Mike Gehrke
@mikegehrke.bsky.social
Look, I'll level with you. This is a prank that sort of backfired, and I'd like to bail out right now.
Sr Flack/Hack/Geek www.gpsimpact.com
Sr Flack/Hack/Geek www.gpsimpact.com
Pinned
You can't redistrict your way out of this:
The 46% of registered voters who say they'll vote for the Democratic U.S. House candidate is the largest share of voters to say this since YouGov first asked this question in February.
(@dhmontgomery.com @today.yougov.com)
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
(@dhmontgomery.com @today.yougov.com)
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
November 11, 2025 at 11:37 PM
You can't redistrict your way out of this:
Happy Nigel Tufnel Day to my friends who celebrate
November 11, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Happy Nigel Tufnel Day to my friends who celebrate
This is Jim Matheson erasure!
November 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
This is Jim Matheson erasure!
Reposted by Mike Gehrke
“Hell, yeah, she’s getting paid!” the lobbyist said."
Antonia Hitchens on the mystery of Laura Loomer's many vendettas
www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Antonia Hitchens on the mystery of Laura Loomer's many vendettas
www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Laura Loomer’s Endless Payback
The President’s self-appointed loyalty enforcer inspires fear and vexation across Washington. What’s behind her vetting crusades?
www.newyorker.com
November 10, 2025 at 1:44 PM
“Hell, yeah, she’s getting paid!” the lobbyist said."
Antonia Hitchens on the mystery of Laura Loomer's many vendettas
www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Antonia Hitchens on the mystery of Laura Loomer's many vendettas
www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Can we choose not listen to Kennedy on the causes of divorce?
No, menopause does not kill women or cause divorce.
The many problems with the FDA’s big menopause announcement
No, it doesn't kill women or cause divorce.
www.motherjones.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Can we choose not listen to Kennedy on the causes of divorce?
I missed this one. Outrageous.
It's hard to keep up with the corruption.
It's hard to keep up with the corruption.
Another one bites the dust.
Trump fired yet another inspector general (IG), the FHFA’s Acting IG, Joe Allen, after Allen apparently gave exculpatory information to the DoJ lawyers prosecuting NY AG Letitia James, as required by the constitution & basic fairness.
www.reuters.com/world/us/wat...
Trump fired yet another inspector general (IG), the FHFA’s Acting IG, Joe Allen, after Allen apparently gave exculpatory information to the DoJ lawyers prosecuting NY AG Letitia James, as required by the constitution & basic fairness.
www.reuters.com/world/us/wat...
November 10, 2025 at 10:16 PM
I missed this one. Outrageous.
It's hard to keep up with the corruption.
It's hard to keep up with the corruption.
This is probably true. But was always the case and not new information when we went into this.
I am not an acolyte but @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social gets this spot on.
“More than anything else, this is what led some Senate Democrats to cut a deal: Trump’s willingness to hurt people exceeds their willingness to see people get hurt.”
“More than anything else, this is what led some Senate Democrats to cut a deal: Trump’s willingness to hurt people exceeds their willingness to see people get hurt.”
November 10, 2025 at 2:36 PM
This is probably true. But was always the case and not new information when we went into this.
Makes a year of health care subsidies for working families seem pretty reasonable.
Trump told Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán that the United States will not penalize Hungary for continuing to purchase Russian energy for one year, softening the impact of sanctions on Russia’s oil exports that threatened to wreak havoc on Hungary’s economy, a White House official told CNN.
Trump grants Hungary one-year exemption from Russian energy sanctions, White House says | CNN
President Donald Trump told Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán that the United States will not penalize Hungary for continuing to purchase Russian energy for one year, softening the impact of sanct...
www.cnn.com
November 9, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Makes a year of health care subsidies for working families seem pretty reasonable.
Reposted by Mike Gehrke
Never agreed with anything more than I agree with this:
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
NEW: After the recent elections, the big debate in the Democratic Party over whether it should move left or go center is over—or should be. I explain in my OUR LAND newsletter.
link.motherjones.com/public/42419...
Sign up for a FREE trial subscription to OUR LAND at davidcorn.com.
link.motherjones.com/public/42419...
Sign up for a FREE trial subscription to OUR LAND at davidcorn.com.
November 8, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Never agreed with anything more than I agree with this:
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
He'd have ruined it by golfing anyway.
Lindsey Graham complains about having to work ‘on a Saturday’ while ‘beautiful outside’
Lindsey Graham complains about having to work ‘on a Saturday’ while ‘beautiful outside’
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) opened a speech on the Senate floor Saturday by complaining about having to work on a Saturday, while also endorsing President Donald Trump’s proposal to take the billions of dollars earmarked for Obamacare and send them directly to Americans.“So here we are on a Saturday…...
bit.ly
November 9, 2025 at 12:14 AM
He'd have ruined it by golfing anyway.
Never agreed with anything more than I agree with this:
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
NEW: After the recent elections, the big debate in the Democratic Party over whether it should move left or go center is over—or should be. I explain in my OUR LAND newsletter.
link.motherjones.com/public/42419...
