@gonglei89.bsky.social
Pinned
Getting a strong sense that the global history of the 21st century will essentially boil down to a contest between these two memes.
America has institutional Alzheimer’s
August 24, 2025 at 10:16 PM
America has institutional Alzheimer’s
Very (EVIL) Socialistic things Lei would do to fix America.
Single Payer Healthcare
State Owned Construction Company (build national HSR network, plug housing shortages)
State Owned Energy Company (renewables go *ZOOM*)
Convert Social Security + Unemployment Insurance Into Universal Basic Income
Single Payer Healthcare
State Owned Construction Company (build national HSR network, plug housing shortages)
State Owned Energy Company (renewables go *ZOOM*)
Convert Social Security + Unemployment Insurance Into Universal Basic Income
August 24, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Very (EVIL) Socialistic things Lei would do to fix America.
Single Payer Healthcare
State Owned Construction Company (build national HSR network, plug housing shortages)
State Owned Energy Company (renewables go *ZOOM*)
Convert Social Security + Unemployment Insurance Into Universal Basic Income
Single Payer Healthcare
State Owned Construction Company (build national HSR network, plug housing shortages)
State Owned Energy Company (renewables go *ZOOM*)
Convert Social Security + Unemployment Insurance Into Universal Basic Income
What’s most amusing about this study is that despite these dismal findings for the US it’s *still* underestimating PLA capabilities. The study identifies jamming capabilities as essential to blunt PLA offensive capability *but* China is almost certainly fielding better counter-jamming now.
"Beijing has launched dozens of new satellites and other sensors to locate US forces & 100s of increasingly accurate missiles—ballistic, cruise,& hypersonic—to strike airfields & ships throughout the region. Washington has countered by improving US missile defenses..."
direct.mit.edu/isec/article...
direct.mit.edu/isec/article...
Access Denied? The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia
Abstract. How has the balance of power shifted in maritime East Asia, and what does this change mean for the U.S.-China military competition in the region? We examine these questions by focusing on a ...
direct.mit.edu
August 22, 2025 at 5:22 AM
What’s most amusing about this study is that despite these dismal findings for the US it’s *still* underestimating PLA capabilities. The study identifies jamming capabilities as essential to blunt PLA offensive capability *but* China is almost certainly fielding better counter-jamming now.
The “China debate” is functionally dead. There isn’t much intellectual exploration left in the old terms that set the table for the last half century. Everyone has dug into their positions and will live or die on their hills. China discussions will continue but the new terms haven’t yet formed.
August 22, 2025 at 5:11 AM
The “China debate” is functionally dead. There isn’t much intellectual exploration left in the old terms that set the table for the last half century. Everyone has dug into their positions and will live or die on their hills. China discussions will continue but the new terms haven’t yet formed.
At a cafe somewhere in Silicon Valley listening to two seemingly very well connected technologists (one might be in VC) doing big name drops of people and orgs they’re connected to while talking “Omni-use technologies”, “Species ending event”, and “Building the future of western civilization”.
July 8, 2025 at 4:32 AM
At a cafe somewhere in Silicon Valley listening to two seemingly very well connected technologists (one might be in VC) doing big name drops of people and orgs they’re connected to while talking “Omni-use technologies”, “Species ending event”, and “Building the future of western civilization”.
When “look at this is look at me” attention seeking becomes more important than reality itself culture ceases to breathe. What’s left is a naked unbound id racing toward oblivion by brainstem overload, a cognitive euthanasia hiding behind the veneer of culture’s lifeless husk.
June 1, 2025 at 12:31 AM
When “look at this is look at me” attention seeking becomes more important than reality itself culture ceases to breathe. What’s left is a naked unbound id racing toward oblivion by brainstem overload, a cognitive euthanasia hiding behind the veneer of culture’s lifeless husk.
Rereading Fukuyama’s old “End of History” essay right now and the contentions in it have aged even more poorly than the zeitgeist meme version of his thesis.
(Also in retrospect it really stands out how appropriately juxtaposed Wang Huning is as his intellectual counterpart).
