Greg Bagwell
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gregbagwell.bsky.social
Greg Bagwell
@gregbagwell.bsky.social
Former Royal Air Force Pilot & Senior Commander & current President of the UK Air & Space Power Association. All views expressed are strictly in a personal capacity.
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As the UK prepares its most challenging defence review in a generation. Here is an easy to read and digest summary of the current issues it faces in the air and space domains. And it’s free! airspacepower.com/wp-content/u...
UK Air and Space Power in a More Dangerous World - 10 Perspectives
The Air & Space Power Association
airspacepower.com
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
What can AI do for AirPower?
How do we learn the right lessons from #Ukraine?
How can we master technological change to deliver military advantage.

Great to be on The High Ground podcast to get into all of this with @gregbagwell.bsky.social & @Sean Bell
Listen in👇
open.spotify.com/episode/7r82...
Artificial Intelligence: Judgement Day?
Spotify video
open.spotify.com
November 23, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
Who’d buy a ‘toned down’ version of America’s F-47?

Hear what @gregbagwell.bsky.social has to say about it here on @forcesnews.com
👇

youtu.be/Pr_QJir48kY?...
Trumps says he'll sell 'toned-down' F-47 fighter jets to allies
YouTube video by BFBS Forces News
https://youtu.be/Pr_QJir48kY?si…
March 25, 2025 at 12:02 PM
This has all the hallmarks of a Russian false flag operation.
February 14, 2025 at 7:13 AM
In 2001, NATO nations responded to a US call for an Article V response after an attack on US soil. There was no debate about where the attack took place, where the threat came from or who paid for what, just an agreement that an attack on one was an attack on all.
February 13, 2025 at 9:34 PM
As the frenzy around NATO spending dominates the defence debate, it’s worth noting whose budget has been reducing👇🇺🇸. And when you factor in how much US spending is outside the NATO area a very different picture emerges. We all need to spend more, but let’s be measured about it.
February 13, 2025 at 9:33 PM
“We're also here today to directly and unambiguously express that stark strategic realities prevent the United States of America from being primarily focused on the security of Europe.” A🧵on what this means if true 1/6. www.defense.gov/News/Speeche...
Opening Remarks by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at Ukraine Defense Contact Group (As
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered opening remarks at a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group in Brussels.
www.defense.gov
February 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
My over-riding takeaway from this opening “pitch” is if Europe picks up the bill, then Europe gets a vote on the terms, and that vote should be to uphold international law, not appease a US President intent on getting “his” money back & peace on Russian terms. www.defense.gov/News/Speeche...
Opening Remarks by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at Ukraine Defense Contact Group (As
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered opening remarks at a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group in Brussels.
www.defense.gov
February 12, 2025 at 6:45 PM
If you were charged with saving Billions of dollars a day from the US federal budget, would you target the one department that barely makes the “Other” category at a world trailing 0.24% of GDP? It’s not about the money is it?
February 5, 2025 at 8:41 AM
There will need to be boots on the ground to keep the peace, but there will also need to be eyes in the sky to watch over it.
❗️The 🇬🇧UK will participate fully in any peace talks on 🇺🇦Ukraine, including the deployment of British troops to support the peace, says UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer
January 16, 2025 at 8:17 PM
As the UK prepares its most challenging defence review in a generation. Here is an easy to read and digest summary of the current issues it faces in the air and space domains. And it’s free! airspacepower.com/wp-content/u...
UK Air and Space Power in a More Dangerous World - 10 Perspectives
The Air & Space Power Association
airspacepower.com
January 16, 2025 at 10:17 AM
If and when a ceasefire starts, a sizeable peace keeping force may be inevitable and is the best chance of ensuring that Russia observes it. Using NATO nation’s troops adds complexity, but who else will step up?
🇺🇦 Sir Keir Starmer & Emmanuel Macron are discussing sending UK & French peacekeepers to Ukraine after a potential war-ending deal, per The Telegraph. Macron supports the idea, UK sources say Starmer is cautious, due to risks & escalation concerns.

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01...
UK and France in talks over sending peacekeeping troops to Ukraine
Deployment of Western soldiers could help underpin post-war settlement between Kyiv and Moscow
www.telegraph.co.uk
January 16, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
Another great report on drones in warfare, full of useful insights, from @rikefranke.bsky.social
“However, Ukraine could also just be a peak moment for drone warfare. The factors that made drones relevant in Ukraine might look different in future wars.”
- my latest on the lessons from #drone use in Ukraine for @ecfr.eu

