Oscar Luigi Guccione
@oskarluigi.bsky.social
Program Assistant at The German Marshall Fund of the United States. PhD candidate. Views my own.
Poland shot down multiple Russian drones after overnight incursions—many from Belarusian territory. Why this is different, why it matters for NATO, and what comes next in my analysis.
#Poland #NATO #Ukraine #Security
#Poland #NATO #Ukraine #Security
Last night's downing of Russian drones over Polish territory is the Kremlin's most brazen attempt to test NATO reflexes. The incident, and the reaction of Poland and its allies, raises the level of the tension between them and Russia, writes GMF's Oscar Luigi Guccione.
The Kremlin Again Tests NATO’s Frontline
For the first time since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, a NATO member state and Russia have engaged in a direct clash. Poland has shot down Russian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), reportedly…
www.gmfus.org
September 10, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Mio pezzo sulle elezioni presidenziali in Polonia. Perché e in che misura ha vinto la destra, quali saranno le conseguenze, chi è Karol Nawrocki e cosa farà.
💈 Polonia, perché la destra sovranista vince anche se di misura | @fabioturco.bsky.social
www.valigiablu.it/polonia-nawr...
www.valigiablu.it/polonia-nawr...
Polonia, perché la destra sovranista vince anche se di misura - Valigia Blu
Karol Nawrocki ha vinto le presidenziali in Polonia con il 50,9% dei voti, grazie al sostegno decisivo dell’estrema destra. La sua elezione segna una battuta d’arresto per il governo liberal-progressi...
www.valigiablu.it
June 4, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Mio pezzo sulle elezioni presidenziali in Polonia. Perché e in che misura ha vinto la destra, quali saranno le conseguenze, chi è Karol Nawrocki e cosa farà.
🗳️Poland’s pendulum swings back: Nawrocki’s conservative presidency could undo Tusk’s progress and fracture Europe’s eastward strategy.
My deep-dive: ➡️ www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
My deep-dive: ➡️ www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
Poland’s Political Pendulum
www.gmfus.org
June 3, 2025 at 3:09 PM
🗳️Poland’s pendulum swings back: Nawrocki’s conservative presidency could undo Tusk’s progress and fracture Europe’s eastward strategy.
My deep-dive: ➡️ www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
My deep-dive: ➡️ www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
Out now "Coalition of the Willing",
@gmfus.bsky.social's Transatlantic Security first collective dossier! I was honoured to contribute the Polish perspective: national security first, no boots on Ukrainian soil.
Read it here: gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
#Poland #Ukraine #CoalitionOfTheWilling
@gmfus.bsky.social's Transatlantic Security first collective dossier! I was honoured to contribute the Polish perspective: national security first, no boots on Ukrainian soil.
Read it here: gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
#Poland #Ukraine #CoalitionOfTheWilling
May 22, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Out now "Coalition of the Willing",
@gmfus.bsky.social's Transatlantic Security first collective dossier! I was honoured to contribute the Polish perspective: national security first, no boots on Ukrainian soil.
Read it here: gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
#Poland #Ukraine #CoalitionOfTheWilling
@gmfus.bsky.social's Transatlantic Security first collective dossier! I was honoured to contribute the Polish perspective: national security first, no boots on Ukrainian soil.
Read it here: gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
#Poland #Ukraine #CoalitionOfTheWilling
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Contributors to this report include: @kberzina.bsky.social, @sophiearts.bsky.social, @oskarluigi.bsky.social , @claudmajor.bsky.social, @gesineweber.bsky.social r.bsky.social, @georginaewright.bsky.social
Read now: www.gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
Read now: www.gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
Coalition of the Willing
www.gmfus.org
May 16, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Contributors to this report include: @kberzina.bsky.social, @sophiearts.bsky.social, @oskarluigi.bsky.social , @claudmajor.bsky.social, @gesineweber.bsky.social r.bsky.social, @georginaewright.bsky.social
Read now: www.gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
Read now: www.gmfus.org/news/coaliti...
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
🇵🇱 What are the Polish presidential candidates' stance on security and foreign policy?
