Alex Lamers
@alexlamers.bsky.social
I try to make sense of the weather for a living. Remember, low probability events can and do happen.
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has unveiled the experimental Urban Rain Rate Dashboard. It uses high-res model guidance to highlight where chances of intense rain rates are highest in major cities. It’s linked in “Forecast Tools” tab on the WPC home page. Direct link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/urrd/
September 26, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has unveiled the experimental Urban Rain Rate Dashboard. It uses high-res model guidance to highlight where chances of intense rain rates are highest in major cities. It’s linked in “Forecast Tools” tab on the WPC home page. Direct link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/urrd/
Reposted by Alex Lamers
The average July 2025 dew point temperature for the Lower 48 was 1.2F above the 1991-2020 normal. Most areas of the map are dark green or blue - except for the very dry Southwest.
August 6, 2025 at 3:58 AM
The average July 2025 dew point temperature for the Lower 48 was 1.2F above the 1991-2020 normal. Most areas of the map are dark green or blue - except for the very dry Southwest.
If it seems like there’s been a lot of flash flooding recently, the numbers back it up. The NWS issued the most number of Flash Flood Warnings on record (1,199) for the 30-day period from June 17 to July 16.
Yes, this is the peak of the usual flash flood season, but 2025 is more active than usual.
Yes, this is the peak of the usual flash flood season, but 2025 is more active than usual.
July 17, 2025 at 6:43 PM
If it seems like there’s been a lot of flash flooding recently, the numbers back it up. The NWS issued the most number of Flash Flood Warnings on record (1,199) for the 30-day period from June 17 to July 16.
Yes, this is the peak of the usual flash flood season, but 2025 is more active than usual.
Yes, this is the peak of the usual flash flood season, but 2025 is more active than usual.
Paul Hollywood and Prue Leith are lodging an official protest
December 27, 2024 at 1:34 PM
Paul Hollywood and Prue Leith are lodging an official protest
Reposted by Alex Lamers
DON'T EAT ICICLES 💩
This is your annual reminder that icicles can potentially have poop in them 😅
This is your annual reminder that icicles can potentially have poop in them 😅
December 13, 2024 at 11:48 PM
DON'T EAT ICICLES 💩
This is your annual reminder that icicles can potentially have poop in them 😅
This is your annual reminder that icicles can potentially have poop in them 😅
you gotta love some topical humor for your chosen profession
December 13, 2024 at 9:16 PM
you gotta love some topical humor for your chosen profession
🚨 IMPORTANT “FOOD” ALERT: drinkable mayo has dropped www.foodandwine.com/nomu-mayo-dr...
Drinkable Mayonnaise Is Now a Thing
Lawson, a Japanese convenience store chain, is putting Nomu Mayo, its new drinkable mayonnaise, through a "test sale period" to see how customers respond.
www.foodandwine.com
December 10, 2024 at 9:00 PM
🚨 IMPORTANT “FOOD” ALERT: drinkable mayo has dropped www.foodandwine.com/nomu-mayo-dr...
Reposted by Alex Lamers
Massive away win for the little fella.
December 2, 2024 at 1:38 PM
Massive away win for the little fella.
First real blast of cold air this season on tap after Thanksgiving into the Great Lakes region. With all of the lakes at record warm levels for late November, the ingredients are there for some significant lake effect snow rates.
November 25, 2024 at 4:51 PM
First real blast of cold air this season on tap after Thanksgiving into the Great Lakes region. With all of the lakes at record warm levels for late November, the ingredients are there for some significant lake effect snow rates.
Reposted by Alex Lamers
Bomb cyclone goes boom.
An incredible view of the deepening low pressure system approaching the Pacific Northwest.
An incredible view of the deepening low pressure system approaching the Pacific Northwest.
November 20, 2024 at 1:53 AM
Bomb cyclone goes boom.
An incredible view of the deepening low pressure system approaching the Pacific Northwest.
An incredible view of the deepening low pressure system approaching the Pacific Northwest.
Reposted by Alex Lamers
Storm total precipitation from Tropical Storm Sara in Honduras. More that 1000 millimeters (40 inches) in La Ceiba. (from COPECO)
November 18, 2024 at 1:08 PM
Storm total precipitation from Tropical Storm Sara in Honduras. More that 1000 millimeters (40 inches) in La Ceiba. (from COPECO)
Tropical Depression 19, likely to be named Sara at some point, is going to stall near the coast of Honduras, a well-known recipe for extreme rainfall.
From the official advisory, for northern Honduras: “widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides”
From the official advisory, for northern Honduras: “widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides”
November 14, 2024 at 1:07 PM
Tropical Depression 19, likely to be named Sara at some point, is going to stall near the coast of Honduras, a well-known recipe for extreme rainfall.
From the official advisory, for northern Honduras: “widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides”
From the official advisory, for northern Honduras: “widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides”
Reposted by Alex Lamers
Two data points to ponder:
—Cities from NYC to Wilmington just got the driest month in their 130- to 150-year weather histories.
—The U.S. is having its warmest autumn on record by far. The past 2 mos are nearly 1F above any other Sep-Oct on record.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/octo...
—Cities from NYC to Wilmington just got the driest month in their 130- to 150-year weather histories.
—The U.S. is having its warmest autumn on record by far. The past 2 mos are nearly 1F above any other Sep-Oct on record.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/octo...
October turned up the U.S. burners – and turned off the tap » Yale Climate Connections
New York and Philadelphia saw their driest month ever in official data, and autumn so far is the warmest in 48-state history.
yaleclimateconnections.org
November 8, 2024 at 6:50 PM
Two data points to ponder:
—Cities from NYC to Wilmington just got the driest month in their 130- to 150-year weather histories.