ecfr.eu/article/dron...
Drones in Ukraine: Four lessons for the West
From overreliance on China to the growing involvement of civilians, the extensive use of drones in the Ukraine war offers crucial lessons for future conflicts
ecfr.eu
January 10, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Commercial off the shelf drones have some physical limitations that differentiate them from more conventional forms of attack. The primary one is their speed. A commercial drone flies at a maximum speed of around 30m/s.
December 30, 2024 at 9:30 AM
As the New Year beckons and before people start talking about Fantasy Defence, here’s a quick reminder of the terms of reference for the UK defence review team👇. It is supposed to be fiscally constrained within the 2.5% envelope: www.gov.uk/government/p...
December 29, 2024 at 11:22 PM
The primary cause of this accident is more likely to be the damage caused by the missile strike. The erratic flight profile after that was probably more down to the loss of primary control as a result of that damage, rather than any jamming - although that may yet prove to be a contributory factor.
⚡️ Crashed Azerbaijani airliner hit by live fire, electronic warfare over Russia, Aliyev says.

An Azerbaijani airliner plane was rendered "uncontrollable" by electronic warfare and damaged by fire from the ground while flying over Russia before crashing, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said.
Crashed Azerbaijani airliner hit by live fire, electronic warfare over Russia, Azerbaijan's president says
An Azerbaijan Airlines plane was rendered "uncontrollable" by electronic warfare, and its tail section was damaged by fire from the ground while flying over Russia before crashing, Azerbaijani Preside...
kyivindependent.com
December 29, 2024 at 12:08 PM
Russia has had to deploy more air defence systems and employ GPS jamming more widely across Russia to counter Ukrainian UAV attacks. But in doing so without effective control or co-ordination it has endangered civil air traffic, as the shoot down two days ago demonstrated. This is a consequence.
Russia has suspended all flight operations in Sochi and Kazan, as well as reduced flight operations in Samara, Grozny and Makhachkala.

The so-called Russian World loses more and more mobility.

Source: X / MamedovGyunduz
December 27, 2024 at 10:49 AM
The Russian system that is rumoured to be the one responsible for the Azerbaijan Airlines shoot down is the Pantsir S1 (NATO name SA-22 Greyhound), a short range system with missiles and guns used to intercept aircraft and drones. It’s capable of operating independently. 🧵1/4
December 27, 2024 at 1:11 AM
3 questions for Russia to answer 1. Were civil authorities aware of active air defence systems and GPS jamming around Grozny? 2. What safety measures did they have in place for civil aircraft to operate? 3. Why was the aircraft diverted so far away with an emergency? www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Russia warns against 'hypotheses' in Azerbaijan Airlines crash
The Russia-bound passenger plane went down in Kazakhstan with the loss of 38 lives.
www.bbc.co.uk
December 26, 2024 at 7:59 PM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
1/
God Trump is stupid
It's taken me a long time but I've just finished wading through his press conference today when he answered questions on any subject, a little over a month before he returns to the White House.
I edited all #Ukraine stuff into a 4'30" video on Xitter, but I'll show clips here
December 16, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Very pleased to partner with the New Scientist to promote the importance of Air & Space Power to the UK: “The power above us, why aerospace is a vital National asset”. www.businessandindustry.co.uk/aerospace/th...
The power above us: why aerospace is a vital national asset
The UK has a proud and strong heritage in the aerospace domain. It is one of our most valuable commodities, which generates and sustains both national growth and a highly skilled workforce in cutting-...
www.businessandindustry.co.uk
December 12, 2024 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
"The U.S. is pouring billions of dollars into protecting its Pacific stronghold of Guam from a Chinese onslaught. But the technical challenges are considerable, China’s weapons are growing more advanced." @reuters.com
www.reuters.com/graphics/USA...
How the U.S. plans to fortify Guam against China’s missile threat
An interceptor test marked a milestone in the $10 billion American plan to turn the Pacific territory into one of the most heavily defended places on earth.
www.reuters.com
December 11, 2024 at 5:30 AM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
🇺🇦 The Ukrainian Droid TW 12.7 robotic recon-strike complex is now officially in service, per the Ministry of Defense. Armed with a 12.7mm machine gun, it operates remotely via tablet & uses digital communication—proven reliable in combat tests.
December 10, 2024 at 8:30 AM
Reposted by Greg Bagwell
There's a feeling of helplessness in the EU as Jan. 20 approaches. That's nonsense. The EU controls the single biggest exit point for Russian oil - the Baltic - and Greek ships are 25% of capacity. The EU has a lot of power, which gives it leverage over how war in Ukraine ends...
December 8, 2024 at 5:36 PM
How could Donald Trump apply more pressure on Putin to capitulate in Ukraine, especially now after the loss of any footprint in Syria? There are basically 5 areas he can focus on: sanctions, warrants, military aid, alliances & territory. Taking each in turn:
December 9, 2024 at 11:19 AM
We blinked in 2013, and we have blinked a few times since, not least in Ukraine. Whilst much should be made of the mistakes we have made in past interventions - we should be just as critical of the interventions we didn’t.
December 8, 2024 at 11:29 PM