⤵️ Read a pre-election analysis by @oskarluigi.bsky.social: bit.ly/4ljPPEx
⤵️ Read a pre-election analysis by @oskarluigi.bsky.social: bit.ly/4ljPPEx
Poland’s High-Stakes Election: Security and Strategy
Poland’s presidential election on May 18, with a likely runoff on June 1, comes amid rising concerns over security. This article provides an analytical overview of the candidates' security stances and...
bit.ly
April 16, 2025 at 8:54 AM
🇵🇱 What are the Polish presidential candidates' stance on security and foreign policy?
⤵️ Read a pre-election analysis by @oskarluigi.bsky.social: bit.ly/4ljPPEx
⤵️ Read a pre-election analysis by @oskarluigi.bsky.social: bit.ly/4ljPPEx
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
🇵🇱 Foreign policy and security are major issues in next month's Polish presidential election.
⬇️ Read an overview of the top candidates' positions by GMF's Oscar Luigi Guccione.
⬇️ Read an overview of the top candidates' positions by GMF's Oscar Luigi Guccione.
Poland’s High-Stakes Election: Security and Strategy
Poland’s presidential election on May 18, with a likely runoff on June 1, comes amid rising concerns over security. This article provides an analytical overview of the candidates' security stances…
www.gmfus.org
April 5, 2025 at 5:00 PM
🇵🇱 Foreign policy and security are major issues in next month's Polish presidential election.
⬇️ Read an overview of the top candidates' positions by GMF's Oscar Luigi Guccione.
⬇️ Read an overview of the top candidates' positions by GMF's Oscar Luigi Guccione.
My latest on the Presidential Elections in Poland
👉Security gained central importance in the campaign
👉Trzaskowski shifts right to gain votes
👉Cooperation with the EU would become more difficult under Nawrocki or Mentzen
More👇
www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
👉Security gained central importance in the campaign
👉Trzaskowski shifts right to gain votes
👉Cooperation with the EU would become more difficult under Nawrocki or Mentzen
More👇
www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
Poland’s High-Stakes Election: Security and Strategy
Poland’s presidential election on May 18, with a likely runoff on June 1, comes amid rising concerns over security. This article provides an analytical overview of the candidates' security stances and...
www.gmfus.org
April 2, 2025 at 5:27 PM
My latest on the Presidential Elections in Poland
👉Security gained central importance in the campaign
👉Trzaskowski shifts right to gain votes
👉Cooperation with the EU would become more difficult under Nawrocki or Mentzen
More👇
www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
👉Security gained central importance in the campaign
👉Trzaskowski shifts right to gain votes
👉Cooperation with the EU would become more difficult under Nawrocki or Mentzen
More👇
www.gmfus.org/news/polands...
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Sławomir Mentzen, the Trumpian politician whose poll numbers suggest he could make the run-off in the Polish presidential elections, had this to say in 2019. “We don’t want Jews, homosexuals, abortion, taxes and the European Union.”
Gulp-inducing FT piece here
www.ft.com/content/e00d...
Gulp-inducing FT piece here
www.ft.com/content/e00d...
Polish far right starts to ride Donald Trump wave
Sławomir Mentzen is now polling in second place ahead of presidential elections in May
www.ft.com
March 4, 2025 at 7:45 AM
Sławomir Mentzen, the Trumpian politician whose poll numbers suggest he could make the run-off in the Polish presidential elections, had this to say in 2019. “We don’t want Jews, homosexuals, abortion, taxes and the European Union.”
Gulp-inducing FT piece here
www.ft.com/content/e00d...
Gulp-inducing FT piece here
www.ft.com/content/e00d...
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Per chi ha Telegram e volesse avere una copertura più aggiornata di quanto riesca a fare qui su Bluesky relativamente a notizie su Polonia ed Europa centrale, segnalo il mio canale t.me/polonianotizie. Oggi ad esempio vi riporto il cambio di linea di PiS sulla questione ucraina.
Polonia e dintorni
Canale di notizie sulla Polonia, ma non solo, dalla Polonia. A cura di Fabio Turco, giornalista, da oltre dieci anni nelle terre della Vistola.
t.me
March 3, 2025 at 11:14 AM
Per chi ha Telegram e volesse avere una copertura più aggiornata di quanto riesca a fare qui su Bluesky relativamente a notizie su Polonia ed Europa centrale, segnalo il mio canale t.me/polonianotizie. Oggi ad esempio vi riporto il cambio di linea di PiS sulla questione ucraina.
