctica than anywhere else, and is completely uninhabited.
...a closer look at the list of places targeted by Trump's recent tariff ...the Trump administration will place a 10% tariff on the Heard and McDonald Islands - an Australian territory that is closer to Antarctica than anywhere else, and is completely uninhabited.
Reposted by Paul Barber
Thank you, internet.
April 2, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Thank you, internet.
From a cautious observer who foresaw the 2008 financial crisis: '... key long-term economic issues like climate change and income ... inequality ...will likely get worse. ... I'm still not currently on recession watch. However, I'm not sanguine.' www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/04/econ...
Economic Tailwinds and Headwinds
After the election in November 2016, I pointed out that the economy was solid, that there were significant economic tailwinds and that it w...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
April 2, 2025 at 5:20 PM
From a cautious observer who foresaw the 2008 financial crisis: '... key long-term economic issues like climate change and income ... inequality ...will likely get worse. ... I'm still not currently on recession watch. However, I'm not sanguine.' www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/04/econ...