Marianne Paire
@marpaire.bsky.social
Visiting Fellow at the @ICDS-tallinn.bsky.social - Baltic way of life - RT ≠ endorsement
Reposted by Marianne Paire
NATO figures show Europe and Canada are catching up with the US: their share of #NATO defence spending rose from 28% in 2015 to 36% in 2024, and is expected to reach 38% this year.
⬇️ Felix Gasper reviews current defence spending by each NATO ally: icds.ee/en/defence-s...
⬇️ Felix Gasper reviews current defence spending by each NATO ally: icds.ee/en/defence-s...
Defence Spending: Who Is Doing What? September 2025 - ICDS
According to NATO's latest figures, most Allies have increased their defence spending compared to July 2024, when we last examined the data. But most also have a long way to go if they are to meet the...
icds.ee
September 16, 2025 at 10:22 AM
NATO figures show Europe and Canada are catching up with the US: their share of #NATO defence spending rose from 28% in 2015 to 36% in 2024, and is expected to reach 38% this year.
⬇️ Felix Gasper reviews current defence spending by each NATO ally: icds.ee/en/defence-s...
⬇️ Felix Gasper reviews current defence spending by each NATO ally: icds.ee/en/defence-s...
Reposted by Marianne Paire
📧 RKK UUDISKIRI:
- Prantsusmaa valitsuse kukkumine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Felix Gasper: Kes teeb mida? NATO riikide kaitsekulude ülevaade
- Marek Kohv: Nädalavahetuse rünnak Kiievile
- Sahaidatšnõi keskus: Droonisõja õppetunnid Ukrainast
- Finn-Niklar Brünner: Euroopa vajab paremat tuumaheidutust
- Prantsusmaa valitsuse kukkumine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Felix Gasper: Kes teeb mida? NATO riikide kaitsekulude ülevaade
- Marek Kohv: Nädalavahetuse rünnak Kiievile
- Sahaidatšnõi keskus: Droonisõja õppetunnid Ukrainast
- Finn-Niklar Brünner: Euroopa vajab paremat tuumaheidutust
Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Prantsusmaa ja Euroopa kaitsevõime, Ukraina – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 37. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
diplomaatia.ee
September 10, 2025 at 12:09 PM
📧 RKK UUDISKIRI:
- Prantsusmaa valitsuse kukkumine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Felix Gasper: Kes teeb mida? NATO riikide kaitsekulude ülevaade
- Marek Kohv: Nädalavahetuse rünnak Kiievile
- Sahaidatšnõi keskus: Droonisõja õppetunnid Ukrainast
- Finn-Niklar Brünner: Euroopa vajab paremat tuumaheidutust
- Prantsusmaa valitsuse kukkumine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Felix Gasper: Kes teeb mida? NATO riikide kaitsekulude ülevaade
- Marek Kohv: Nädalavahetuse rünnak Kiievile
- Sahaidatšnõi keskus: Droonisõja õppetunnid Ukrainast
- Finn-Niklar Brünner: Euroopa vajab paremat tuumaheidutust
Reposted by Marianne Paire
📩 UUDISKIRI:
- Ukraina rinne
- Gaza lõks @meriliarjakas.bsky.social
- Tollimaksud muutsid India suhtumist
- Külma sõja õpitunnid
- Prantsusmaa kaitse- ja julgeolekustrateegia uuendamine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Armeeniast Aserbaidžaani läbi Washingtoni @koen-claessen.bsky.social
- Ukraina rinne
- Gaza lõks @meriliarjakas.bsky.social
- Tollimaksud muutsid India suhtumist
- Külma sõja õpitunnid
- Prantsusmaa kaitse- ja julgeolekustrateegia uuendamine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Armeeniast Aserbaidžaani läbi Washingtoni @koen-claessen.bsky.social
Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Ukraina, Iisrael, SCO, Armeenia-Aserbaidžaan, külma sõja õppetunnid NATOle – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 36. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
diplomaatia.ee
September 3, 2025 at 9:51 AM
📩 UUDISKIRI:
- Ukraina rinne
- Gaza lõks @meriliarjakas.bsky.social
- Tollimaksud muutsid India suhtumist
- Külma sõja õpitunnid
- Prantsusmaa kaitse- ja julgeolekustrateegia uuendamine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Armeeniast Aserbaidžaani läbi Washingtoni @koen-claessen.bsky.social
- Ukraina rinne
- Gaza lõks @meriliarjakas.bsky.social
- Tollimaksud muutsid India suhtumist
- Külma sõja õpitunnid
- Prantsusmaa kaitse- ja julgeolekustrateegia uuendamine @marpaire.bsky.social
- Armeeniast Aserbaidžaani läbi Washingtoni @koen-claessen.bsky.social
Reposted by Marianne Paire
🤝 We are delighted to welcome Helga Kalm as the International Centre for Defence and Security Deputy Director and Head of the Foreign Policy Programme, and Eda Ahi as the new Director of the #LennartMeriConference.