Sign up for a FREE trial subscription to OUR LAND at davidcorn.com.
link.motherjones.com/public/42419...
Sign up for a FREE trial subscription to OUR LAND at davidcorn.com.
November 8, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Never agreed with anything more than I agree with this:
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
"[Democrats] don’t need consensus to succeed. They need authentic candidates who have something to say and who convince voters they will be fighters for them."
If red states can engage in random redistricting, I think Virginia should be able to reclaim our colonial grant. Sea to shining sea, west and northwest.
November 8, 2025 at 4:25 PM
If red states can engage in random redistricting, I think Virginia should be able to reclaim our colonial grant. Sea to shining sea, west and northwest.
Reposted by Mike Gehrke
As such, they tell us more about the considerations that are breaking through to voters as plausible explanations than they tell us about the true reasons for their affective responses.
November 7, 2025 at 2:08 PM
As such, they tell us more about the considerations that are breaking through to voters as plausible explanations than they tell us about the true reasons for their affective responses.
A smart take here.
Polls are a lot more interesting when you take into account how people answer your questions.m
Polls are a lot more interesting when you take into account how people answer your questions.m
There’s a deep question here: the extent to which we weight the reasons voters give for their attitudes. My sense- based on the cognitive political psychology literature- is that we probably should be skeptical of the explanations people give about why they feel as they do.
I guess I don't really understand the tweet. We aren't *guessing* that people are anxious about the economy, they are telling us that in polls. Voters say inflation is bad now & angry at incumbents, and they didn't say that in 2017-2022. Other things can act on presidential unpopularity too.
November 7, 2025 at 2:17 PM
A smart take here.
Polls are a lot more interesting when you take into account how people answer your questions.m
Polls are a lot more interesting when you take into account how people answer your questions.m
Pitchers and catchers report in 100 days.
November 7, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Pitchers and catchers report in 100 days.
For no reason whatsoever
a man in a red sweater is saying " i got a lot of problems with you people "
ALT: a man in a red sweater is saying " i got a lot of problems with you people "
media.tenor.com
November 7, 2025 at 12:54 AM
For no reason whatsoever
I've been saying the Heritage Foundation is revolting for years.
November 6, 2025 at 2:04 PM
I've been saying the Heritage Foundation is revolting for years.
That should clear up a few things...
November 6, 2025 at 12:07 PM
That should clear up a few things...
Not part of a Monty Python sketch:
The defense team presses Lairmore on whether the sandwich really 'exploded.' They return to the photo of the sandwich and wrapper on the ground.
"That sandwich hasn't exploded at all, has it?" defense asks.
"It looks like a little bit is coming out towards the bottom," Lairmore replies.
"That sandwich hasn't exploded at all, has it?" defense asks.
"It looks like a little bit is coming out towards the bottom," Lairmore replies.
November 6, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Not part of a Monty Python sketch:
He's going back to an apartment in Jersey.
ADAMS: Now “I don't have to deal with you guys, man. I can fly private now, I can go on a cruise, I can hang out in St. Bart.”
(via @nypost.com)
(via @nypost.com)
November 6, 2025 at 1:29 AM
He's going back to an apartment in Jersey.
"the most accurate partisan mix was the one from 2017, the governor’s race one year after Trump’s first election. Polls that used the 2017 electorate as a guide produced a 12- or 13-point Sherrill victory, which tracked the actual outcome."
Pollsters Didn’t See the Blue Wave Coming in New Jersey and Virginia.
(Aaron Zitner, WSJ-unlocked)
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
(Aaron Zitner, WSJ-unlocked)
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
Pollsters Didn’t See the Blue Wave Coming in New Jersey and Virginia
Pollsters say they miscalculated who would show up to vote and a leftward shift by Latino voters.
www.wsj.com
November 6, 2025 at 1:25 AM
"the most accurate partisan mix was the one from 2017, the governor’s race one year after Trump’s first election. Polls that used the 2017 electorate as a guide produced a 12- or 13-point Sherrill victory, which tracked the actual outcome."
One of the best parts of winning everything big is watching people who had prepared talking points saying the results validated only their strategy annoyed when they realize the results validated every strategy.
November 5, 2025 at 11:24 PM
One of the best parts of winning everything big is watching people who had prepared talking points saying the results validated only their strategy annoyed when they realize the results validated every strategy.
It looks like just about every public pollster was working on bad turnout estimates everywhere.
Public pollsters should publish at least one turnout estimate in every race they poll for transparency sake, and it would make them think about dimension everyone else in politics considers foundational.
November 5, 2025 at 1:56 PM
It looks like just about every public pollster was working on bad turnout estimates everywhere.
Reposted by Mike Gehrke
Checking in on the Glenn Youngkin for President campaign.
a cartoon dog is sitting at a table with a cup of coffee surrounded by fire .
ALT: a cartoon dog is sitting at a table with a cup of coffee surrounded by fire .
media.tenor.com
November 5, 2025 at 2:46 AM
Checking in on the Glenn Youngkin for President campaign.
