Hanna Notte
@hannanotte.bsky.social
Russia's foreign & security policy | Middle East | Director for Eurasia
@JamesMartinCNS & Snr. Associate @CSIS | PhD Oxford Uni. | Berlin-based | Currently writing a book on Russia for W. W. Norton & Co. | Personal views
@JamesMartinCNS & Snr. Associate @CSIS | PhD Oxford Uni. | Berlin-based | Currently writing a book on Russia for W. W. Norton & Co. | Personal views
The Kennan Institute is back!
So thrilled for Michael Kimmage & honoured to join as an associate fellow, alongside much esteemed colleagues like Karl Schloegel, Andrew Monaghan, Jim Goldgeier, Linda Kinstler, @stevenerlanger.bsky.social @kirland.bsky.social & others
www.kennaninstitute.org/about
So thrilled for Michael Kimmage & honoured to join as an associate fellow, alongside much esteemed colleagues like Karl Schloegel, Andrew Monaghan, Jim Goldgeier, Linda Kinstler, @stevenerlanger.bsky.social @kirland.bsky.social & others
www.kennaninstitute.org/about
About | Explore Eurasian Insights Today — Kennan Institute
Discover the Kennan Institute's mission to provide expert analysis on Eurasia and foster policy debates. Engage with our research, events, and prominent scholars.
www.kennaninstitute.org
November 10, 2025 at 2:58 PM
The Kennan Institute is back!
So thrilled for Michael Kimmage & honoured to join as an associate fellow, alongside much esteemed colleagues like Karl Schloegel, Andrew Monaghan, Jim Goldgeier, Linda Kinstler, @stevenerlanger.bsky.social @kirland.bsky.social & others
www.kennaninstitute.org/about
So thrilled for Michael Kimmage & honoured to join as an associate fellow, alongside much esteemed colleagues like Karl Schloegel, Andrew Monaghan, Jim Goldgeier, Linda Kinstler, @stevenerlanger.bsky.social @kirland.bsky.social & others
www.kennaninstitute.org/about
Reposted by Hanna Notte
Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes @hannanotte.bsky.social.
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 7, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes @hannanotte.bsky.social.
#Russia has resumed military flights to its Hmeimim airbase in Syria, @bloomberg.com reports.
This comes two weeks after al-Shara's first visit to Moscow.
I wrote about Russia's enduring role in post-Assad Syria not long ago in @foreignaffairs.com:
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
This comes two weeks after al-Shara's first visit to Moscow.
I wrote about Russia's enduring role in post-Assad Syria not long ago in @foreignaffairs.com:
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
October 30, 2025 at 1:54 PM
#Russia has resumed military flights to its Hmeimim airbase in Syria, @bloomberg.com reports.
This comes two weeks after al-Shara's first visit to Moscow.
I wrote about Russia's enduring role in post-Assad Syria not long ago in @foreignaffairs.com:
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
This comes two weeks after al-Shara's first visit to Moscow.
I wrote about Russia's enduring role in post-Assad Syria not long ago in @foreignaffairs.com:
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
In a first reaction to #Trump's musings about #nuclear testing, Dmitry Peskov explains to the US president that the recent #Burevestnik test did not constitute a nuclear (explosive) test
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
October 30, 2025 at 12:36 PM
In a first reaction to #Trump's musings about #nuclear testing, Dmitry Peskov explains to the US president that the recent #Burevestnik test did not constitute a nuclear (explosive) test
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
October 30, 2025 at 7:49 AM
October 30, 2025 at 7:49 AM
In a remarkable first, Syria's new leader Al-Shara is in Moscow today to meet Putin
Though Russia had to postpone its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow
In a recent @foreignaffairs.com essay I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
Though Russia had to postpone its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow
In a recent @foreignaffairs.com essay I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
October 15, 2025 at 9:33 AM
In a remarkable first, Syria's new leader Al-Shara is in Moscow today to meet Putin
Though Russia had to postpone its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow
In a recent @foreignaffairs.com essay I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
Though Russia had to postpone its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow
In a recent @foreignaffairs.com essay I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
When asked why Russia isn't represented at the Sharm El Sheik peace summit, Lavrov says Russia doesn't "impose its mediation services" on anyone
The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed
Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy
The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed
Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy
October 13, 2025 at 11:03 AM
When asked why Russia isn't represented at the Sharm El Sheik peace summit, Lavrov says Russia doesn't "impose its mediation services" on anyone
The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed
Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy
The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed
Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy
Reposted by Hanna Notte
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
October 3, 2025 at 5:55 AM
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes Hanna Notte.
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
October 3, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes Hanna Notte.
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Russia Isn’t Done With Syria
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com
October 3, 2025 at 5:55 AM
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
warontherocks.com
September 17, 2025 at 8:53 AM
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.
Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
warontherocks.com
September 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM
What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.
Reposted by Hanna Notte
After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.
Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
warontherocks.com
September 17, 2025 at 9:15 PM
After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
warontherocks.com
September 17, 2025 at 8:53 AM
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
This week in the newsletter: @hannanotte.bsky.social on Russian foreign policy. What does Putin want? We discuss China, North Korea, Iran and Trump.
thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...
thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...
Interview: What Putin Wants
#91: With Hanna Notte
thehundred.substack.com
September 9, 2025 at 1:17 PM
This week in the newsletter: @hannanotte.bsky.social on Russian foreign policy. What does Putin want? We discuss China, North Korea, Iran and Trump.
thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...
thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen
Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
www.zeit.de
August 26, 2025 at 6:17 AM
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
Reposted by Hanna Notte
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen
Klein beigeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
www.zeit.de
August 26, 2025 at 5:53 AM
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen
Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
www.zeit.de
August 26, 2025 at 6:17 AM
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen
Klein beigeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.
www.zeit.de
August 26, 2025 at 5:53 AM
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
After all the hype re: Alaska & Washington diplomacy, the fundamentals are unchanged:
Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For
www.nytimes.com
August 19, 2025 at 7:08 AM
After all the hype re: Alaska & Washington diplomacy, the fundamentals are unchanged:
Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
“Mr. Putin has long insisted that Ukraine will be his,” Hanna Notte writes. “But in a world shaped by Mr. Trump’s mercurial temperament and might-is-right principles, his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.”
Opinion | Trump Is Not Likely to Hand Ukraine to Putin in Alaska
Russia’s president has long insisted that Ukraine will be his. But his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.
nyti.ms
August 15, 2025 at 11:45 AM
“Mr. Putin has long insisted that Ukraine will be his,” Hanna Notte writes. “But in a world shaped by Mr. Trump’s mercurial temperament and might-is-right principles, his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.”
Reposted by Hanna Notte
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For
www.nytimes.com
August 16, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For
www.nytimes.com
August 16, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Reposted by Hanna Notte
✍️ "Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For," writes
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For
www.nytimes.com
August 15, 2025 at 2:49 PM
✍️ "Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For," writes
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...