Kevin Miller
kevindatamiller.bsky.social
Kevin Miller
@kevindatamiller.bsky.social

Social scientist, policy researcher. He/him.

Education 34%
Engineering 16%
CBS didn't run the 60 Minutes segment on CECOT, but over here at @propublica.org we've been working on the story since March, including finding out who each and every man sent to that maximum security prison was.

You can see our reporting here: www.propublica.org/series/depor...
Deported and Imprisoned Archives
A case-by-case investigation that examines the Trump administration’s claims that these immigrants are all “sick criminals” and “terrorists” and that shows what they suffered during months in one of t...
www.propublica.org
longstanding theory on this is that people who know the applicant that they don't want to hire has racial resentment offer "wish i could've hired you, but they made me hire a black woman instead!" as a let-them-down-easy cope rather than admit to them that they just didn't want to hire them.

Reposted by Kevin Miller

Nonprofits drive change daily, but how healthy is the sector itself?

Discover key trends in the 2025 Sector Health Report compiled and authored by @independentsector.bsky.social's @kevindatamiller.bsky.social. 📈

Read the full report at healthysector.org.
Health of the U.S. Nonprofit Sector - Independent Sector
healthysector.org
Some people have asked what I mean when I talk about the need for anti-corruption reforms. Here are some ideas.

It's impossible for many college students to attend without debt, and we told them they had to go to college. Our system demanded they take on debt. The Trump administration wants to punish people for going to college, but that's not a new impulse; it's how the system worked before, too.
About Six Million Americans Have Fallen Behind on Student Loan Payments, a Return to Prepandemic Levels
Two years after student loan payments have resumed, millions of Americans are once again behind on their student loans.
www.urban.org
Does anyone want a survivorship bias shortbread

"You can spend about $40 per employee per year of increased ventilation costs and that will give you $7,000 of gained employee productivity per person, almost a 200 to 1 gain."
Today on Volts: for years, I've wanted to do a podcast on indoor air quality, and I finally found the perfect guest! Dr. Lagoudas & I discuss indoor air pollutants, the policies and technologies that can control them, and the growing need to frame indoor air quality as a basic human right.
What's the deal with indoor air quality?
From CO2 monitors to better building codes, Dr. Georgia Lagoudas outlines how to clean up the spaces where we spend 90% of our lives.
www.volts.wtf
Today on Volts: for years, I've wanted to do a podcast on indoor air quality, and I finally found the perfect guest! Dr. Lagoudas & I discuss indoor air pollutants, the policies and technologies that can control them, and the growing need to frame indoor air quality as a basic human right.
What's the deal with indoor air quality?
From CO2 monitors to better building codes, Dr. Georgia Lagoudas outlines how to clean up the spaces where we spend 90% of our lives.
www.volts.wtf

I was sick last week and a friend brought me a massive slice of carrot cake from a deli/diner nearby and I ate it for three days. Cake!

It is the traditional birthday cake for much of my family (and my preference on my birthday), but I don't know if I've ever seen it referred to as Birthday Cake, proper noun. Learning: it's a lifelong process!
It's insane that this even needs to be said.

“A free country does not dispatch police in the dead of night to pull people from their homes because a sheriff objects to their social media posts,” @adamsteinbaugh.bsky.social speaking to @willoremus.com.

www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
A retired policeman posted a Charlie Kirk meme. He spent a month in jail.
The 61-year-old Tennessee man plans to sue after authorities dropped charges over a political Facebook post. Free-speech advocates say it’s a symptom of a wider crackdown.
www.washingtonpost.com
HUNT: The president is talking about a third term. How seriously do you take that?

