Carsten Braband
@cbraband.bsky.social
MA Sozialwissenschaften @HumboldtUni | Politische Soziologie, Wahlverhalten, Ungleichheit
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Crazy support numbers for Zohran Mamdani among young women: 84% (!) of women aged 18-29 voted for Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election.
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
November 5, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Crazy support numbers for Zohran Mamdani among young women: 84% (!) of women aged 18-29 voted for Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election.
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
Reposted by Carsten Braband
"Die Mehrheit in diesem Land ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem eine linke Politik" – dieser Satz ist also nicht analytisch gemeint, sondern strategisch. Er ist nicht da, um etwas zu beschreiben, sondern um etwas zu planen.
www.zeit.de/politik/2025...
www.zeit.de/politik/2025...
CDU-Politiker: Der schwarz-blaue Sehnsuchtssatz
"Die Mehrheit ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem linke Politik" – diese Formel wiederholen CDU-Politiker gerade auffällig oft. Dahinter steckt eine gefährliche Strategie.
www.zeit.de
October 4, 2025 at 11:47 AM
"Die Mehrheit in diesem Land ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem eine linke Politik" – dieser Satz ist also nicht analytisch gemeint, sondern strategisch. Er ist nicht da, um etwas zu beschreiben, sondern um etwas zu planen.
www.zeit.de/politik/2025...
www.zeit.de/politik/2025...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Claus #Offe ist gestorben. Vor ein paar Tagen musst ich an ihn denken, weil ich einen Post geteilt hatte, den ich eigentlich noch kommentieren wollte - mir aber mal wieder nicht die Zeit dafür nahm. Ich habe viel aus Offes frühen Schriften zu Staat und #Sozialpolitik gelernt.
1/6
1/6
October 2, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Claus #Offe ist gestorben. Vor ein paar Tagen musst ich an ihn denken, weil ich einen Post geteilt hatte, den ich eigentlich noch kommentieren wollte - mir aber mal wieder nicht die Zeit dafür nahm. Ich habe viel aus Offes frühen Schriften zu Staat und #Sozialpolitik gelernt.
1/6
1/6
Real existierende linke Akademiker:innen mal wieder anders als manche denken:
„Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“
„Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“
An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The unfulfilled promises of upward mobility and support for radical left parties in Western Europe
In recent decades, educational expansion has produced a large swathe of university graduates which labour markets are increasingly less able to absorb…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 2, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Real existierende linke Akademiker:innen mal wieder anders als manche denken:
„Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“
„Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“
Reposted by Carsten Braband
An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The unfulfilled promises of upward mobility and support for radical left parties in Western Europe
In recent decades, educational expansion has produced a large swathe of university graduates which labour markets are increasingly less able to absorb…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 2, 2025 at 9:52 AM
An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Nur zur Einordnung:
Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen €
Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden €
Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden €
Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.
Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen €
Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden €
Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden €
Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.
September 18, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Nur zur Einordnung:
Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen €
Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden €
Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden €
Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.
Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen €
Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden €
Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden €
Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Warum wir beim Klima zwar alle in einem Boot sitzen, es aber entscheidend ist, dass manche im halbgefluteten Maschinenraum mitfahren und andere auf dem Sonnendeck:
Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Das Klima der Ungleichheit. Zur sozialen Struktur von Klimakonflikten - Berliner Journal für Soziologie
The article maps how political conflicts over climate change are intertwined with social inequality. Building on studies of Dörre et al. on industrial transformation conflicts, four forms of social in...
link.springer.com
September 12, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Warum wir beim Klima zwar alle in einem Boot sitzen, es aber entscheidend ist, dass manche im halbgefluteten Maschinenraum mitfahren und andere auf dem Sonnendeck:
Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
"Panel data on 41 million voters from 2008 to 2020 and an original survey of 24,433 respondents demonstrate that exposure to partisan neighbors increases party switching."
