Just noticed that Orioles prospect Reed Trimble is 41 for 41 stealing bases in his MiLB career, which is honestly incredible. It's the most SB without a CS in the Fangraphs MiLB leaderboard database by a huge margin: www.fangraphs.com/leaders/mino...
April 11, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Just noticed that Orioles prospect Reed Trimble is 41 for 41 stealing bases in his MiLB career, which is honestly incredible. It's the most SB without a CS in the Fangraphs MiLB leaderboard database by a huge margin: www.fangraphs.com/leaders/mino...
My eval weighting must be much more talent/skills centric vs track record than most, because the Crochet deal seems great for BOS to me. Even if he’s injured for 1/2 the deal, a Top 5 most talented SP in baseball for his entire prime is worth 170m by a large margin in the current baseball economy.
April 1, 2025 at 2:59 AM
My eval weighting must be much more talent/skills centric vs track record than most, because the Crochet deal seems great for BOS to me. Even if he’s injured for 1/2 the deal, a Top 5 most talented SP in baseball for his entire prime is worth 170m by a large margin in the current baseball economy.
Player-level correlation. Y axis? 👀 🤔
March 24, 2025 at 11:53 PM
Player-level correlation. Y axis? 👀 🤔
Corey Seager and Jose Ramirez typically open up their front foots towards the pitcher at the intercept point (of the bat and ball)...
March 24, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Corey Seager and Jose Ramirez typically open up their front foots towards the pitcher at the intercept point (of the bat and ball)...
New data so not 100% sure this is correct, but it seems like Corbin Carroll "gains the most ground" with his front foot from pitch release to intercept point, measured using the front heel.
March 24, 2025 at 8:54 PM
New data so not 100% sure this is correct, but it seems like Corbin Carroll "gains the most ground" with his front foot from pitch release to intercept point, measured using the front heel.
🤔
Calling my shot: Chris Rembert will be a 1st rounder
March 2, 2025 at 2:03 AM
🤔
Aiva Arquette 86 mph bat speed
March 2, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Aiva Arquette 86 mph bat speed
Calling my shot: Chris Rembert will be a 1st rounder
March 2, 2025 at 1:32 AM
Calling my shot: Chris Rembert will be a 1st rounder
Will Dion averaging 92 with 19ish IVB seems good. He seems to fit in the Eli Morgan bucket of 'switch pitchability guy to bullpen for a tick or two' imo.
February 26, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Will Dion averaging 92 with 19ish IVB seems good. He seems to fit in the Eli Morgan bucket of 'switch pitchability guy to bullpen for a tick or two' imo.
round(better_than, 0) but 2000 feels good.
February 24, 2025 at 1:36 AM
round(better_than, 0) but 2000 feels good.
Lefties are no longer underrated by Stuff+! Handedness is (a form of) deception. Great stuff from @enosarris.bsky.social, @choicefielder.bsky.social and the whole Stuff+ team.
February 5, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Lefties are no longer underrated by Stuff+! Handedness is (a form of) deception. Great stuff from @enosarris.bsky.social, @choicefielder.bsky.social and the whole Stuff+ team.
Short 🧵: On international signing day, it's worthwhile to acknowledge one of the larger crises in MLB today: the glaring lack of successful INTL (pool) pitchers. Just 5 of the top 50 P in 2024 fWAR (13 of 100) were pool signings vs 19 of 50 (36 of 100) for position players.
January 15, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Short 🧵: On international signing day, it's worthwhile to acknowledge one of the larger crises in MLB today: the glaring lack of successful INTL (pool) pitchers. Just 5 of the top 50 P in 2024 fWAR (13 of 100) were pool signings vs 19 of 50 (36 of 100) for position players.
Quick 🧵 on Roki Sasaki fastball quality and conversion to MLB (credit
@lancebroz.bsky.social vids and NPB profiler): By comparing with Senga, Yamamoto and Imanaga, we can get a rough idea of how Sasaki's 4sFB will play in MLB. Roki's meh FB shape makes him extremely velo dependent, which...
@lancebroz.bsky.social vids and NPB profiler): By comparing with Senga, Yamamoto and Imanaga, we can get a rough idea of how Sasaki's 4sFB will play in MLB. Roki's meh FB shape makes him extremely velo dependent, which...
January 14, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Quick 🧵 on Roki Sasaki fastball quality and conversion to MLB (credit
@lancebroz.bsky.social vids and NPB profiler): By comparing with Senga, Yamamoto and Imanaga, we can get a rough idea of how Sasaki's 4sFB will play in MLB. Roki's meh FB shape makes him extremely velo dependent, which...
@lancebroz.bsky.social vids and NPB profiler): By comparing with Senga, Yamamoto and Imanaga, we can get a rough idea of how Sasaki's 4sFB will play in MLB. Roki's meh FB shape makes him extremely velo dependent, which...
I wonder if this means that Cristopher Polanco is back on the market (as Morel was) for a team to swoop in and sign him on Jan 15.
January 13, 2025 at 11:20 PM
I wonder if this means that Cristopher Polanco is back on the market (as Morel was) for a team to swoop in and sign him on Jan 15.