More: icds.ee/en/icds-welc...
More: icds.ee/en/icds-welc...
ICDS Welcomes New Deputy Director and LMC Director - ICDS
We are excited to welcome Helga Kalm in her new role as the Deputy Director of ICDS and the Head of the Foreign Policy Programme from August 2025. It is also our pleasure to announce that Eda Ahi has ...
icds.ee
September 1, 2025 at 8:04 AM
🤝 We are delighted to welcome Helga Kalm as the International Centre for Defence and Security Deputy Director and Head of the Foreign Policy Programme, and Eda Ahi as the new Director of the #LennartMeriConference.
More: icds.ee/en/icds-welc...
More: icds.ee/en/icds-welc...
Reposted by Marianne Paire
📢 Ma tribune dans @lemonde.fr à propos de l'Ukraine et du débat sur les garanties de sécurité: j’y défends une idée simple mais exigeante : ne pas attendre le cessez-le-feu pour agir 👉 : www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl... Petit 🧵à dérouler ⤵️
Face à Poutine, il faut « retourner le facteur temps à l’avantage de l’Ukraine »
TRIBUNE. Les forces de garanties de sécurité que les Européens proposent d’engager sur le front ukrainien doivent être déployées avant et non après un cessez-le-feu pour forcer le Kremlin à signer un ...
www.lemonde.fr
August 22, 2025 at 3:29 PM
📢 Ma tribune dans @lemonde.fr à propos de l'Ukraine et du débat sur les garanties de sécurité: j’y défends une idée simple mais exigeante : ne pas attendre le cessez-le-feu pour agir 👉 : www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl... Petit 🧵à dérouler ⤵️
The key takeaways from the French National Strategic Review ? Read my latest commentary for the @icds-tallinn.bsky.social 👇
The new defence and security strategy of France notes that risk of high-intensity conflict and hybrid destabilisation is rising. Russia is more clearly identified as a threat than ever before, writes Marianne Paire.
How does France plan to deal with the threat? @marpaire.bsky.social
How does France plan to deal with the threat? @marpaire.bsky.social
French National Strategic Review: Europe and France Must Step Up - ICDS
France, like other European countries, is adapting its defence and security strategy in response to accelerating geopolitical developments. Its updated National Strategic Review (Revue Nationale Strat...
icds.ee
August 22, 2025 at 11:59 AM
The key takeaways from the French National Strategic Review ? Read my latest commentary for the @icds-tallinn.bsky.social 👇
Read my commentary for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the latest developments on European defence issues 👇
While the Russian threat is urgent, uncertainty over the US commitment to European security and Ukraine highlights the need for Europeans to speed up development of their own defence, writes Marianne Paire. @marpaire.bsky.social
European Means for European Defence - ICDS
Poland ended its Presidency of the Council of the EU on 30 June, making way for Denmark to take over. Both countries have traditionally been strongly Atlanticist and sceptical of European defence effo...
icds.ee
July 22, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Read my commentary for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the latest developments on European defence issues 👇
On the Bastille Day, I'd like to go back over the key points from the President's speech to the armed forces he made yesterday🧶👇:
m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwM...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwM...