(Also in retrospect it really stands out how appropriately juxtaposed Wang Huning is as his intellectual counterpart).
Getting a strong sense that the global history of the 21st century will essentially boil down to a contest between these two memes.
May 15, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Rereading Fukuyama’s old “End of History” essay right now and the contentions in it have aged even more poorly than the zeitgeist meme version of his thesis.
(Also in retrospect it really stands out how appropriately juxtaposed Wang Huning is as his intellectual counterpart).
(Also in retrospect it really stands out how appropriately juxtaposed Wang Huning is as his intellectual counterpart).
No matter how much people want to turn politics into a religion politics is not a church. The practical outcomes always speak for themselves.
May 8, 2025 at 12:37 AM
No matter how much people want to turn politics into a religion politics is not a church. The practical outcomes always speak for themselves.
Trump is not the primary counterparty for China’s global trade strategy. He is the foil for China’s global trade strategy. The sooner people understand this the more accurately they will be able to gauge how any “talks” will go.
May 7, 2025 at 1:11 AM
Trump is not the primary counterparty for China’s global trade strategy. He is the foil for China’s global trade strategy. The sooner people understand this the more accurately they will be able to gauge how any “talks” will go.
Would be so funny if Japan weaponized their US treasury reserves before China did.
The Japan that can say “No Soup For You!” www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Japan’s Kato Says US Treasury Holdings Could Be Negotiation Card
Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said that the country’s US Treasury holdings could be a card in its trade negotiations with the US, in response to a question asking whether Japan’s stance of n...
www.bloomberg.com
May 2, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Would be so funny if Japan weaponized their US treasury reserves before China did.
In order to have a liberal democratic society you must first be able to maintain a *society*. Liberal democracy that fails this prerequisite is a hood ornament without a car.
May 2, 2025 at 12:21 AM
In order to have a liberal democratic society you must first be able to maintain a *society*. Liberal democracy that fails this prerequisite is a hood ornament without a car.
A lot of white people are completely oblivious to how often they badger nonwhite people about political morality in what clearly looks like pernicious passive aggressive efforts to pressure nonwhite people into moral agreement and political alignment, and how tiresome that is.
April 30, 2025 at 5:07 AM
A lot of white people are completely oblivious to how often they badger nonwhite people about political morality in what clearly looks like pernicious passive aggressive efforts to pressure nonwhite people into moral agreement and political alignment, and how tiresome that is.
Chinese kids starting college today have only ever known America as a country that’s out to kneecap China for their entire formative years. Don’t think Americans who like to concern troll political morality at China grasp how comically bankrupt they look to younger generations.
April 28, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Chinese kids starting college today have only ever known America as a country that’s out to kneecap China for their entire formative years. Don’t think Americans who like to concern troll political morality at China grasp how comically bankrupt they look to younger generations.
The biggest issue for American global competitiveness is that so long as public discourse fixates on morale management and cheerleading national political psychology will continue to lean towards self esteem grasping and complacency. It’s an “I surrender while pretending I’m not” mindset.
April 25, 2025 at 1:14 AM
The biggest issue for American global competitiveness is that so long as public discourse fixates on morale management and cheerleading national political psychology will continue to lean towards self esteem grasping and complacency. It’s an “I surrender while pretending I’m not” mindset.
When Chinese people talk bad economy they usually mean “business is slow, working long hours for little extra gain, future income growth prospects feel dim” but for Americans it’s more “Might lose my job, can’t find work, how will I pay mortgage healthcare and credit card debts”.
April 25, 2025 at 12:15 AM
When Chinese people talk bad economy they usually mean “business is slow, working long hours for little extra gain, future income growth prospects feel dim” but for Americans it’s more “Might lose my job, can’t find work, how will I pay mortgage healthcare and credit card debts”.
Racism is America’s kryptonite. It breeds complacency and a loser mindset. It’s always another group’s fault America is failing. Cry and whine about “cheating” to duck ownership of their own deficiencies and dumb undisciplined choices. Demand self esteem points with cheap talk. Stunted worldview.
