Daniel Scheer
dcscheer.bsky.social
Daniel Scheer
@dcscheer.bsky.social
Former Economist now Data Scientist, building fraud detection models.
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
November 11, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
How about we keep Obamacare functioning as is until you get those ideas worked out?
FOX NEWS: So what would Trumpcare look like?

DR OZ: Well, these are all ideas that we're still working on
November 11, 2025 at 7:35 PM
One of my biggest old man moments these days is getting to remind people that the ACA *was the Republican plan*, modeled after Mitt Romney's healthcare program in Massachusetts, which itself was based on a plan developed at the Heritage Foundation as an alternative to the Clinton Plan.
FOX NEWS: So what would Trumpcare look like?

DR OZ: Well, these are all ideas that we're still working on
November 11, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
My ACA current plan is going from $385/mo to $821/mo.
November 11, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
"After Zohran Mamdani’s victory, Republicans are fearmongering about Democrats turning socialist. Meanwhile, Donald Trump is busy taking stakes in private companies and ordering them around"--my latest column.

www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...
Socialism, But Make It Trump
After Zohran Mamdani’s victory, Republicans are fearmongering about Democrats turning socialist. Meanwhile, Donald Trump is busy taking stakes in private companies and ordering them around.
www.newyorker.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
I wonder if the United States can learn anything from the last time a major industrialized country decided to isolate itself from the rest of the world?

Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
November 11, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
"an unusual mass deportation to a country with a poor human rights record that the United States had bombed earlier this year in an effort to set back its nuclear program"

but we're sending them back dissidents "who repeatedly told American authorities that Iran would persecute them"
“For decades, Iranians fleeing persecution have found protection in the United States. But this fall, the Trump administration deported a planeload of people to Iran after making a deal with Tehran.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/11/w...
‘It Feels Like I’m in a Nightmare’: Inside the First Deportation Flight to Iran
www.nytimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
we're all clear that SNAP has work requirements for almost everybody, correct
Trump claims that food stamps "puts the country in jeopardy. People that are able-bodied can do a job, they leave their job because they figure they can pick this up, it's easier."
November 11, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Somewhere my undergrad health economics professor is weeping
Trump: "I want the money to go into an account for people where they buy their own health insurance. It's so good. The insurance will be better. It'll cost less. Everybody is gonna be happy. They're gonna feel like entrepreneurs. They're actually able to go out & negotiate their own insurance"
November 11, 2025 at 12:40 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
Remember that insurance is actually a thing you hope never to use, and then read this critique.
November 10, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
it's not 'performative' if you're taking pictures of random fucking strangers reading. they're just reading! you're the creepy one!
Oh fuck off
November 10, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
In class today, I used the statement “with 4 minutes to go and a 10-point lead, the probability the Giants will win is 96.9%” to illustrate the three interpretations of probability. (1/5)
November 10, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
Tell me you don’t understand risk pools without telling me you don’t understand risk pools
November 10, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Regardless of your specific feelings about the war in Gaza, if you’re asking Ms. Rachael if she’s funded by Hamas, you’ve taken a wrong turn somewhere in life.
November 10, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
GOP's One Big Beautiful Bill tax law will increase U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio from 154% three decades after without it to 183% with it, per Auerbach & @billgale.bsky.social.
www.nber.org/papers/w34455
November 10, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
Happy There Is A Circulatory System Walking Through The Kitchen Day to all who celebrate.
November 10, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
On earnings calls, Amazon & Microsoft said the real AI bottleneck isn't chip,
it's electricity.

Bloomberg writes about two Santa Clara data centers siting empty, facing a 1-3 year lead time for power. Some cases take up to 7.

It’s a bad time to have a government hostile to solar and wind energy.
Data Centers in Nvidia’s Hometown Stand Empty Awaiting Power
The fate of two facilities in Santa Clara, California, highlights a major challenge for the US tech sector and indeed the wider economy.
www.bloomberg.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
NYT - Kash Patel's inexperience, his dismissals of top FBI officials and his shift of resources from thwarting spies and terrorism have heightened concerns among the other Five Eyes nations that the bureau is adrift. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/wo...
F.B.I. Director Is Said to Have Made a Pledge to Head of MI5, Then Broken It
The episode has contributed to concerns among intelligence allies that Kash Patel, brash and partisan, is also unpredictable and even unreliable.
www.nytimes.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
Do people who need Medicade even have FSAs?
November 10, 2025 at 12:32 AM
US median household income is ~$78k and the median savings rate is about 4%. So if you put *all* your savings into you HSA (no retirement, etc) that’s ~$3k per year. That likely covers a year with no illness, but you’ll exhaust that *very* quickly if you get sick.
November 10, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
SO WHAT HAPPENS WHEN ALL YOU HAVE IS AN HSA AND YOUR KID NEEDS SURGERY OR YOU GET CANCER?????

I am going to go insane that anyone things a personal savings account is a replacement for insurance.
(also pretty sure this graphic is is AI-generated, haha)
November 9, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
A multi billion dollar giveaway to Turbotax and other big Trump donors.
The I.R.S. is shutting down its free online system for filing tax returns, a program that the Biden administration introduced last year and that users gave high marks.

via @tarasiegelbernard.bsky.social

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/b...
I.R.S. Halts Free Online Offering for Filing Taxes Directly
www.nytimes.com
November 9, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
Extreme incompetence among superempowered public servants does not serve the interests of Conservatives or Liberals.
With a “WOW!,” President Trump posts a claim about DOGE and “royalties linked to Obamacare” that originated on a satirical website. That site’s own About section reads: “Everything on this website is fiction… If you believe that it is real, you should have your head examined.”
November 9, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
The pro-Palestine group Within Our Lifetime has already decided that Zohran Mamdani has sold out the pro-Palestine cause... by condemning swastikas drawn on a Jewish day school in Brooklyn. forward.com/culture/7822...
Mamdani's first statement on antisemitism as mayor-elect got some weird pushback
After someone spraypainted a swastika on a yeshiva, Zohran Mamdani condemned antisemitism. Somehow, this generated conspiracy theories.
forward.com
November 8, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Reposted by Daniel Scheer
The plan: take money from insurers, give it to people, then have people give it back to the insurers.
November 8, 2025 at 3:04 PM