Francisco Rodrigues
@franciscorodrigues.bsky.social
Scientist | Professor at the University of São Paulo (@uspoficial.bsky.social) | Complexity, networks, data science, epidemic models, synchronization, statistics, brain networks | More: https://t.co/naWoWNW9I4. (He/him) 🇧🇷 🇵🇹
Pinned
New preprint from our group: Neural networks for dengue forecasting: a systematic review
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
Our new paper on ecoevorxiv: A novel semantic theory of the assembly rules of interaction networks
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.
November 26, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Our new paper on ecoevorxiv: A novel semantic theory of the assembly rules of interaction networks
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.
Our new paper on @arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2511.12787
With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva
With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva
Impacts of bridging nodes on the epidemic activation mechanisms
Bridging nodes, which connect critical components of a network, play an important role in maintaining structural integrity and facilitating communication within the network, representing indirect yet ...
arxiv.org
November 21, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Our new paper on @arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2511.12787
With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva
With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva
New preprint from our group: Neural networks for dengue forecasting: a systematic review
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
October 19, 2025 at 12:36 AM
New preprint from our group: Neural networks for dengue forecasting: a systematic review
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
#epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
In a new paper on @condmatstatmech-bt.bsky.social, we introduce a novel framework for quantifying the impact of each edge (i.e. each bank–firm relationship) on systemic risk in financial systems.
👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087
#complexity #economics #networks #datascience
👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087
#complexity #economics #networks #datascience
The systemic impact of edges in financial networks
In this paper, we assess how the stability of financial networks is affected by interconnectedness considering its tiniest variation: the edge. We compute the impact of edges as the percentage differe...
arxiv.org
October 6, 2025 at 1:29 AM
In a new paper on @condmatstatmech-bt.bsky.social, we introduce a novel framework for quantifying the impact of each edge (i.e. each bank–firm relationship) on systemic risk in financial systems.
👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087
#complexity #economics #networks #datascience
👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087
#complexity #economics #networks #datascience
New text on Medium : Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory...
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory...
Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com
September 3, 2025 at 12:23 PM
New text on Medium : Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory...
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory...
The Economist: What Brazil can teach America
www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
Brazil offers America a lesson in democratic maturity
It is a test case for how countries recover from a populist fever
www.economist.com
August 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
The Economist: What Brazil can teach America
www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
In a new paper, we examine Parkinson's disease using electroencephalography signals.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
July 30, 2025 at 4:28 PM
In a new paper, we examine Parkinson's disease using electroencephalography signals.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
🚨New paper: Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil
www.nature.com
July 29, 2025 at 6:43 PM
🚨New paper: Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
N𝐞𝐰 𝐩𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐩𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐡𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐄. We explore the use of 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬 (CNNs) to predict parameters in 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐨𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐝𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐬.
journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
Parameter inference in nonlinear dynamical systems via recurrence plots and convolutional neural networks
Inferring control parameters in nonlinear dynamical systems is an important task in analyzing general dynamical behaviors, particularly in the presence of inherently deterministic chaos. Traditional a...
journals.aps.org
July 10, 2025 at 3:14 PM
N𝐞𝐰 𝐩𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐩𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐡𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐄. We explore the use of 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬 (CNNs) to predict parameters in 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐨𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐝𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐬.
journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
My EPL Highlight: Physics and machine learning: mutual benefits
www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn...
#Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science
www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn...
#Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science
May 29, 2025 at 3:43 PM
My EPL Highlight: Physics and machine learning: mutual benefits
www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn...
#Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science
www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn...
#Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science
A group led by Professor Michael Mockel from Aschaffenburg University visited usy today. We had some very productive discussions in our beautiful garden. Also with prof. Thomas Peron.
May 23, 2025 at 1:19 AM
A group led by Professor Michael Mockel from Aschaffenburg University visited usy today. We had some very productive discussions in our beautiful garden. Also with prof. Thomas Peron.
My new post: On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT
medium.com/@francisco-r...
medium.com/@francisco-r...
On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT
The evolution of knowledge and the myth of the lone genius.
medium.com
May 6, 2025 at 12:50 PM
My new post: On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT
medium.com/@francisco-r...
medium.com/@francisco-r...
In our new paper, we show that caries may be the first warning sign of chronic diseases .
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs
May 3, 2025 at 12:45 PM
In our new paper, we show that caries may be the first warning sign of chronic diseases .
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs
In our new paper in Scientific Reports, we use a machine learning workflow to analyze drug-induced changes in neuronal biosensor data using complex network measures.
#Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Machine learning and complex network analysis of drug effects on neuronal microelectrode biosensor data - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Machine learning and complex network analysis of drug effects on neuronal microelectrode biosensor data
www.nature.com
May 3, 2025 at 12:32 PM
In our new paper in Scientific Reports, we use a machine learning workflow to analyze drug-induced changes in neuronal biosensor data using complex network measures.
#Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Great to see that our work on #multilayer #networks was one of the most-read papers in Methods in Ecology and Evolution:
🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.
🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.
April 18, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Great to see that our work on #multilayer #networks was one of the most-read papers in Methods in Ecology and Evolution:
🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.
🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.
🚨 Applications open to study high-order complex networks in beautiful Natal. 🏖️
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🏖️ Natal:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEy...
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🏖️ Natal:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEy...