Discours aux armées du Président Emmanuel Macron depuis l'Hôtel de Brienne.
YouTube video by Élysée
m.youtube.com
July 14, 2025 at 7:48 AM
On the Bastille Day, I'd like to go back over the key points from the President's speech to the armed forces he made yesterday🧶👇:
m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwM...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwM...
French CHOD’s press conference this morning was the first in a series of defence events in France over the next few days. The President will deliver a speech on 13 July, a day before the traditional military parade for Bastille Day 🧶👇
July 11, 2025 at 3:07 PM
French CHOD’s press conference this morning was the first in a series of defence events in France over the next few days. The President will deliver a speech on 13 July, a day before the traditional military parade for Bastille Day 🧶👇
Reposted by Marianne Paire
Great news: after Denmark signed an agreement with Ukraine that allows for Ukrainian companies to move parts of their production to Denmark, Sweden is also open for a similar agreement.
There’s a very productive competition among the Nordics and Denmark holds the bar really high
There’s a very productive competition among the Nordics and Denmark holds the bar really high
Försvarsministern öppnar för ukrainska vapenfabriker på svensk mark
Danmark och Ukraina har ingått i ett avtal som låter ukrainska försvarsföretag att öppna fabriker på dansk mark, skriver Kyiv Independent.
www.dn.se
July 6, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Great news: after Denmark signed an agreement with Ukraine that allows for Ukrainian companies to move parts of their production to Denmark, Sweden is also open for a similar agreement.
There’s a very productive competition among the Nordics and Denmark holds the bar really high
There’s a very productive competition among the Nordics and Denmark holds the bar really high
Laulupidu pluvieux, Laulupidu heureux!
Feel very lucky to have the chance to attend the Estonian song festival. Even with the rain, such a great atmosphere! Elagu Eesti 🇪🇪
Feel very lucky to have the chance to attend the Estonian song festival. Even with the rain, such a great atmosphere! Elagu Eesti 🇪🇪
July 6, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Laulupidu pluvieux, Laulupidu heureux!
Feel very lucky to have the chance to attend the Estonian song festival. Even with the rain, such a great atmosphere! Elagu Eesti 🇪🇪
Feel very lucky to have the chance to attend the Estonian song festival. Even with the rain, such a great atmosphere! Elagu Eesti 🇪🇪
Reposted by Marianne Paire
European Allies must find the confidence to pursue their own interests more assertively, writes Tony Lawrence.
That confidence will stem, in part, from delivering on the summit’s key commitments. #NATOsummit
That confidence will stem, in part, from delivering on the summit’s key commitments. #NATOsummit
The Hague Summit: Mission Accomplished - ICDS
NATO's summit in The Hague succeeded in producing a substantial and important deliverable—a new defence investment pledge. But in dealing with the underlying strains in the transatlantic relationship,...
icds.ee
June 27, 2025 at 9:45 AM
European Allies must find the confidence to pursue their own interests more assertively, writes Tony Lawrence.
That confidence will stem, in part, from delivering on the summit’s key commitments. #NATOsummit
That confidence will stem, in part, from delivering on the summit’s key commitments. #NATOsummit
Read my last brief for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the EU-NATO relation. It is part of a series of briefs focusing on NATO ahead of next week's summit in The Hague: icds.ee/en/the-hague...
June 19, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Read my last brief for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the EU-NATO relation. It is part of a series of briefs focusing on NATO ahead of next week's summit in The Hague: icds.ee/en/the-hague...