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Su #Meridiano13, un resoconto della manifestazione a cui sono stato venerdì a Bratislava e un quadro di quanto sta avvenendo in Slovacchia.
Ringrazio per i preziosi contributi al pezzo @fabioturco.bsky.social (Centrum Report) e Jakub Ferenčík (Radio Ceca).
Ringrazio per i preziosi contributi al pezzo @fabioturco.bsky.social (Centrum Report) e Jakub Ferenčík (Radio Ceca).
Proteste in Slovacchia: cronache da Bratislava • Meridiano 13
Da due mesi sono in corso grandi proteste in Slovacchia. Cosa sta succedendo nel paese? Andiamo a scoprirlo dalle piazze di Bratislava.
www.meridiano13.it
February 23, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Su #Meridiano13, un resoconto della manifestazione a cui sono stato venerdì a Bratislava e un quadro di quanto sta avvenendo in Slovacchia.
Ringrazio per i preziosi contributi al pezzo @fabioturco.bsky.social (Centrum Report) e Jakub Ferenčík (Radio Ceca).
Ringrazio per i preziosi contributi al pezzo @fabioturco.bsky.social (Centrum Report) e Jakub Ferenčík (Radio Ceca).
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Just had to explain to a very confused overseas journalist that the fact that I can vote in German elections to the European Parliament does not mean that I can vote in German parliamentary elections.
February 23, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Just had to explain to a very confused overseas journalist that the fact that I can vote in German elections to the European Parliament does not mean that I can vote in German parliamentary elections.
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
The European Convention on Human Rights entered into force in Poland in January 1993.
To date, the country has implemented more than 1750 #ECHR judgments.
Read more on how the ECHR has been advancing #HumanRights protection in 🇵🇱: www.coe.int/en/web/impac...
#ECHRimpact
To date, the country has implemented more than 1750 #ECHR judgments.
Read more on how the ECHR has been advancing #HumanRights protection in 🇵🇱: www.coe.int/en/web/impac...
#ECHRimpact
January 19, 2025 at 9:27 AM
The European Convention on Human Rights entered into force in Poland in January 1993.
To date, the country has implemented more than 1750 #ECHR judgments.
Read more on how the ECHR has been advancing #HumanRights protection in 🇵🇱: www.coe.int/en/web/impac...
#ECHRimpact
To date, the country has implemented more than 1750 #ECHR judgments.
Read more on how the ECHR has been advancing #HumanRights protection in 🇵🇱: www.coe.int/en/web/impac...
#ECHRimpact
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
New images of the Norwegian NASAMS III battery recently deployed to Poland's Rzeszów–Jasionka Airport.
The battery was deployed in Poland to defend NATO's critical lifeline into Ukraine from Russian cruise missiles, drones, and other air threats.
The battery was deployed in Poland to defend NATO's critical lifeline into Ukraine from Russian cruise missiles, drones, and other air threats.
January 18, 2025 at 9:32 PM
New images of the Norwegian NASAMS III battery recently deployed to Poland's Rzeszów–Jasionka Airport.
The battery was deployed in Poland to defend NATO's critical lifeline into Ukraine from Russian cruise missiles, drones, and other air threats.
The battery was deployed in Poland to defend NATO's critical lifeline into Ukraine from Russian cruise missiles, drones, and other air threats.
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
www.cnn.com/2024/12/27/t... what did the expect would happen?
MAGA opponents of Elon Musk claim he stripped them of their X badges | CNN Business
The debate roiling the MAGA world in recent days over visas for highly skilled workers shows no signs of abating. Some prominent online personalities are now accusing Elon Musk of using his social med...
www.cnn.com
December 28, 2024 at 3:53 PM
www.cnn.com/2024/12/27/t... what did the expect would happen?
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Joined @adamjasser.bsky.social and Marcin Zaborowski on @tvpworld.bsky.social for a look into what to expect from the US and the Europeans in 2025. youtu.be/8Kc5ZSXuBDg?...
European troops in Ukraine may be a matter of time | On the Record
YouTube video by TVP World
youtu.be
December 28, 2024 at 11:15 AM
Joined @adamjasser.bsky.social and Marcin Zaborowski on @tvpworld.bsky.social for a look into what to expect from the US and the Europeans in 2025. youtu.be/8Kc5ZSXuBDg?...