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Partisan Conversion Through Neighborhood Influence: How Voters Adopt the Partisanship of Their Neighbors | The Journal of Politics
Recent studies show that American neighborhoods have become politically homogeneous, raising concerns about how geographic polarization divides parties and influences voters. But, it remains unclear h...
www.journals.uchicago.edu
August 9, 2025 at 12:41 PM
"Panel data on 41 million voters from 2008 to 2020 and an original survey of 24,433 respondents demonstrate that exposure to partisan neighbors increases party switching."
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
OK, a🧵: Our new paper studies workers' political consciousness in times of class demobilization.
We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.
Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.
Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
September 9, 2025 at 2:48 PM
OK, a🧵: Our new paper studies workers' political consciousness in times of class demobilization.
We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.
Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.
Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
The takeaway:
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
The takeaway:
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
Reposted by Carsten Braband
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Kann man Autobahnen eigentlich wieder abreißen?
Klarer Fall: die ausgebaute Autobahn muss weiter ausgebaut werden, um die Verkehrsprobleme zu lösen, die der Ausbau nach sich zieht.
www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/zwei-...
www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/zwei-...
Zwei Tage nach Eröffnung: Neuer A100-Abschnitt wegen zu hoher Verkehrsbelastung kurzzeitig gesperrt
Erst am Mittwoch wurde der 16. Bauabschnitt der Stadtautobahn A100 eröffnet. Am Freitagnachmittag bildet sich ein Stau, es folgt eine Sperrung der Autobahn.
www.tagesspiegel.de
August 30, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Kann man Autobahnen eigentlich wieder abreißen?
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Class and race gaps in voting are widening a lot.
I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024.
(small thread)
I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024.
(small thread)
August 23, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Class and race gaps in voting are widening a lot.
I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024.
(small thread)
I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024.
(small thread)
Reposted by Carsten Braband
In the 19th century as the socialist movement grew in Europe, it faced a choice: whether to participate in elections. The anarchists said no. The remaining socialists waded into electoral battle. This book analyzes that decision and its consequences #booksky
August 7, 2025 at 8:46 PM
In the 19th century as the socialist movement grew in Europe, it faced a choice: whether to participate in elections. The anarchists said no. The remaining socialists waded into electoral battle. This book analyzes that decision and its consequences #booksky
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Berlin! Am 19. August stelle ich mein neues Buch vor. Wer Fragen hat oder welche sucht oder einfach was klären will: kommt vorbei, das wird super!
www.rosalux.de/veranstaltun...
www.rosalux.de/veranstaltun...
«Polarisierung. Über die Ordnung der Politik» - Rosa-Luxemburg-Stiftung
«linksbündig»-Buchpremiere. Nils C. Kumkar im Gespräch mit Matthias Ubl
www.rosalux.de
July 30, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Berlin! Am 19. August stelle ich mein neues Buch vor. Wer Fragen hat oder welche sucht oder einfach was klären will: kommt vorbei, das wird super!
www.rosalux.de/veranstaltun...
www.rosalux.de/veranstaltun...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
What Abou-Chadi et al. show here is not just that conservative migration positions won't help social-democrats to attract voters, but also that left positions on retirement (that is allowing for early retirement) make social-democrats most attractive (and right positions make them less attracitve).
July 7, 2025 at 6:10 PM
What Abou-Chadi et al. show here is not just that conservative migration positions won't help social-democrats to attract voters, but also that left positions on retirement (that is allowing for early retirement) make social-democrats most attractive (and right positions make them less attracitve).
Reposted by Carsten Braband
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
July 7, 2025 at 9:50 AM
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Zohran's Historic Win: 16 Takeaways
The oligarchy is not invincible
www.laborpolitics.com
June 25, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Ich habe gestern beim DGB eine Keynote darüber gehalten, warum das beste Mittel gegen den Rechtsruck eine Erneuerung des demokratischen Klassenkampfs ist. Statt Defensivität braucht es ein vorwärtsgewandtes Projekt zur Vertiefung der sozialen Grundlagen der Demokratie.
