Tiago Cascais
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Tiago Cascais
@cascaistiago.bsky.social
96 followers 170 following 91 posts
a olhar para o céu azul pela janela (abri o bluesky no windows)
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
anobrega85.bsky.social
A rever o debate da @filipagpinto.bsky.social com a Ana Gabriela Cavilhas no Porto Canal. A dada altura o pivô diz "não abdico da polémica dos debates".
"Não abdico da polémica."
Isto é apenas um exemplo da forma de agir da comunicação social que, digamos, só está exacerbado em muita "social media".
April 4, 2025 at 9:06 PM
"Ministro da Economia destacou importância da cooperação entre os Estados Unidos e o mundo." -> péssimo timing

O projeto de Sines (da cidade) é incrível, e iria ajudar imenso PT, mas ele tem imensas vantagens sendo cumprido até ao fim. Isso implica executar o PRR. Vejam lá isso.
April 4, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
tryangregory.bsky.social
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Tariffs hit science labs: Trump levies raise cost of supplies
Import taxes on staples such as microscopes, glassware and computer chips will affect institutions already feeling financial strain.
www.nature.com
April 4, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
ariodzernbc6.bsky.social
The police at Florida Atlantic University are the first in the nation to partner with ICE. That means they can interrogate and detain students they suspect of being undocumented. Here’s our @nbcmiami.com report.

www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/f...
Florida Atlantic University's police is partnering with ICE
The Florida Atlantic University Police Department might be the first college campus police agency to partner with the Department of Homeland Security’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement division.  F...
www.nbcmiami.com
April 4, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
carnage4life.bsky.social
TIL it’s possible to doomscroll the Stocks app.
April 3, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
z3roz3ro.bsky.social
Basicamente, eles podem fazer o que quiserem.
Se nós respondemos estamos a escalar a situação.
Já ouvi este discurso mas em russo, em inglês é a primeira vez 🙃
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · Apr 3
Bessent: "One of the messages that I'd like to get out tonight is everybody sit back, take a deep breath, don't immediately retaliate, let's see where this goes. Because if you retaliate, that's how we get escalation."
April 3, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
fuckyouiquit.bsky.social
April 3, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
shyznogd.bsky.social
Eheh toda a gente sabe q em stress consumimos mais tabaco,oras
weisenthal.bsky.social Joe Weisenthal @weisenthal.bsky.social · Apr 3
Not every stock is down today
April 3, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
pedrofapinheiro.bsky.social
“Penso que há duas formas de controlar as pessoas. Primeiro, assustar as pessoas e, segundo, desmoralizá-las... As pessoas endividadas ficam sem esperança, e as pessoas sem esperança não votam... uma nação educada, saudável e confiante é mais difícil de governar” — Tony Benn
asdprojeto.bsky.social Aliança Social Democrata @asdprojeto.bsky.social · Apr 3
Tony Benn foi um político britânico e membro do Partido Trabalhista, eleito para o parlamento britânico em 1950, servindo durante mais de 50 anos. Ocupou vários cargos importantes ao longo da sua longa carreira política. +
April 3, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
paulbernal.bsky.social
And formulas don’t become fancy because you use Greek letters.
carlbergstrom.com Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · Apr 3
2. There's the silly: after being mocked for setting tariffs to trade deficit / exports, the White House retorted that they didn't do that at all – they used this fancy formula. 

How convenient that the two fitted parameters, ε=4 and φ=0.25 multiply to 1, leaving...yes, trade deficit / exports.
delta tau_i = ( x_i - m_i ) / epsilon * phi * m_i
April 3, 2025 at 7:36 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
z3roz3ro.bsky.social
Contudo, todas (exceto o Grok) desaconselham o uso de tarifas.
amyhoy.bsky.social Amy Hoy @amyhoy.bsky.social · Apr 3
guess where they got their weird trade deficit math from?