@marie-doha.bsky.social at #RigaStratComDialogue : “need to understand Stratcom as an element of NATO deterrence also” ; “it needs planning to trigger right”
June 10, 2025 at 6:38 PM
@marie-doha.bsky.social at #RigaStratComDialogue : “need to understand Stratcom as an element of NATO deterrence also” ; “it needs planning to trigger right”
Paul Zajac on nuclear deterrence at #RigaStratComDialogue : « resolve & determination towards European public opinions ; need to communicate together »
June 10, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Paul Zajac on nuclear deterrence at #RigaStratComDialogue : « resolve & determination towards European public opinions ; need to communicate together »
Reposted by Marianne Paire
Tomorrow, at the #RigaStratComDialogue, do not miss the panel on #NuclearDeterrence where my colleague Paul Zajac from @cea.fr will share views on the renewed focus on nuclear power in the interplay between powers, and the consequences for Europe.
Cc @stratcomcoe.bsky.social
Cc @stratcomcoe.bsky.social
June 9, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Tomorrow, at the #RigaStratComDialogue, do not miss the panel on #NuclearDeterrence where my colleague Paul Zajac from @cea.fr will share views on the renewed focus on nuclear power in the interplay between powers, and the consequences for Europe.
Cc @stratcomcoe.bsky.social
Cc @stratcomcoe.bsky.social
Reposted by Marianne Paire
Listening to @baibabraze.bsky.social on this #RigaStratComDialogue panel about the identity dimension of current challenges to #democracy, or how strongmen and populists change the #truth and conviction dialectic, play divides over #resilience, and ultimately weaken our understanding of democracy.
June 10, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Listening to @baibabraze.bsky.social on this #RigaStratComDialogue panel about the identity dimension of current challenges to #democracy, or how strongmen and populists change the #truth and conviction dialectic, play divides over #resilience, and ultimately weaken our understanding of democracy.
Reposted by Marianne Paire
For @icds-tallinn.bsky.social, I wrote that the whole Nordic-Baltic region is a potential frontline in a conflict with Russia - not only the Baltic states and Finland but also Norwegian High North and even Denmark together with Sweden as gatekeepers of the Baltic Sea and Iceland along the GIUK gap.
A Region in the Making: The Nordic-Baltic Alignment - ICDS
In the past three years, the Nordic-Baltic group has reached unprecedented levels of coherence and prominence. The main drivers of the alignment are the shared threat assessment that Russia poses an e...
icds.ee
June 5, 2025 at 3:51 PM
For @icds-tallinn.bsky.social, I wrote that the whole Nordic-Baltic region is a potential frontline in a conflict with Russia - not only the Baltic states and Finland but also Norwegian High North and even Denmark together with Sweden as gatekeepers of the Baltic Sea and Iceland along the GIUK gap.
Reposted by Marianne Paire
A shared threat assessment of Russia and tangible support for Ukraine have given the NB8 a strong voice in Europe on security and defence issues.
Minna Ålander explains what underpins the region’s unity—and why it matters. @alanderminna.bsky.social @chathamhouse.org
#LennartMeriConference
Minna Ålander explains what underpins the region’s unity—and why it matters. @alanderminna.bsky.social @chathamhouse.org
#LennartMeriConference
A Region in the Making: The Nordic-Baltic Alignment - ICDS
In the past three years, the Nordic-Baltic group has reached unprecedented levels of coherence and prominence. The main drivers of the alignment are the shared threat assessment that Russia poses an e...
icds.ee
June 5, 2025 at 11:45 AM
A shared threat assessment of Russia and tangible support for Ukraine have given the NB8 a strong voice in Europe on security and defence issues.
Minna Ålander explains what underpins the region’s unity—and why it matters. @alanderminna.bsky.social @chathamhouse.org
#LennartMeriConference
Minna Ålander explains what underpins the region’s unity—and why it matters. @alanderminna.bsky.social @chathamhouse.org
#LennartMeriConference
Read the latest brief of the @icds-tallinn.bsky.social EU series on the key issue of military mobility written by Mihai Chihaia from @epc-official.bsky.social
Military mobility is high on the EU agenda, but progress remains slow despite its strategic importance.