June 25, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Ich habe gestern beim DGB eine Keynote darüber gehalten, warum das beste Mittel gegen den Rechtsruck eine Erneuerung des demokratischen Klassenkampfs ist. Statt Defensivität braucht es ein vorwärtsgewandtes Projekt zur Vertiefung der sozialen Grundlagen der Demokratie.
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Vorschlag zu Höhe des Mindestlohns von der Kommission:
Ab 2026: 13,90 €
Ab 2027: 14,60 €
Damit dürfte das nächste Wahlversprechen der SPD gebrochen werden, wenn es nicht zu einem politischen Eingriff kommt.
Ab 2026: 13,90 €
Ab 2027: 14,60 €
Damit dürfte das nächste Wahlversprechen der SPD gebrochen werden, wenn es nicht zu einem politischen Eingriff kommt.
June 27, 2025 at 8:05 AM
Vorschlag zu Höhe des Mindestlohns von der Kommission:
Ab 2026: 13,90 €
Ab 2027: 14,60 €
Damit dürfte das nächste Wahlversprechen der SPD gebrochen werden, wenn es nicht zu einem politischen Eingriff kommt.
Ab 2026: 13,90 €
Ab 2027: 14,60 €
Damit dürfte das nächste Wahlversprechen der SPD gebrochen werden, wenn es nicht zu einem politischen Eingriff kommt.
Reposted by Carsten Braband
Today, the German Federal Election Officer released data on voting by age and gender for the 2025 election. Contrary to popular belief, AfD support is still not strongest among the youngest voters, but rather among the middle-aged (males). Support is also still much lower in older cohorts. (1/3) 🧵
June 27, 2025 at 10:02 AM
Today, the German Federal Election Officer released data on voting by age and gender for the 2025 election. Contrary to popular belief, AfD support is still not strongest among the youngest voters, but rather among the middle-aged (males). Support is also still much lower in older cohorts. (1/3) 🧵
Reposted by Carsten Braband
*Register data* results now published for whole Germany:
37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025.
Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.
37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025.
Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.
June 27, 2025 at 8:10 AM
*Register data* results now published for whole Germany:
37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025.
Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.
37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025.
Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.
Reposted by Carsten Braband
How is regional loss of manufacturing jobs linked to populism? In a new paper in @pvs-journal.bsky.social, @mbayerlein.bsky.social, Anne Metten & I find that industrial decline in Germany shapes electoral support for left-wing rather than far-right populist parties.
A thread. 🧵👇 shorturl.at/RIjCr
A thread. 🧵👇 shorturl.at/RIjCr
Industrial Employment and Populism in Germany—Exploring the Effect of Actual and Looming Decline - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
The regional decline of manufacturing employment is frequently linked to the rise of right-wing populism in many Western countries. Surprisingly, contributions that directly examine the relationship b...
shorturl.at
May 20, 2025 at 7:59 AM
How is regional loss of manufacturing jobs linked to populism? In a new paper in @pvs-journal.bsky.social, @mbayerlein.bsky.social, Anne Metten & I find that industrial decline in Germany shapes electoral support for left-wing rather than far-right populist parties.
A thread. 🧵👇 shorturl.at/RIjCr
A thread. 🧵👇 shorturl.at/RIjCr
Reposted by Carsten Braband
In this new article, we study voting for the BSW from a policy space perspective with @gles.bsky.social data.
Findings:
-BSW voters tend to be left-nationalist
-Depending on prior party support, either nationalist or economically left-wing positions predict switching to BSW
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Findings:
-BSW voters tend to be left-nationalist
-Depending on prior party support, either nationalist or economically left-wing positions predict switching to BSW
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
May 19, 2025 at 7:03 AM
In this new article, we study voting for the BSW from a policy space perspective with @gles.bsky.social data.
Findings:
-BSW voters tend to be left-nationalist
-Depending on prior party support, either nationalist or economically left-wing positions predict switching to BSW
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Findings:
-BSW voters tend to be left-nationalist
-Depending on prior party support, either nationalist or economically left-wing positions predict switching to BSW
doi.org/10.1080/0964...