There is a need for a structured navy policy on the #BalticSea, as proposed by Donald Tusk back in November
Coordinated by the Nordic and Baltic countries + #Poland, this would take over the reins of security of a crucial sea for Europe, whose importance is often underestimated
Coordinated by the Nordic and Baltic countries + #Poland, this would take over the reins of security of a crucial sea for Europe, whose importance is often underestimated
Ukraine war briefing: Nato condemns possible sabotage of Baltic Sea cables
Ukraine war briefing: Nato condemns possible sabotage of Baltic Sea cables
Nato chief Mark Rutte criticises all attacks on critical infrastructure; Putin says Slovakia has offered to be ‘platform’ for any peace talks. What we know on day 1,038
* See all our Ukraine war coverage
Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
December 28, 2024 at 11:34 AM
There is a need for a structured navy policy on the #BalticSea, as proposed by Donald Tusk back in November
Coordinated by the Nordic and Baltic countries + #Poland, this would take over the reins of security of a crucial sea for Europe, whose importance is often underestimated
Coordinated by the Nordic and Baltic countries + #Poland, this would take over the reins of security of a crucial sea for Europe, whose importance is often underestimated
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Estonia's armed forces has launched a naval operation to protect the Estlink 1 undersea power cable, the Estonian foreign minister has said.
Estonia's navy to protect Baltic Sea power cable
The decision comes after several undersea cables were damaged.
tvpworld.com
December 27, 2024 at 9:44 AM
Estonia's armed forces has launched a naval operation to protect the Estlink 1 undersea power cable, the Estonian foreign minister has said.
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
🔵The Kurds in Turkey 🇹🇷 – waiting for a turning point
➡️ The Kurds’ demands range from expanded cultural rights and autonomy to, in the maximalist scenarios, outright secession, which 🇹🇷 perceives as an existential threat.
➡️ Analysis from OSW's Zuzanna Krzyżanowska ⤵️
www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...
➡️ The Kurds’ demands range from expanded cultural rights and autonomy to, in the maximalist scenarios, outright secession, which 🇹🇷 perceives as an existential threat.
➡️ Analysis from OSW's Zuzanna Krzyżanowska ⤵️
www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...
December 27, 2024 at 10:49 AM
🔵The Kurds in Turkey 🇹🇷 – waiting for a turning point
➡️ The Kurds’ demands range from expanded cultural rights and autonomy to, in the maximalist scenarios, outright secession, which 🇹🇷 perceives as an existential threat.
➡️ Analysis from OSW's Zuzanna Krzyżanowska ⤵️
www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...
➡️ The Kurds’ demands range from expanded cultural rights and autonomy to, in the maximalist scenarios, outright secession, which 🇹🇷 perceives as an existential threat.
➡️ Analysis from OSW's Zuzanna Krzyżanowska ⤵️
www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Poland has signed a €117 million deal to acquire 12 state-of-the-art Force Protection drone systems.
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84201818/
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84201818/
December 24, 2024 at 7:03 PM
Poland has signed a €117 million deal to acquire 12 state-of-the-art Force Protection drone systems.
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84201818/
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84201818/
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
🎄 TVP World asked people from across Central and Eastern Europe to describe Christmas traditions in their country and what they love most about them. What are some of your favorites?
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84198869/
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84198869/
December 24, 2024 at 2:55 PM
🎄 TVP World asked people from across Central and Eastern Europe to describe Christmas traditions in their country and what they love most about them. What are some of your favorites?
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84198869/
Read more ⤵️
tvpworld.com/84198869/
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Poland’s Deputy Foreign Minister Władysław Bartoszewski has confirmed that Poland will arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on charges of war crimes if he attends the Auschwitz Memorial in January. #spookyconnections
Report: Netanyahu won’t attend Auschwitz liberation anniversary event, fearing arrest by Poland
* * *
www.timesofisrael.com
December 24, 2024 at 6:26 PM
Poland’s Deputy Foreign Minister Władysław Bartoszewski has confirmed that Poland will arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on charges of war crimes if he attends the Auschwitz Memorial in January. #spookyconnections
Reposted by Oscar Luigi Guccione
Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are looming over Poland’s upcoming Council of the European Union presidency.
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/war-...
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/war-...
December 23, 2024 at 8:21 AM
Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are looming over Poland’s upcoming Council of the European Union presidency.
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/war-...
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/war-...