Mihai Chihaia’s brief examines developments and highlights what still needs to be done. @epc-official.bsky.social
Mihai Chihaia’s brief examines developments and highlights what still needs to be done. @epc-official.bsky.social
EU Defence Series: Military Mobility A Critical Enabler - ICDS
The first months of 2025 witnessed monumental changes for European security. Donald Trump’s return to the White House has created a huge degree of uncertainty, and it is increasingly likely that Europ...
icds.ee
May 27, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Read the latest brief of the @icds-tallinn.bsky.social EU series on the key issue of military mobility written by Mihai Chihaia from @epc-official.bsky.social
Read my last piece for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the treaty recently signed between France and Poland in Nancy which includes an interesting section on (European) defence 👇
The agreement between #France and #Poland sends a clear signal: Europeans are taking greater responsibility for their own defence—strengthening the European pillar within #NATO.
⬇️ Read Marianne Paire's commentary on the newly signed treaty. @marpaire.bsky.social
⬇️ Read Marianne Paire's commentary on the newly signed treaty. @marpaire.bsky.social
The Nancy Treaty: A French-Polish Alliance for European Security - ICDS
Europe Day, 9 May, was a symbolic date chosen for signing a bilateral treaty between France and Poland. And so was the venue: in the mid-18th century, Nancy was the residence of the Polish King Stanis...
icds.ee
May 23, 2025 at 11:48 AM
Read my last piece for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the treaty recently signed between France and Poland in Nancy which includes an interesting section on (European) defence 👇
Reposted by Marianne Paire
"We have to be careful. If we say "we have to do this or we are screwed", and we don't do it, what kind of message does this send?" — @brunotertrais.bsky.social, Deputy Director of the Foundation for Strategic Research
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
May 17, 2025 at 4:29 PM
"We have to be careful. If we say "we have to do this or we are screwed", and we don't do it, what kind of message does this send?" — @brunotertrais.bsky.social, Deputy Director of the Foundation for Strategic Research
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
Reposted by Marianne Paire
"I think a lot of the NATO message to Finland has been that they need to NATO-ise, but I think NATO needs to Finlandise." — @camillegrand.bsky.social, Distinguished Policy Fellow at the @ecfr.eu
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
May 17, 2025 at 5:57 PM
"I think a lot of the NATO message to Finland has been that they need to NATO-ise, but I think NATO needs to Finlandise." — @camillegrand.bsky.social, Distinguished Policy Fellow at the @ecfr.eu
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself? #LennartMeriConference
Reposted by Marianne Paire
Donald Trump is losing patience with Russia, says Finnish leader
Donald Trump is losing patience with Russia, says Finnish leader
Alexander Stubb says Putin’s intransigence could pave way for ‘bone-crushing’ sanctions package
Donald Trump is losing patience with Vladimir Putin, Finland’s president has said after a lengthy conversation with his US counterpart.
Alexander Stubb said Trump and Putin, who are scheduled to speak by telephone on Monday, must not decide the fate of Ukraine over the head of its president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
May 18, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Reposted by Marianne Paire
💬 "The NB8 has become, if not the, then a powerhouse of Europe, and other states gravitate towards us." —Espen Barth Eide, Minister of @norwaymfa.government.no
🔹 How to Make the NB8 the New Powerhouse of Europe? #LennartMeriConference
🔹 How to Make the NB8 the New Powerhouse of Europe? #LennartMeriConference
May 21, 2025 at 4:28 PM
💬 "The NB8 has become, if not the, then a powerhouse of Europe, and other states gravitate towards us." —Espen Barth Eide, Minister of @norwaymfa.government.no
🔹 How to Make the NB8 the New Powerhouse of Europe? #LennartMeriConference
🔹 How to Make the NB8 the New Powerhouse of Europe? #LennartMeriConference