Relatedly, Cecconi's FF stands out in rarely discussed "Total Movement." Its high total spin and active (non-gyro)% contributes to + movement. Most of that is unexpected run (credit @choicefielder.bsky.social for plot), which isn't *that* helpful. At a higher slot, unexpected rise + run might be.
December 22, 2024 at 9:19 PM
Relatedly, Cecconi's FF stands out in rarely discussed "Total Movement." Its high total spin and active (non-gyro)% contributes to + movement. Most of that is unexpected run (credit @choicefielder.bsky.social for plot), which isn't *that* helpful. At a higher slot, unexpected rise + run might be.
Slade Cecconi’s arm angle was higher in the latter part of 2024, which corresponded with a bit more IVB (he was also throwing harder out of the bullpen, so the gains may be understated). I wonder if CLE encourages him to stay ~40 degrees and be a bit more north-south to help his FF utility.
December 22, 2024 at 8:47 PM
Slade Cecconi’s arm angle was higher in the latter part of 2024, which corresponded with a bit more IVB (he was also throwing harder out of the bullpen, so the gains may be understated). I wonder if CLE encourages him to stay ~40 degrees and be a bit more north-south to help his FF utility.
The Luzardo deal makes sense to me for both teams. Marlins weren’t going to get full retail on Luzardo with his injury ?s. At the same time, Caba is a solid get they may not have received if Luzardo’s injuries persisted. Phillies get MLB upside without trading potential elite (offensive) talent.
December 22, 2024 at 3:11 PM
The Luzardo deal makes sense to me for both teams. Marlins weren’t going to get full retail on Luzardo with his injury ?s. At the same time, Caba is a solid get they may not have received if Luzardo’s injuries persisted. Phillies get MLB upside without trading potential elite (offensive) talent.
I don’t think CLE -> NYY for Josh Naylor is likely, but *if* the Yankees are motivated, names that might interest CLE:
1) Trent Grisham (short-term CF)
2) Will Warren, Cam Schlittler, Cade Smith (P depth with upside)
3) Roderick Arias (bet on contact improvements)
4) JC Escarra (40 man C offense)
1) Trent Grisham (short-term CF)
2) Will Warren, Cam Schlittler, Cade Smith (P depth with upside)
3) Roderick Arias (bet on contact improvements)
4) JC Escarra (40 man C offense)
December 15, 2024 at 5:26 PM
I don’t think CLE -> NYY for Josh Naylor is likely, but *if* the Yankees are motivated, names that might interest CLE:
1) Trent Grisham (short-term CF)
2) Will Warren, Cam Schlittler, Cade Smith (P depth with upside)
3) Roderick Arias (bet on contact improvements)
4) JC Escarra (40 man C offense)
1) Trent Grisham (short-term CF)
2) Will Warren, Cam Schlittler, Cade Smith (P depth with upside)
3) Roderick Arias (bet on contact improvements)
4) JC Escarra (40 man C offense)
My view on this trade is that it’s excellent value for the Astros, but a move in the wrong direction. Paredes seems to exclude Bregman returning, in which case the Astros may take a big step back in 2025, while improving their future. 2025 should’ve been the priority.
Kyle Tucker to the Cubs for Paredes, Wesneski and Cam Smith is agreed to, pending medicals.
December 13, 2024 at 8:12 PM
My view on this trade is that it’s excellent value for the Astros, but a move in the wrong direction. Paredes seems to exclude Bregman returning, in which case the Astros may take a big step back in 2025, while improving their future. 2025 should’ve been the priority.
Idk about the accuracy of the Orioles/Elias report, but the overarching issue imo is that the incentive structure for small market GMs heavily favors extreme risk aversion (beyond payroll limitations). Fan expectation/pressure is lower, so industry reputation + owner accountability are paramount.
December 12, 2024 at 7:23 PM
Idk about the accuracy of the Orioles/Elias report, but the overarching issue imo is that the incentive structure for small market GMs heavily favors extreme risk aversion (beyond payroll limitations). Fan expectation/pressure is lower, so industry reputation + owner accountability are paramount.
Spot on from @benclemens.bsky.social. Acquiring 26 year old 3+ WAR players = good.
Pack Your Passport, Andrés: Blue Jays Acquire Giménez From Guardians to Anchor Defense
Pack Your Passport, Andrés: Blue Jays Acquire Giménez From Guardians to Anchor Defense
Fresh off of missing out on Juan Soto, Toronto added one of the best defenders in baseball to jump-start its offseason.
blogs.fangraphs.com
December 11, 2024 at 6:31 PM
Spot on from @benclemens.bsky.social. Acquiring 26 year old 3+ WAR players = good.
It seems very very unlikely that the Guardians will get him, but they should make a very strong push to sign Sasaki.
Roki Sasaki's agent, Joel Wolfe, said even he doesn't have a feel for the young pitcher's criteria while choosing an MLB team. But Wolfe speculated that major markets might not hold complete sway given the way Sasaki felt harassed by the media in Japan. He'll start meeting with teams next week.
December 10, 2024 at 7:05 PM
It seems very very unlikely that the Guardians will get him, but they should make a very strong push to sign Sasaki.