i went to the pit for y'all and brought back the screenshots with alt text
chatgpt log: What would be an easy way to calculate the tariffs that should be imposed on other countries so that the US is on even-playing fields when it comes to trade deficit? Set minimum at 10%. Reasoned about trade tariffs and deficits for 10 seconds v A straightforward (if naïve) method is to set the tariff rate for each trading partner equal to the percentage share of the trade deficit relative to that country's total imports-always no less than 10%. In formula form: Tariff Rate (%) = max(10, (Trade Deficit ÷ Total Imports) * 100) For example, if the US runs a $20 billion deficit on $100 billion worth of imports from a country, the calculated rate is (20/100)×100 = 20%. If the deficit were only 5%, you'd still impose a 10% floor. This method ignores the intricate dynamics of international trade-such as elasticities, retaliatory measures, and supply chain nuances-but it provides a blunt, proportional rule to "level the playing field." One might implement it in Python like so: [code] Gemini answer: Okay, let's break down the idea of using tariffs to achieve an "even playing field" defined as eliminating the US trade deficit. While the goal of balancing trade is understandable, devising an "easy way" to calculate tariffs to achieve this is extremely complex, and most economists would argue it's not feasible or desirable for several reasons. However, let's outline a highly simplified conceptual approach based only on the numbers, ignoring the vast real-world complexities and consequences: Simplified (and Problematic) Calculation Idea: 1. Identify the Bilateral Deficit: Determine the trade deficit the US has with a specific country (Country X). Deficit_X = Value of Imports from X - Value of • Exports to X 2. Target Reduction: The goal is to reduce imports from Country X (or increase their cost to US buyers) by the amount of the deficit, so that the value effectively balances out. 3. Calculate Required Tariff (Ignoring Economics): • If you assume, very unrealistically, that a tariff directly reduces the value of imports by a corresponding percentage (which it doesn't - it increases the price), you could try: Required Reduction % = Deficit_X / Value of • Imports from X Claude: What would be an easy way to calculate the tariffs that should be imposed on other countries so that the US is on even-playing fields when it comes to trade deficit? Set minimum at 10%. To calculate tariffs that could theoretically level the playing field for trade deficits, I'd suggest a straightforward approach based on the trade imbalance percentage: 1. Calculate the bilateral trade deficit with each trading partner: Trade Deficit - US Imports from Country - US Exports to Country 2. Express this as a percentage of total bilateral trade: Deficit Percentage - (Trade Deficit / Total Bilateral Trade) × 100 3. Apply a tariff rate that corresponds to this percentage, with your minimum 10% floor: Tariff Rate = max(Deficit Percentage, 10%) This creates a proportional response where countries with larger trade surpluses with the US would face higher tariffs. For example: • If Country A has a 25% trade surplus with the US (meaning the US has a 25% deficit), apply a 25% tariff • If Country B has a 5% trade surplus with the US, apply the minimum 10% tariff This method is relatively simple to calculate and directly ties tariff levels to trade imbalances. However, I should note that economists generally caution that trade deficits alone don't necessarily indicate unfair trade practices, and tariffs can have complex economic consequences including increased consumer prices and potential retaliation. Would you like me to elaborate on any part of this approach or discuss potential refinements to make it more sophisticated? Grok: the deficit. The deficit as a percentage of total trade is $295B/$582B = 50.69%. Using the formula Tariff% = 10% + (Deficit% × Scaling Factor), we choose a scaling factor of 50 for illustration: • Tariff = 10% + (50.69% × 50) = 10% + 25.345% = 35.345%, rounded to 35.3%. This means a 35.3% tariff on Chinese goods could be proposed to offset the imbalance, aiming to reduce imports and encourage domestic production or exports. Extending to Other Countries To provide a broader view, here's a table of top US trading partners with 2024 deficits, using data from The Motley Fool and similar calculations (assuming scaling factor of 50 for consistency): [data table headings] Country Deficit (USD Billion) Total Trade (USD Billion) Deficit % Calculate d Tariff % China -295 582 50.69% 35.3% Mexico -172 840 20.48% 20.2% Vietnam -123 (Data incomplet e, estimate) ~30% 25.0% Ireland -87 (Data incomplet e, estimate) ~25% 22.5% Germany -85 (Data incomplete estimate) ~20% 20.0%
April 3, 2025 at 6:34 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
paulompereira.bsky.social
Não é verdade, esse é outro valor de juro e está descriminado também na declaração.
April 2, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Jokes on you se acreditas que eles querem saber do país
April 2, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
brianwhite.bsky.social
Elon’s Downfall
April 2, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
anagomes54.bsky.social
5 perguntas q Nelma @SicNoticias podia ter feito a PNS. E devia fazer a LM:
1- Baixa impostos s/trabalho e aumenta s/capitais?
2- Torna prédios devolutos do Estado em casas de renda acessível?
3- Quem será ministro/a Saúde?
4- Entrega Segurança Social a fundos privados?
5- Como financia Defesa?
April 2, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
paulaneves.bsky.social
Dizem cobras e lagartos dos melros mas aqui está a prova que eles são sociais.
Aqui estão a partilhar buffett um melro, pardais e um verdilhão. Com uns momentos de agressividade sim, mas quem nunca??
(Continuo a achar o verdilhão o + corajoso de todos)
April 2, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
csc11.bsky.social
Em 2022 tivemos o Bugalho, no sábado, dia de reflexão, com legos a apelar descaradamente o voto no PSD.