April 14, 2025 at 7:04 PM
🚨 Applications open to study high-order complex networks in beautiful Natal. 🏖️
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🏖️ Natal:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEy...
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🏖️ Natal:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEy...
In our new paper, we show how machine learning can accurately diagnose depressive disorders from EEG data.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Revealing patterns in major depressive disorder with machine learning and networks
Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a multifaceted condition that affects millions of people worldwide and is a leading cause of disability. There is a…
www.sciencedirect.com
March 7, 2025 at 12:25 PM
In our new paper, we show how machine learning can accurately diagnose depressive disorders from EEG data.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
🚨 Complex Networks beyond Pairwise Interactions: From Theory to Applications
✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🌍 In Natal, Brazil.
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🌍 In Natal, Brazil.
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
February 28, 2025 at 12:16 PM
🚨 Complex Networks beyond Pairwise Interactions: From Theory to Applications
✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🌍 In Natal, Brazil.
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July).
🌍 In Natal, Brazil.
www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
✅ The "𝐈𝐈 𝐒𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐥 𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐮𝐬 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬" will take place from May 12-18, 2025, at IFT-UNESP in São Paulo, sponsored by ICTP-SAIFR.
🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses.
www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/
🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses.
www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/
February 11, 2025 at 4:53 PM
✅ The "𝐈𝐈 𝐒𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐥 𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐮𝐬 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬" will take place from May 12-18, 2025, at IFT-UNESP in São Paulo, sponsored by ICTP-SAIFR.
🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses.
www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/
🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses.
www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/
In our new paper, we employ network analysis to examine community disputes in post-civil war Mozambique. By analyzing a range of conflicts—from domestic disputes to wartime accusations—we reveal the deep-rooted tensions that persist in the Gorongosa district.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
February 5, 2025 at 7:55 PM
In our new paper, we employ network analysis to examine community disputes in post-civil war Mozambique. By analyzing a range of conflicts—from domestic disputes to wartime accusations—we reveal the deep-rooted tensions that persist in the Gorongosa district.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
In our new paper in the Proceedings of the Royal Society A, we use machine learning techniques to predict dynamic variables in complex networks.
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths
A machine learning approach to predicting dynamical observables from network structure | Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Estimating the outcome of a given dynamical process from structural features is a
key unsolved challenge in network science. This goal is hampered by difficulties associated
with nonlinearities, corre...
royalsocietypublishing.org
January 29, 2025 at 2:43 PM
In our new paper in the Proceedings of the Royal Society A, we use machine learning techniques to predict dynamic variables in complex networks.
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths
Reposted by Francisco Rodrigues
The NetSciX 2025 talks are live streaming on YouTube. Prof @barabasi.bsky.social from @nunetsi.bsky.social is up in 20 minutes!
You can find the full program here: netscix2025.iiti.ac.in?page_id=1028
We’re +10.5 hours here in Indore from Boston.
www.youtube.com/live/frY8luh...
You can find the full program here: netscix2025.iiti.ac.in?page_id=1028
We’re +10.5 hours here in Indore from Boston.
www.youtube.com/live/frY8luh...
YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
www.youtube.com
January 15, 2025 at 4:03 AM
The NetSciX 2025 talks are live streaming on YouTube. Prof @barabasi.bsky.social from @nunetsi.bsky.social is up in 20 minutes!
You can find the full program here: netscix2025.iiti.ac.in?page_id=1028
We’re +10.5 hours here in Indore from Boston.
www.youtube.com/live/frY8luh...
You can find the full program here: netscix2025.iiti.ac.in?page_id=1028
We’re +10.5 hours here in Indore from Boston.
www.youtube.com/live/frY8luh...
In a new paper on arXiv, we introduce a principled Bayesian framework for identifying power-law behaviour. Our methodology does not reject the scale-free hypothesis in many cases where the KS test does, contributing to a more precise evaluation of the scale-free hypothesis.
arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200
arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200
Beyond the Power Law: Estimation, Goodness-of-Fit, and a Semiparametric Extension in Complex Networks
Scale-free networks play a fundamental role in the study of complex networks and various applied fields due to their ability to model a wide range of real-world systems. A key characteristic of these ...
arxiv.org
January 15, 2025 at 1:41 AM
In a new paper on arXiv, we introduce a principled Bayesian framework for identifying power-law behaviour. Our methodology does not reject the scale-free hypothesis in many cases where the KS test does, contributing to a more precise evaluation of the scale-free hypothesis.
arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200
arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200
In our new paper in NJP, we study a SIRS model with gamma-distributed recovery times. We show that the epidemic lifetime on star graphs follows a non-universal power law and is shortened as the number of phases increases.
with @silviojrufv.bsky.social
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
with @silviojrufv.bsky.social
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Consequences of non-Markovian healing processes on epidemic models with recurrent infections on networks - IOPscienceSearch
Consequences of non-Markovian healing processes on epidemic models with recurrent infections on networks, José Carlos Morares Silva, Diogo Henrique Silva, Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues, Silvio C Ferreira Jr
iopscience.iop.org
January 8, 2025 at 11:46 PM
In our new paper in NJP, we study a SIRS model with gamma-distributed recovery times. We show that the epidemic lifetime on star graphs follows a non-universal power law and is shortened as the number of phases increases.
with @silviojrufv.bsky.social
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
with @silviojrufv.bsky.social
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...