April 24, 2025 at 11:54 PM
Racism is America’s kryptonite. It breeds complacency and a loser mindset. It’s always another group’s fault America is failing. Cry and whine about “cheating” to duck ownership of their own deficiencies and dumb undisciplined choices. Demand self esteem points with cheap talk. Stunted worldview.
The US is losing the contest for the 21st century because Americans keep thinking it’s a China vs US direct power match when the actual contest is China’s standing with the rest of the world vs the US’s. The farcical self harming plays will continue until Americans realize this.
April 23, 2025 at 4:59 AM
The US is losing the contest for the 21st century because Americans keep thinking it’s a China vs US direct power match when the actual contest is China’s standing with the rest of the world vs the US’s. The farcical self harming plays will continue until Americans realize this.
The good and bad of Trump ultimately is that he’s a fantasist. He will be most susceptible to changing his mind when one fantasy sold to him by one advisor doesn’t pan out and he’s looking for someone else to give him a new fantasy to grandstand fake victory narratives with.
April 23, 2025 at 12:49 AM
The good and bad of Trump ultimately is that he’s a fantasist. He will be most susceptible to changing his mind when one fantasy sold to him by one advisor doesn’t pan out and he’s looking for someone else to give him a new fantasy to grandstand fake victory narratives with.
Don’t know what the big deal is with the paperclip AI doom allegory (paperclip AI is told its purpose is to make paperclips so starts turning everything into paperclips including humans) we already have this with the moneyMAX pricevalueMAXXX FINANCEMAXIMUM liberal market economy.
April 19, 2025 at 2:59 AM
Don’t know what the big deal is with the paperclip AI doom allegory (paperclip AI is told its purpose is to make paperclips so starts turning everything into paperclips including humans) we already have this with the moneyMAX pricevalueMAXXX FINANCEMAXIMUM liberal market economy.
So many things are possible if people just acknowledge liberal economics is not normatively neutral and not the only way to run an economy.
April 19, 2025 at 1:02 AM
So many things are possible if people just acknowledge liberal economics is not normatively neutral and not the only way to run an economy.
It is as true in politics as personal life that the ego motivated narcissists who think all aspects of reality are about their self esteem and social position don’t understand how real human relationships work and thus tend to make a giant mess of things.
April 18, 2025 at 11:44 PM
It is as true in politics as personal life that the ego motivated narcissists who think all aspects of reality are about their self esteem and social position don’t understand how real human relationships work and thus tend to make a giant mess of things.
Wonder if Americans are going to do a Germany in WW1 thing where they were convinced they were winning the war all the way to the last day.
April 17, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Wonder if Americans are going to do a Germany in WW1 thing where they were convinced they were winning the war all the way to the last day.
My gut check after the most recent development is that they’ve decided to go with the “we will break you check this out” playbook. They’re tightening the vice gradually but assuredly. We’re probably looking at a drastically different negotiating position by the end of this week.
April 16, 2025 at 3:34 AM
My gut check after the most recent development is that they’ve decided to go with the “we will break you check this out” playbook. They’re tightening the vice gradually but assuredly. We’re probably looking at a drastically different negotiating position by the end of this week.
People who understand reality doesn’t care about their feelings will make it through this inflection alright. People who think reality is obliged to coddle their feelings and is a big meanie poopoohead for denying them are ngmi. This is my magnum opus thesis for the 21st century.
April 16, 2025 at 12:00 AM
People who understand reality doesn’t care about their feelings will make it through this inflection alright. People who think reality is obliged to coddle their feelings and is a big meanie poopoohead for denying them are ngmi. This is my magnum opus thesis for the 21st century.
People are going to be so surprised when the serious companies quietly 10x productivity with task tailored AI tools while everyone is still fighting over fictional AI god chatbot slop.
April 15, 2025 at 9:36 PM
People are going to be so surprised when the serious companies quietly 10x productivity with task tailored AI tools while everyone is still fighting over fictional AI god chatbot slop.