Em 2024, no domingo, dia das eleições, as sondagens boca de urna assustaram, durante toda a tarde a SIC-N a dizer "é para votar na AD e não no ADN".

Este ano que farão?
April 2, 2025 at 8:44 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
jccosta64.bsky.social
😂😂😂 Violação 😂😂😂 das normas 😂😂😂 democráticas 😂😂😂 diz o Kremlin 😂😂😂
afp.com Agence France-Presse @afp.com · Mar 31
Marine Le Pen condamnée: le Kremlin déplore une "violation des normes démocratiques"
March 31, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
franciscomatias.bsky.social
Não podia deixar terminar o dia, sem assinalar a festividade:
April 1, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
carlospaz.bsky.social
Sempre, sempre, que se aproximam eleições lá vem a lenga lenga de que a culpa é dos desgraçados que ganham o salário mínimo...

(nunca ninguém se lembra de culpar aqueles que os pagam; só mesmo quem os recebe)

ionline.sapo.pt/2025/04/01/s...
Salário mínimo esmaga salário médio
Ao contrário do que acontece com o salário mínimo, que tem sido alvo de subidas consistentes, os rendimentos médios não têm aumentado ao mesmo ritmo, o que acaba por criar ‘um certo estancamento salar...
ionline.sapo.pt
April 1, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
tryangregory.bsky.social
Lol

youtu.be/wT_n4Khmq0o?...
Honest Government Ad | Canada Election 2025
YouTube video by thejuicemedia
youtu.be
April 1, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
doctorvive.bsky.social
Hundreds of millions of bees, almost 80% of bees in the US, have died over he past eight months. Researchers don't know why.

Here is what this means:
Bees play a critical role in U.S. food production. In addition to making honey, they pollinate 75% of the fruits, nuts and vegetables grown in the U.S. That's $15 billion worth of crops. Shook said the current losses are unsustainable. "If this is a multi-year thing, it'll change the way we consume food in the United States," Shook said. "If we lose 80% of our bees every year, the industry cannot survive, which means we cannot pollinate at the scale that we need to produce food in the United States."
March 31, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
rbreich.bsky.social
Americans are beginning to fear dissent. That’s exactly what Trump wants.

My latest for The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/mar/31/americans-dissent-fear-trump
Americans are beginning to fear dissent. That’s exactly what Trump wants | Robert Reich
Attacks on the pillars of civil society are chilling speech. But American democracy was built on criticism
www.theguardian.com
March 31, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
joannakedzierska.bsky.social
Elonia
March 30, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Reposted by Tiago Cascais
ruimartins.bsky.social
⌨️ Lisboa está cheia de **propaganda partidária** 📢🗳️
paga com **dinheiros públicos** 💰🏛️,
abusando-se de uma **lacuna na lei eleitoral** ⚖️❌.
March 26, 2025 at 8:03 PM