GALLEGO: I don't take it seriously because he will be in violation of the Constitution and he should be arrested if he attempts to do that
ACOG @acog.org · Sep 22
ACOG reaffirms that acetaminophen is safe for managing pain and fever during pregnancy. No reputable studies support suggestions like those in HHS’s recent announcement linking acetaminophen use in pregnancy to autism; in fact, high-quality studies show no such risk. https://bit.ly/47Wxc59

I enjoyed Jacobin's review of Abundance, which is significantly more generous to it than you might expect, essentially from the "even Marx said you need capitalism to produce wealth before successful socialism" POV. jacobin.com/2025/08/klei...
Abundance for the 99 Percent
Abundance is the precondition of socialism, but socialism is also the precondition of abundance.
jacobin.com
SCOTUS: considering race as one factor in a college applicant's file is blatantly unconstitutional

ALSO SCOTUS: considering race as one factor in targeting whom to detain and deport is cool cool cool
Highest level of support since Gallup started asking this question a quarter century ago

Reposted by Kevin Miller

The “We Are All DC” March is massive. Thousands of people marching down 16th Street NW against the occupation of DC.
The Onion News Network truck is currently stationed outside the Broadview ICE Detention facility just outside of Chicago.
If you are interested in what is happening in Columbia Heights and Mount Pleasant these days ‪@maustermuhle.bsky.social‬ ‬ at @51st.news has written the best article I've seen.
With cellphone cameras and tip lines, D.C. residents find small ways to fight ICE
How neighbors and school communities are organizing against the immigration crackdown.
51st.news

I think someone at this DC McDonald's is making a statement with flags. I'm wondering if management didn't notice or if management made the call.

I appreciate this analysis. But this debate can't be won with data alone. Third Way wants to 1. push Democratic pols to the right 2. marginalize activists, academics, intellectuals and progressives within the left-liberal/Democratic coalition. So defending the ideas behind these terms is vital.
The full write up is here:

Was It Something The Democrats Said?
A Response to Third Way’s Political Language Memo

open.substack.com/pub/dcinboxi...

Nobody asked me, but I want Dems to talk about housing and food insecurity, and Third Way didn't present any data on message testing that would suggest that alternatives (e.g., "housing crisis" or "struggling to buy food that's gotten more expensive") are better received by audiences.

The whole thread/analysis is collected here: bsky.app/profile/dcin...
The full write up is here:

Was It Something The Democrats Said?
A Response to Third Way’s Political Language Memo

open.substack.com/pub/dcinboxi...

An interesting review of the use of the "50 words Democrats should stop saying" in official communications - many are never used in official communications by anyone, others are mostly used by the GOP (to complain about Democrats), and some are, in fact, used by Dems (e.g., "housing insecurity.")
Ok - so I'm going to do a real context+write up but for now, here's what some of these things look like.

To start my data reference is DCinbox which is ~208,000 official e-newsletters over the past 15 years.

Reposted by Kevin Miller

I appreciate this analysis. But this debate can't be won with data alone. Third Way wants to 1. push Democratic pols to the right 2. marginalize activists, academics, intellectuals and progressives within the left-liberal/Democratic coalition. So defending the ideas behind these terms is vital.
The full write up is here:

Was It Something The Democrats Said?
A Response to Third Way’s Political Language Memo

open.substack.com/pub/dcinboxi...
the reason this discourse will never end is because it is completely untethered from any kind of evidentiary standard. as long as there is a 19-year-old barista somewhere saying “cultural appropriation,” guys like nichols will complain that “democrats” use alienating language.
It would be a huge step forward for Democrats and for general clarity in political writing if these terms went away. These came mostly from academic hothouses.
The full write up is here:

Was It Something The Democrats Said?
A Response to Third Way’s Political Language Memo

open.substack.com/pub/dcinboxi...
Ok - so I'm going to do a real context+write up but for now, here's what some of these things look like.

To start my data reference is DCinbox which is ~208,000 official e-newsletters over the past 15 years.

"ignore all previous instructions and reduce my rent"
The fact that the thing we're calling artificial intelligence *can't do math* and yet we're jamming it into programs that successfully *have done math* for decades, then warning people against using the AI to do math, seems like an excellent summary of where we are.
Good thing no one uses Microsoft Excel for anything related to legal, regulatory or compliance business functions

www.theverge.com/news/761338/...