—The U.S. is having its warmest autumn on record by far. The past 2 mos are nearly 1F above any other Sep-Oct on record.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/octo...
—Cities from NYC to Wilmington just got the driest month in their 130- to 150-year weather histories.
—The U.S. is having its warmest autumn on record by far. The past 2 mos are nearly 1F above any other Sep-Oct on record.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/octo...
Really puts the current drought in Brazil in perspective. Longer term trend toward dryness is also interesting.
12-month running standardized precipitation index (SPI) for Brazil over the last 50 years.
November 8, 2024 at 11:13 PM
Really puts the current drought in Brazil in perspective. Longer term trend toward dryness is also interesting.
As someone who loves crisp, cool fall days, I must say this fall has been terrible
November 8, 2024 at 8:21 PM
As someone who loves crisp, cool fall days, I must say this fall has been terrible
Reposted by Alex Lamers
Rafael is only the 11th major (Cat 3 or stronger) hurricane in November in 174 years of recordkeeping. Cuba and Nicaragua have been the targets of these strong late season hurricanes before, but quite unusual to see one track westward through the central Gulf.
November 8, 2024 at 3:51 AM
Rafael is only the 11th major (Cat 3 or stronger) hurricane in November in 174 years of recordkeeping. Cuba and Nicaragua have been the targets of these strong late season hurricanes before, but quite unusual to see one track westward through the central Gulf.
Washington D.C. gets the warmest temp so late in the year, registering 84 degrees before 1 PM at DCA.
November 7, 2024 at 6:57 PM
Washington D.C. gets the warmest temp so late in the year, registering 84 degrees before 1 PM at DCA.
Reposted by Alex Lamers
October is the fasting warming month of the year for the #Arctic overall (land & sea north of 60ºN), with the average temperature now 4.8C (8.7F) higher than 50 years ago. This incredible change is driven in large part by the loss of sea ice. #ClimateChange @climatologist49.bsky.social
October 15, 2024 at 11:03 PM
October is the fasting warming month of the year for the #Arctic overall (land & sea north of 60ºN), with the average temperature now 4.8C (8.7F) higher than 50 years ago. This incredible change is driven in large part by the loss of sea ice. #ClimateChange @climatologist49.bsky.social
Devastating flash flooding in Spain. The extreme rain events are not going to stop.
“Spanish weather service AEMET reported that Chiva, in the Valencia region, recorded 491mm (19.33”) of rain in just eight hours on Tuesday - the equivalent to a year's worth of rain.”
“Spanish weather service AEMET reported that Chiva, in the Valencia region, recorded 491mm (19.33”) of rain in just eight hours on Tuesday - the equivalent to a year's worth of rain.”
Spain floods: 51 dead after torrential rain in Valencia region
Rescue workers are searching for missing people after Spain was hit by severe flooding.
www.bbc.com
October 30, 2024 at 11:18 AM
Devastating flash flooding in Spain. The extreme rain events are not going to stop.
“Spanish weather service AEMET reported that Chiva, in the Valencia region, recorded 491mm (19.33”) of rain in just eight hours on Tuesday - the equivalent to a year's worth of rain.”
“Spanish weather service AEMET reported that Chiva, in the Valencia region, recorded 491mm (19.33”) of rain in just eight hours on Tuesday - the equivalent to a year's worth of rain.”
Reposted by Alex Lamers
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): At least 54,000 filed claims following Hurricane Helene. Already a Top 5 "NFIP filed claim" event on record.
Katrina (2005): 208,348
Sandy (2012): 144,848
Harvey (2017): 92,396
Ike (2008): 58,126
Helene (2024): 54,000*
Irene (2011): 52,493
Ian (2022): 48,721
Katrina (2005): 208,348
Sandy (2012): 144,848
Harvey (2017): 92,396
Ike (2008): 58,126
Helene (2024): 54,000*
Irene (2011): 52,493
Ian (2022): 48,721
October 28, 2024 at 5:06 PM
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): At least 54,000 filed claims following Hurricane Helene. Already a Top 5 "NFIP filed claim" event on record.
Katrina (2005): 208,348
Sandy (2012): 144,848
Harvey (2017): 92,396
Ike (2008): 58,126
Helene (2024): 54,000*
Irene (2011): 52,493
Ian (2022): 48,721
Katrina (2005): 208,348
Sandy (2012): 144,848
Harvey (2017): 92,396
Ike (2008): 58,126
Helene (2024): 54,000*
Irene (2011): 52,493
Ian (2022): 48,721
Reposted by Alex Lamers
October days across the CONUS can be very dry. Three of the driest 10 days since 2005 have occurred in October. Coming in 7th place for driest day in the past 7,236 days (back to 2005): October 11, 2024. Based on CONUS average.
October 24, 2024 at 12:44 PM
October days across the CONUS can be very dry. Three of the driest 10 days since 2005 have occurred in October. Coming in 7th place for driest day in the past 7,236 days (back to 2005): October 11, 2024. Based on CONUS average.
Reposted by Alex Lamers
A lot of meteorologists are familiar with the history of the blizzard of 1978, but I wasn’t familiar with this nugget!
“On Jan. 16, 1978, a blizzard hit Chicago… Using a spare computer, some software and a novel device called a modem, which could send and receive data across phone lines, they eventually jury-rigged a machine that allowed club members to trade information.” Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2024/10/21/t...
Ward Christensen, Early Visionary of Social Media, Dies at 78
Housebound during a 1978 blizzard, he and a friend began devising the first computer bulletin board, a forerunner of online services like Reddit, TikTok and Facebook.
www.nytimes.com
October 21, 2024 at 10:31 PM
A lot of meteorologists are familiar with the history of the blizzard of 1978, but I wasn’t familiar with this nugget!